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461  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2016, 05:54:13 PM
...
OMG - you envision a fee market (long before it's neccessary), but you can not see the commoditization of mining equipment hence re-decentralization of mining!?

I don't understand what you mean. Explain?

If I remember right, there is even a paper written on this topic. But for the start, this should work: https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2o71hh/physics_and_economics_will_distributed_mining_im/

"As someone who comes from a physics and engineering background, over the long run I'm not concerned with mining centralization. Physics will ensure it is distributed."
"As a result, the mining centralization we see in Greenland and large data centers becomes enormously unprofitable. Any centralization of mining would REQUIRE heat recycling, which severely limits data centers and necessitates distribution unless you introduce heat pumps, which also increase cost."
--submitted 1 year ago
How's that decentralization goin' thus far?

The guy doesn't understand that mining is centralized in China, not Greenland.
He doesn't understand that it's economically idiotic to heat your hot water with miners, because miners need *cold water* going into the waterblocks -- recirculating hot water for cooling ain't cooling, it ain't gonna do much. If hot water was used at a constant rate, 24/7, he might have a better point, but it don't work like that.
Regardless, *mining is concentrated around cheap electricity,* not where it's cold (Greenland).
The fact that silicon might hit quantum dead end "round the year 2024" ain't doing diddly for us now.

TL;DR: don't buy his "physics and engineering background," he doesn't think things through.
P.S. If you wanna talk about particulars of utilizing waste heat, I'll be glad to.

P.P.S. LOL, HE'S the bro behind "That is why we are building a bitcoin miner that fits inside a water heater."
I remember when IceDrill was selling us stories about their farm providing heat for apartment complexes Cheesy

Well, the heaters are just one thought. But I think there is more to the thought of commoditization (e.g. longer and longer development circles for ASICs). BTW: I don't see mining centralization as a big problem. There is always competition by other crypto-currencies to balancethings in Bitcoin.

Let's get to the heat waste discussion: Maybe it would be possible to gain back some energy by using Stirling engines. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stirling_engine

>I don't see mining centralization as a big problem.
In that case, the point's moot. I don't see it as a catastrophic problem, but it's a serious one. One that effectively nulls any pretensions to Bitcoin being "decentralized."

>heaters are just one thought
It's an awful thought. It's fail.

>Stirling engines
Not sure if srs. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_engine#Efficiency <==and that's just what's theoretically possible.
Have you also considered this?

Put it this way: Let's say Chinese coal-fired Electricity is 2 pennies per kWh, and yours is 4 pennies. Your Stirling engine manages to convert 3% of wasted heat back into electricity. Yeah.
Bonus: if Stirling heat reclamation made sense, Chinese megaminers would use it too. They'd make the thing, too -- you'll buy it from them Sad

Seriously tho, read the laws of thermodynamics, it's straightforward stuff.
462  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2016, 05:37:29 PM
Waiting ...
...
If I remember right, there is even a paper written on this topic. But for the start, this should work: https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2o71hh/physics_and_economics_will_distributed_mining_im/
...
P.S. If you wanna talk about particulars of utilizing waste heat, I'll be glad to.

P.P.S. LOL, HE'S the bro behind "That is why we are building a bitcoin miner that fits inside a water heater."
I remember when IceDrill was selling us stories about their farm providing heat for apartment complexes Cheesy
463  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2016, 05:06:55 PM
...
OMG - you envision a fee market (long before it's neccessary), but you can not see the commoditization of mining equipment hence re-decentralization of mining!?

I don't understand what you mean. Explain?

If I remember right, there is even a paper written on this topic. But for the start, this should work: https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2o71hh/physics_and_economics_will_distributed_mining_im/

"As someone who comes from a physics and engineering background, over the long run I'm not concerned with mining centralization. Physics will ensure it is distributed."
"As a result, the mining centralization we see in Greenland and large data centers becomes enormously unprofitable. Any centralization of mining would REQUIRE heat recycling, which severely limits data centers and necessitates distribution unless you introduce heat pumps, which also increase cost."
--submitted 1 year ago
How's that decentralization goin' thus far?

The guy doesn't understand that mining is centralized in China, not Greenland.
He doesn't understand that it's economically idiotic to heat your hot water with miners, because miners need *cold water* going into the waterblocks -- recirculating hot water for cooling ain't cooling, it ain't gonna do much. If hot water was used at a constant rate, 24/7, he might have a better point, but it don't work like that.
Regardless, *mining is concentrated around cheap electricity,* not where it's cold (Greenland).
The fact that silicon might hit quantum dead end "round the year 2024" ain't doing diddly for us now.

TL;DR: don't buy his "physics and engineering background," he doesn't think things through.
P.S. If you wanna talk about particulars of utilizing waste heat, I'll be glad to.

