the 2 child policy came out in 2016
the 3 child policy came out in 2021

so the kids indocrinated with 2 child policy. are the ones who have the "sex education" chats at school about family planning
this "sex education" is like 8yo-14yo age range

so if someone was 14 in 2016.. guess what age they are now.. yep 24.. but.. the average age a women starts settling down to have first child is 27
so even the earliest 2 child policy educated child wont be popping out double kids on average for another 3 years

so if someone was 14 in 2021.. guess what age they are now.. yep 17.. but.. the average age a women starts settling down to have first child is 27
so even the earliest 3 child policy educated child wont be popping out triple kids on average for another 10 years

get it yet
this was my point to windfury. he thinks 14yo in 2016 were going to instantly pop out twins on their 15th birthday.. and you too seem to not get the context of understanding data, so you too question "were are all the rise in birth rates" to 2-3 kids


as for your continued use of the X birth per 1000 populous
did you know that the impractical use of that is what makes you look silly
with that 1000 number, it includes old women(infertile), men of all ages, fertile but not settled young adult female. female kids
it warps the numbers to alter the real numbers hidden within of actual births per mother

heck here is one thing even your links highlight..
the disparity of male vs females

the male population was 720.32 million, and the female population was 689.35 million
more men per populous
however even this simplification is not justified explanation. because there is further muffling of numbers to create fake narrative
such as how women outlive men. whereby there are more elderly(not fertile) woman compared to male equivalent, which morths the numbers per populus of the actual women whom are in the settling down to start family demograph


i feel you and windy just got upset that i compared US problems and you didnt like how i disparaged USA and so without thinking you just grabbed the first detail you could find that showed a negative number without understanding how it relates to the understanding, meaning, context of real world causality of the numbers you promote

heck you even doubled down about overall population decline..
um yea. guess you forgot about covid and old people dying.. totally unassociated with fertile women of the age range settling down to start a family, yet again

so here we are again
of just the women without your silly extra added data to muffle the numbers. the birth rate per year is increasing
just not at the rate real estate developers hoped for 2016+
women are still in the 1.6-1.7 children per mother stage not YET the 2.4+ rate the real estate developers were hoping for a birth/real estate boom 2016+


...
by the way i am using data from females born in the 80's,90's millenia to explain why the number did not boom to 2.4+ in 2016
by the way i am using data from females born in the millenia, 10's to explain why the number is not yet ready to boom to 2.4+ yet
by the way i am using data from females born in the 90's millenia, to explain why the number is still rising in the 1.6-1.7 rate


its you that has muffled the numbers, not expressed understanding of the numbers and then used silly numbers to just promote "china bad US not so much"

---

now with me explaining the CONTEXT of why there is no sudden boom of families wanting 2-3 bedrooms this decade, so real estate jumped the gun in the last few years.. the amount that china's government need to give loans/grants/compensation to stabalise the real estate market is actually small incomparison to % of GDP
unlike the US housing to % of GDP the US is spending

even instant isnt instant

when verifying and collating transactions even by the block template creator it takes portions of a second.
to then hash a block id is portions of a second
to then broadcast a hashed block to peers is portions of a second

lets just imagine it as 0.1second per portion. and for demo sake its 0.4seconds per block from unconfirmed tx to peer seeing confirmed in block

meaning each full block takes 0.4seconds

now imagine a nefarious miner just hashes EMPTY BLOCKS (a 0.1second task) and then after X blocks he then broadcasts all of his blocks to orphan and replace the genuine chain
now the nefarious miner can control the blockchain at 4x rate to genuine blockchain users

the nefarious user can go back 4 blocks and empty block them faster then the genuine blockchain can create one new filled block

as with exponential numbers

a nefarious miner can go back 12 blocks in less time then genuine users can fill 3 blocks
a nefarious miner can go back 200 blocks in less time then genuine users can fill 50 blocks

proving god is some cloud dwelling jack and the beanstalk giant.. never gonna happen

proving everything in existence comes from the base of energy waves.. and some can call energy waves god, the creation of everything. sure
infact the unconscious thoughts in the back of your head that tell your heart to keep beating is just energy
infact the unconscious thoughts in the back of your head that tell you not to hit someone is just energy
infact the unconscious thoughts in the back of your head that tell you to not put your hand in the flame, is just energy

multiply the "per day" rate by 260 to get yearly amount. then compare it to real jobs of same title
(260= 5 days *52 weeks)

$100 a day = $26k a year

US min wage is $15/h *40hours *52weeks = $31.2k
so its below minimum wage if you were doing it as a salary job

bartering has been around for eons
in the past it never really works well with national chains, because their accounts department need to trace all transactions for tax. so end up having to set up contracts and such, meaning in-showroom supervisors have no decision making privileges of the product prices vs sweat equity/labour
 it works best with sole proprietors. because sole proprietors own the business so can judge the value of labour.

if you were to pitch it.. find out who in the business is the decision maker and set up a meeting with them

EG a car dealership would be the franchise owner not the in-showroom supervisor

oh my god i mention girl and suddenly it must be an attack....... um..nope
i did not brand/label 'girl math' as 'girl math'... females did.

just treat it as a brand of a economic philosophy that just happens to mention the G word. and you will notice the topic is about economic philosophies
stop crying because i said the word girl and instead treat it as a brand name of a economic philosophy instead of getting triggered by the word girl and thinking it must be a gender attack because it mentions a gender

remember this is a ECONOMICS category
discuss the economic philosophy. dont get triggered because someone mentions a gender

when you start devolving communication into "lets avoid a topic and instead turn it into a gender argument" you are not going to win any debate, you are just avoiding the discussion

this topic in economic category is about the economic philosophy being shared, not the brand name.
dont blame me for the G word in the brand. i didnt invent it.


would make even more sense if people understood the context and content are of 2 different economic philosophies instead of only talking about how a brand name mentions G and then avoid the economic topic to cry how the brand (i had no involvement in inventing) should be rebranded to B(oomers)
knowing all that would do is just still ignore the economic discussion just to scream and cry how its then age-ist.

how about not get triggered by the label as the excuse to avoid talking about the economics

its the same silly mindset as
i wanted to highlight a bitcoin bug in 2016 that would allow junk data be added to block without majority node requirement to validate each byte of data. leading to a scenario where junk can be added in large lumps.... (fast forward to 2022 where ordinal junk shown what my warning was about)

rewind to 2016-2022 just mentioning the flaw over the years, people ignored the flaw discussion and just cried how i mentioned the devs names involved in allowing the bug and instead of seeing the real issue that effects bitcoiners.. they instead just wanted to kiss ass and woke play their admiration of devs as gods that should be defended.. ignoring the bug that needed to be sorted
oh well. when idiots rather want to ass kiss a group rather then discuss the content.. its on them

alot of wheat commodity traders think organic natural wheat is the plague seed. and only their patented GMO wheat seed is worthy
so its not a new mindset of crypto, trade-fi has same idiots too

for those that are interested
coins locked to ETF's (at previous day to post)

ARK 21Shares (ARKB) : 6544btc
Bitwise (BITB) : 8309btc
BlackRock Inc (IBIT) : 25067.06btc
Fidelity Investments (FBTC) : 10,000btc
Franklin Templeton (EZBC) : 1160btc
Grayscale Investments ($GBTC) : 591,947btc
Hashdex (DEFI) : 400btc
Invesco Galaxy (BTCO) : 3200btc
Valkyrie (BRRR) : 1457btc
VanEck (HODL) : 2000btc
WisdomTree (BTCW) : 75btc

update (18th edited about results of end of day of 17th)
Grayscale Investments ($GBTC) : 591,947btc
BlackRock Inc (IBIT) : 25,067.06btc
Fidelity Investments (FBTC) : 10,000btc
Bitwise (BITB) : 8,309btc
ARK 21Shares (ARKB) : 6,544btc
Invesco Galaxy (BTCO) : 3,200btc
VanEck (HODL) : 2,000btc
Valkyrie (BRRR) : 1,457btc
Franklin Templeton (EZBC) : 1,160btc
Hashdex (DEFI) : 400btc
WisdomTree (BTCW) : 75btc

total: 650,159~

majority is shifted from grayscale that was at something like 637k btc in 2023(from memory). and now down to 591k

i still laugh
funny how you use "the guardian"


funny how you ignore things like how covid meant that new relationships are not forming to have their first kid
funny how you ignore all context

funny how instead of now quoting births per female. you are instead using births per population

funny how you dont realise how the demograph that are in the "settled, married ready to have kids" age range.. are the 27yo+
meaning born in mid/late 90's and brought up  as millennials indoctrinated that when they become adults they will only have 1 kid

women become infertile or not really family planning after 40
meaning born early 1980's
their parents would have had many kids but their kids(80's kids) indoctrinated to grow up with one kid

you need to look at the full context
did you know that in the 1980s (83-88) there was a mini boom of births per 1000 that went from 21-24
meaning 14% more females born in 1988 compared to 1983
this results those females growing up to ~30yo-35yo in 2018-2023 outpaced the single digit decline because there was a double digit increase in the age group of females ready to have a family

this explains the fertility rate of 2020-2023 i mentioned a few posts ago. and this (its not a projection)


im using stats from source. you are using western media conclusions based on eastern media conclusions without understanding the underlying data

..
the real estate market in 2016-2021+ took the relaxation of "one child policy" to pre-build homes thinking there would be instant baby booms.. but they didnt take things(like you) into context of WHEN a action causes a reaction to a demography

you really need to take the source numbers involving actual females of family planning age(27-40) and historical data of THEIR rates when THEY were born. to the extrapolate why there was female to child rates that went up in recent years.. to explain the current situation ..