P.P.S. LOL, HE'S the bro behind "That is why we are building a bitcoin miner that fits inside a water heater."
I remember when IceDrill was selling us stories about their farm providing heat for apartment complexes Cheesy
464  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2016, 04:57:48 PM
^that govy shill never stops spewing his shit all over the place uh?

debunking all the conspiracies and pushing for bitcoin fork along with the beanies babies..

how about you pay a visit to MMM forums and take a break from here, you seems quite nervous lately < snip>

Didn't hear you, what?
465  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2016, 04:43:27 PM
^^I'm sure you're right, I'm not talking about the price.
466  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2016, 04:24:21 PM
...
OMG - you envision a fee market (long before it's neccessary), but you can not see the commoditization of mining equipment hence re-decentralization of mining!?

I don't understand what you mean. Explain?



You can run a farm on a mobile broadband connection if you're mining on a pool. And that won't change.

If there are cell towers 200 miles from Gnome, Alaska, I am not aware of it.
...

Mobile broadband was probably used as in "slow."
Quick search tells me that there are at least 2 internet providers in Nome, Alaska.
In my (unlerned) opinion, "decentralization" is no longer an issue, that bird has flown.

If we can't again achieve distributed mining, then the only thing left for me to do is try to find the best possible exit point to divest.

We are a gnat to the PRC. If we ever grow to the size of a horsefly, we will get swatted and we've given them the best possible flyswatter: >50% of mining hardware.

For me, that exit point was a long time ago. You've seen how thins forum has changed over the years:
(Bitcoin discussion top topics right now)

My guess is MMM forums have similar content, albeit it's unlikely they have a separate section for investment-based games ponzis.

>we've given them the best possible flyswatter: >50% of mining hardware.
We haven't *given* them shit. Bitcoin isn't about giving, it's about what you can *take*.
Everything not expressly forbidden is allowed.
Bitcoin failed to address centralization (economies of scale, etc.) *in time* (if mining didn't become centralized as quickly as it did, we [arguably] would have had a chance).
Our Muffin discovered meth & steroids when she was 3, so, naturally, we get what we got now...
467  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2016, 03:55:51 PM


You can run a farm on a mobile broadband connection if you're mining on a pool. And that won't change.

If there are cell towers 200 miles from Gnome, Alaska, I am not aware of it.
...

Mobile broadband was probably used as in "slow."
Quick search tells me that there are at least 2 internet providers in Nome, Alaska.
In my (unlerned) opinion, "decentralization" is no longer an issue, that bird has flown.

>We NEED to adjust the code so high bandwidth is more of an advantage or China will continue to dominate mining
Again, as Fatman & Cconvert2G36 pointed out, bandwidth is irrelevant for mining, because pools; becomes an issue only for solo mining/running a node.
468  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If miners sell coins, where do they sell them? on: February 27, 2016, 03:34:51 PM
My interest is in how many mined coins are sold. If an exchange owns a mining firm, then those coins will go into stock, and will only be sold if demand is there. If a pension fund owns a mining farm so that it can obtain coins at a discount, then those coins won't hit the market. If miners decide that returns are low, and sell their business to a pension fund, then that will withdraw those coins. Obviously there are many more possibilities. With the current value of Bitcoin, the halving is probably going to change the supply chain for Bitcoins.

You're not going to find the necessary data -- most of the farms aren't publicly traded, so aren't required to disclose their financials. So they do not, because why would they?
>miners decide that returns are low, and sell their business to a pension fund
Cheesy
469  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2016, 03:06:59 PM
.@Billy Joe: What Fatman said, and...
Possibly, though I doubt (as in 99.9% sure) that sunk costs of a hydro plant in such an area will ever be recouped (as in "the cost of the electricity, amortized, would be less than, say, 20 cents kWh).

It's all pretty hardcore to keep operational 24/7, as in "beyond Mom's Basement Anarchists." You can't afford to mine just *most of the time, when the sun shines/the mill ain't broke,* because IRL industrial miners are mining *all of the time,* and the window to recoup sunk costs is very short.
470  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If miners sell coins, where do they sell them? on: February 27, 2016, 02:54:47 PM
I think they just keep it till price increases, i am just assuming this as if i was a miner i would do the same  Cheesy

That only works if Mom pays rent & electricity.
471  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2016, 02:31:24 PM

[An update on the solar solo mine would be groovy too.]

When building a Solar power grid or using microhydro one must plan for peak electrical use. I prefer Microhydro, but the cost of solar is getting much cheaper every year. Normally, one would float charge batteries and than burn off extra electricity to heat water , but I find that solar water heaters are better suited for this task, and excess electricity that would normally be discarded is used to mine bitcoin.

What would be the best of all worlds is using those ASICs to heat water as well to close the loop and recycle the waste heat.