..
as for the future.
the females that are going to have 2-3 kids are still college age or yoounger so not settling down yet

sidenote:
dont use [births per male-incels+old people+infertile women+kids]+fertile women as the numbers wont correspond to nature of the female demograph family planning, and is instead [warped] by the other demographs

saylor is exiting his SHARE holdings of microstrategy. to then get out and then go solo and purchase BTC OUTSIDE of microstrategy
the separate solo BTC saylor is buying is not going to be collateralised into micro strategy

..
and although microstrategy does have some btc within the company as collateral. its still not a bitcoin business.. and its actual business operations can fail and cause share holder problems(forcing them to sell btc to keep company afloat which can be a downward spiral)
and i would not take advice from adam back for multiple reasons.

ETF are 100% pegged to btc. so ETF shares are 100% operationally exposed to bitcoins price and should match daily(bar the fee)

however both micro and ETF's are not allowing users to direct hold/have access to BTC by being a share holder.

..
another thing to note.
lets use Microstrategies january peak of 699.51
lets use bitcoins january peak of 46995.1

that puts MS at a 67.18 MS share peg to 1btc

however within a fortnight. the peg does not remain
lets use Microstrategies price of 488.30 today
lets use bitcoins january price of 42585.60 today

that puts MS at a 87.21 MS share peg to 1btc

thats a peg drop of 29.81% in a fortnight
thus is a show that microstrategy dropped away from bitcoin by 29%
and this aint the last time microstrategy can depeg further, especially if its actual business takes a hit for many reasons


...
wit that said, if i trusted MS the numbers show the share price is undervalued vs assets
Micro strategy supposedly has over 180,000btc ( x $42500=$7,650,000,000 assets)
microstrategy has a float of shares of 12.64M ( x488.30 = $6,172,112,000 share cap value)
so is showing to have assets of $7.6bill but share value of $6.17bill
where by the shares compared to suggested asset value(189k btc) should be ~$635/share+

they spend $2.50 per mint of 1000json scam numbers per 'ticker'. if they sucker idiots to buy 1 json scam unit for $5 on binance. they can scam $5000 per json scam 'ticker'. $2.50 cost $5k scammed meaning x2000 there scam attempts

in short we need to dry up their victim list. get people to stop buying the json scam units. then they have no income to spend to scam the next json 'ticker" junk name

.. just looked, their newest scam junk json thing seems to be like trading cards. tickers with character attributes [spieces, size,weight,wealth,wisdom]
https://ordiscan.com/inscription/56115969
i thing the 'ordi ticker' scam dried up so now offering new digital trading card scam

..
i was hoping they would have stopped last year because there are only so many 'rare sats'

if you set one goal for the day with no deadline, time passes without checking. most work slower but the brain doesnt later remember that and jsut remember a hours worth of work started at 9am and complete at evening so felt like 8 hours passed in 1 hour

the trick is to set mini jobs with small scedules so you fit in lots of activity so that it feels like you done alot of work generating alot of memories in smallet allotments of time

EG half hour schedules
by doing 16 time allotted tasks where you check clock every 10 minutes all adds up to feel time moves by by the minute

by doing 2 tasks a day unchecked you feel like day passed where not much was done and so feels like it went passed quick

its why school kids feel like a week is a long time.. and adults feel like a year is a short time
because kids have classes every hour and adults just count in days

EG
2 hour home movie watching zooms passed
compared to
2 hour date
10min in shower, 10min dry/deoderant, 10min dress, 10min travel, 10min greet date, 10min wait for table
5min decide on meal, 15min wait for food. 30min eat and chat, 10min kiss and travel home

the date feels more indepth, memorable. good use of time, enjoy every minute, time went slower

less mentally impactful? if yes, good news
live frugally and save the money for emergencies and bills. you dont know when this one will end and next begins
but if you are ready to work, get them applications flowing

something like

well the tricks of social media and culture can play different in different era's
there have been era's of the "dead-beat dads" and the "single parent moms"

but yet again we are not so much talking about gender stereotyping.. but economic philosophy