Originally and all the way up through the GPU era, mining was something that could be done profitably part time, so taking advantage of off-peak cheap electricity was an excellent use case. Now however, miners are so damn expensive, that if they are not running 24/7 you can run a real risk of never being able to recoup your capital investment.

It is a race to break even before your miners are obsolete, halving cuts revenue, or the market crashes. I guess if you live somewhere cold, you could still run obsolete miners as a space heater, sell them as a curiosity or mine some altcoin with a SHA256 hashing protocol and a much lower difficulty, but other than that, it's a race.  

WE HAVE A CHICKEN AND EGG PROBLEM. Miners outside of China are reluctant to invest substantially in new mining gear because they face an uphill battle competing with Chinese mines with electricity and labor cost advantage.

Miners are also reluctant to build up because the code development uncertainty and scaling uncertainty.  It's hard to make long term plans with so many unknowns. So mining concentration may not be corrected until there is code development decentralization.

Then we have the problem that code development centralization (with Core) is an established practice, something that will not be easily changed, if at all.  Miners do not want to switch to Classic or other alternative because they fear (rightly IMHO) that a switch will cause market volatility or an outright crash.
They can't do something even if they know or suspect it is in their long-term best interest if they need to keep mining revenue high enough to pay for their gear operations in a shorter time period.

The vaccine could cause the death of the patient before it cures it. I think this is a risk worth taking, but I'm not a miner. It is up to them.  Without taking the medicine, there is limited potential for growth and price appreciation.

Any miners want to weigh in on this?

Not a miner, but someone who had to deal with off-the-grid (due to ...no grid being available) power (wind, solar, diesel, hydro) and water cooling (well... machined my own waterblocks, at least):

First, the reason that non-subsidized alt energy is not used more often is because -- yeah, it's a tremendous pain, and is far more expensive than being on the grid. The most practical off-the-grid power sources are gas/diesel generators. There even were some portable gas turbines, lol.  
Second, there's no need to convert electricity into heat to store it, because see here. Granted, you need a legal hookup & power meters.
Micro hydro is basically a joke, because you need head. like so:

It's great when there are no alternatives and you're lucky enough to be in *just the right place,* but it's not a paddle wheel in a stream hooked up to an car alternator.

Using hot water from waterblocks (how many commercial miners are currently water-cooled? Yeah, water cooling's expensive, that's why.) is a non-starter - think about plumbing farm, think how useful warm water is (not hot, if your chip's running at 120C, the water entering your water block is ~35C & exiting @ ~60C) , etc., etc.

TL;DR: Most people advocating shit like that don't know which end of the screwdriver to stick in a screw.
472  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Did Blockstream veto the roundtable consensus? on: February 27, 2016, 01:56:00 PM
lets try to get back on track here.

Questions...

Does Core intend to go ahead with the proposal reached at the roundtable consensus? (segwit ASAP + 2MB HF a year later)

or maybe a better question, did the roundtable have any effect on anything or anyone? has anything changed due to the roundtable?

TL;DR:
Satoshi's Round Table Classic (the original) reaffirmed the spirit of cooperation and innovation.
Satoshi's Round Table: The Last Supper (the one below) will re-reaffirm the spirit of cooperation and innovation.
This weekend, 70 leaders in the Bitcoin and blockchain industry are meeting for a retreat.
[...]
"Unflinching fun for the whole family. I laughed, I cried."--Charles Manson
"Uncompromisingly transgressive"--David Koresh
473  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Satoshi Roundtable Retreat - 70 top Techies & CEOs - What should be covered? on: February 27, 2016, 01:05:21 PM
Not making value judgements, just relaying information. If you believe that freemasons aren't an invidious, violent, pathologically controlling organisation then that's up to you. It's not universal that those qualities are reviled, but I guess you can choose your morals in much the same way as your allegiances.

Honestly brother, I respect your skeptical anti-Freemasonry. I don't know what kind of books you've been reading; I guess it wouldn't surprise me if Freemasons really did have an invidious [good word] past. But my Grandfather was a Freemason. The man was a butcher! I'm pretty sure it was a harmless sausage party.

But there were no private islands. Wink

Joshua Zipkin of AMT is a Freemason.
John MacPherson AKA Horus of Cryptsy is a Freemason.

A good man I know here in Sandwich, IL, got the local serial liar (which said good man was well aware of, for he, too, joked at said liar's expense when dude wasn't present) to become a Freemason. BTW, the new Freemason is still the local serial liar - nothing changed except his stories became bigger, including how he (supposedly unknown to others) is fastly advancing through the ranks (leveling up) sharing supposed Masonic secrets while holding court at the local restaurant with the yokels.