(no genders mentioned in both examples)
invest, accumulate then spend a portion
vs
discount spend. then spend the rest

previous era of
"bread winner"
one earns the household income
vs
"house spouse"
other manages and budgets household income

firstly dont "leverage".. ever.. as thats the biggest gamble/risk taker method there is..

secondly.. never sell at a loss.. always sell when you profit.. then no risk because you are already at profit when you sell even if you cant buy back in... profit is profit

thirdly
you dont have to sell all your coins. you can still sell just some of them where individually they make profit from the individual coins purchase price in previous years, whilst hoarding the rest

and if the price correction doesnt reach a corection target that you want POST next ATH sell,  and you cant maximise accumulation. as long as you buy in at some price below the sell price in the correction you are again benefitting**.. or if never buying in again you still know you already made profit by selling at a profit
......
as for never buying back in post the profitable sell..
think about it. bank account interest 5% max
pension ~12% max
if you can make more then 21.5%-57.35% (compounded over 4 years). you are making more then other long term savings/pension plans
EG $42k bought this month, beings sold >$67.5k sell is 60% so selling above $67k in next 4 years is better then any bank/pension 4year compound interest. even if you dont buy back in

however wait for a multiplier of now or well over above last cycles high, to reach near next ATH you gain even more with a chance to buy more in post next ATH's correction


**EG
(numbers are not recommendations. purely for theory demonstration purposes.. you choose the numbers you feel safe with)
if you think next ATH can reach $140k and you sell 10% of stash at $120k conservatively
and you set a hopeful correction to $70k, even if correction only reaches $80k and you buy in at $90k to FOMO. you still gain by having 13.3% of stash back instead of 10% break even

..
other ways to mitigate missed chances and maximise accumulation

dont sell below last seasons high
set a sell % increments amounts.. of above last seasons high to what you believe next season(2025) high will reach

(numbers are not recommendations. purely for theory demonstration purposes.. you choose the numbers you feel safe with)
EG if you presume 2025 ATH peaks $145k target.. where you are willing to sell upto 50% total of stash
$115k:2%  $120k:4%     $125k:6%  $130k:9%   $135k:13%  $140k:16%

then set to re-buy in on the correction if you presume 2026 $80k correction bottom target
$110k:2%  $105k:4%     $100k:6%  $95k:9%   $90k:13%  $85k:16%

(numbers are not recommendations. purely for theory demonstration purposes.. you choose the numbers you feel safe with)

demo math calculated
imagining you had 20BTC and willing to sell just 10btc(50%)
$115k:0.4($46k)  $120k:0.8($92k)     $125k:1.2($150k)  $130k:1.8($234k)   $135k:2.6(351k)  $140k:3.2($448k)
totalling 10btc sold for total $1.321m
on correction
$110k:$46k(0.42)  $105k:$92k(0.87btc)   $100k:$150k(1.5)  $95k:$234k(2.46)   $90k:$351k(3.9)  $85k:$448k(5.27)

totalling 14.42btc bought for $1.321m

you still accumulate even if you dont quite hit exact tip of high or lows
imagine having 10btc in 2012
2013 top  $1200 (gets you $10k if selling just before or after peak at say ~$1k)
2014 bottom $130 (gets you 50btc if buying just before or after correction bottom  at say ~$200)


so now having 50btc in 2014-16
2017 top  $20,000 (gets you $900k if selling just before or after peak at say ~$18k)
2018 bottom $3,700 (gets you 200btc if buying just before or after correction bottom  at say ~$4.5k)

so now having 200btc in 2018-22
2021 top  $70,000 (gets you $12m if selling just before or after peak at say ~$60k)
2022 bottom $15,700 (gets you 700btc if buying just before or after correction bottom  at say ~$17.5k)

so now having 700btc in 2024 instead of just 10 in 2012

according to BSV scammers themselves CSW is running out of scam buddies to even fund CSW own scam lawsuits. so unlikely they are going to spend millions on spamming/scamming BTC network

whats actually happening is that a EX chaincodelabs(blockstream) guy(ratimov) on the btc network made the mis-counting sat scam of ordinals. then evelated tonext level scammed of none transferable meem junk. then compressed it down to untransferable json junk
he prefers the lightning network and wants to annoy the bitcoin network to promote the lightning network

he sold a few sats with appended untransferable junk memes, to scam victims for whole btc+ amounts. and then used that scammed income to pay for more fees to then create more junk. selling junk for multiples of sat value to continue the endeavour

however its more of a project of the lightning network admiration brigade wanting to promote how LN is better then bitcoin in always

its not about favouring either

just 5 years ago the narrative was the opposite economic philosophy
guys "YOLO LAMBO" and girls "frugal/coupon"

its got do so with for/against the post creator favouring/disliking either. its about economic philosophy