Yeah, I they were both Godless atheists too. But not Communists.
Which conclusively proves that you can always trust a Communist.

P.S. Though it is a fact that Freemasons eat babies & have secs up the butt. That just ain't right.
474  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 26, 2016, 06:47:31 PM
...
current gen run 4.73TH at 1293 Watts. And no professional miner pays 12c/kWh. More like 1.5-4 cents.

Guys, where's your DIY spirit? Here's some absolutely Atlas-Shruggy Randiana we could paradigm-shift to sub-penny power with a few hydro-disruptors, like that orgone collector powering up BitUsher's solar solo home mine?
Who's with me?



http://gizmodo.com/a-rare-glimpse-inside-a-magnificent-abandoned-shrine-t-1000133696
475  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 26, 2016, 05:36:15 PM
^^Copy-pasting bits of your self-moderated thread with a question mark tacked on the end? Not even trolling, just spam. Might as well paste lorem ipsum.

Not interesting, adds nothing, minimal "meaning and lel through repetition" (the guy with Northern Exposure moose does it well, you do not).
If you are seriously struggling to understand how Bitcoin works, ask complete, direct questions. Make sure they're your own.
This is merely a suggestion Smiley
476  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 26, 2016, 04:45:39 PM

Launch window opening in a couple of days for Bitcoin Earth to Mars minimum energy transit and escape from the $500 sphere of gravity.

All lights continue to be green.
Play quietly, Sweetie, Mommy's reading her stories...

477  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why I Want Lightening Network on: February 26, 2016, 03:35:07 PM

From above:
"Even if the Lightning Network can handle billions and billions of transactions, it can only do so for the same few hundred thousand people who can hold value on the bitcoin network today.  The Lightning Network requires on chain transactions to open and close a channel, and the bitcoin blocksize gates the maximum number of channels people can open."

"For the Lightning Network to function, it requires that users and businesses lock up as much bitcoin as they would ever expect to transact over a given period of time. [...] So, for example, if someone opens a payment channel for $100, then the most money they can send is $100.  If they want to send $101, they simply cannot.  The channel is full, and they most close it and create a new one, or do an on-chain transaction for the $101 amount; which of course they can’t easily do because their bitcoin is already tied up in their LN channel. [...]
This creates a scenario where to transact significant amounts of value on the LN people will have to over-commit massive sums of bitcoin so these channels can remain open and have sufficient liquidity.  We have to ask, is it a ‘good thing’ to have to have massive quantities of bitcoin ‘locked up’ in payment channels simply so they can provide liquidity to users?"
478  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 26, 2016, 02:26:53 PM
...It's a slidebar situation, not a binary one. The more you push the slidebar higher, the more problems you create. And pushing it just to satisfy the need for spam is irrational.

Yes, why others can't see it is beyond me.  Angry How much of centralization are you willing to sacrifice in order to support more dust transactions?  

Good question.

It's more of a silly question. Or, dare I say it? A frickin' stupid question. Because it presupposes that centralization will be altered in a meaningful way.
Let me use the "two wolves and one sheep deciding on dinner" analogy smalblockers have run into the ground:
Right now, it's not 2 wolves and a sheep, it's NINE wolves and a sheep.
You're the sheep.
The wolves are all friends, they hang together, already shook hands on having you for dinner.
Here, sheep:





Now tell me more about slidebars.
479  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why I Want Lightening Network on: February 26, 2016, 02:11:07 PM
I hate advertisements.
< >
Your thoughts?

Transacting off-chain is not transacting in Bitcoin, by definition. It's also not limited to LN. People can use fiat, Doge, shitcoin-of-choice.
480  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: You Mad Bro? on: February 26, 2016, 01:22:42 PM
If you produce 500 pizzas per day, and 1,000 people want pizzas. You don't get rid of the backlog by doubling the size of the pizza. Either you produce 1,000 pizzas per day, or you increase the price so that 500 people buy something else.

Not quite. In Adam's analogy, 1 pizza = 1 tx. By doubling the blocksize limit, you're not making bigger pizzas (tx sizes don't change).
What's happening is loosely this:
Right now, a pizza delivery guy leaves the pizza shop roughly every 9 minutes. Today, his car can fit 500 delivery orders; after the block size increase, 1000.

P.S. re. "spam transactions":
The pizza shop get all sorts of orders called in -- some people just order a Coke, because too lazy to hit the bodega themselves. Smallblockers will have you think that the best way to deal with this is by keeping the Isetta delivery car, so no more than 500 orders will need to be delivered every 9 minutes.

This is stupid: just like the pizza shop, the miners can (and do) reject any order they don't feel like dealing with. They may choose to deliver Cokes to build up clientele, or charge $20 to deliver a Coke to your door.
Keeping a small delivery car simply means your pizza business can't grow Sad
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