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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 22, 2018, 11:06:05 PM
Here's an interesting observation I made

there's a support trend line that dates back to October and has 6 touches ever since then, and the recent drops to 6k and 6.6k line up perfectly with it - if the price heads down towards it these days they'd meet around 6900


this is the weekly timechart btw
https://screenshotscdn.firefoxusercontent.com/images/a8c106a1-bda7-4214-bacd-e458ee6410a6.png



I've been expecting something along those lines as well, but the time frames would have to be slightly adjusted. IF we break the 7k strong support levels we should only see the 6ks two weeks from now. And (again, IF we hit so low) I could bet my *** that the big bounce up will be around that level too.
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 21, 2018, 06:31:23 PM



Aren't some of these seasonality cycle narratives a bit ridiculous?


Sure, I do not mind seeing the various comparisons as a thought process, yet frequently there seems to be way to much attempt to hype a cycle as if it exists, likely pumps or dumps every year at certain months, too... the latest of which was the suggestions of pumps at the end of the calendar year and dumps at the beginning of the calendar year.

Part of my point is that there may be some of these kinds of coincidences, but the reality remains that circumstances surrounding bitcoin are changing all the time, and there may be momentum in one direction or another direction at any time, but bitcoin is never at the same point in a river, at any time, even though the upcoming curve might seem similar.

#/take these bitcoin seasonal cycle claims with a decently large grain of salt/#

People should pin what you said on exchanges' homepages. It would save the newbies some money and make things a little harder (or less easy, so to speak) for the big fishes.
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 14, 2018, 11:53:26 PM
The 8-8.2ks have not been tested and those upward squeezes looked pretty much orchestrated to me. Hundreds of shorts have been closed today. We're clearly long term bullish, but I do believe we could still bounce at 9k and hit the 8ks after Consensus (and then speed it up yo the 10ks again).

Hope for the best but stay alert

Aren't you splitting hairs when you attempt to assert that $8k to $8.2k has not been tested in recent times?

During the weekend, BTC prices dipped down within the $8,208 to $8,286 price range three times, and with decent trade volume on each downward push.

To me, those seem like tests of price support, and sufficiently close enoug to the lower $8ks to be tests of that range.

Now, sure getting to the very bottom of that range might be something that is being attempted, and could be useful in determining that prices are ready to resume the testing of upwards resistance in the $9k to $10k arena...

I doubt that it is reasonable to conclude that we are manipulated, even though there could be bearwhales who have some coins stacked up that are waiting for some stronger "down" in order to dump their coins, and pray for success.

I see what you mean. I believe we're looking at the movements from different perspectives. Even though we reached for the 8.22k during the last few days, the market was showing even stronger (at least in my opinion) bearish signals until that 450 USD squeeze from earlier today. We were trading sideways with weak bull flags being broken every few hours and we had just broken out of a strong descending channel. The volume was rather low and there wasn't a lot of gas (again, from what I could see) to start another bull run. That's why 450 USD in roughly 10 minutes didn't seem natural.

But I can't really see what's gonna happen next, I keep changing from short term bearish to bullish every 30 minutes through the past 10 hours...
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 14, 2018, 09:39:24 PM
The 8-8.2ks have not been tested and those upward squeezes looked pretty much orchestrated to me. Hundreds of shorts have been closed today. We're clearly long term bullish, but I do believe we could still bounce at 9k and hit the 8ks after Consensus (and then speed it up yo the 10ks again).

Hope for the best but stay alert
5  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2018, 02:03:27 AM
Dudes, I know that this post is *mainly* for BTC but I believe these news could affect BTC as well. That WSJ rumored ETH SEC metting seems to be the biggest FUD of the month.

This reddit thread sums it all up: https://www.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/8hobwh/is_this_sec_is_eth_a_security_meeting_actually/

No one knows if it will actually happen, not even the fucking reporter (Paul Vigna) who wrote it for WSJ.

There could be ETH buy-ins in the next hours if this actually confirms (specially considering a lot of people bought it today for 75x bucks) and the other coins could follow.

ETH aside, I do believe we're not dropping the 9.2k hard support level and that this is the 4th bull run to 10k nevertheless  Grin
6  Local / Economia & Mercado / Re: Exchange BitcoinToYou [TÓPICO OFICIAL] on: May 06, 2018, 09:55:44 PM
Pessoal, como andam as coisas na B2U? Ainda andam tendo problemas?

Vi no BitValor que eles estão com o menor preço de compra de BTC/R$ dentre todas as brasileiras. Fiquei interessado (e desconfiado), mas vim olhar o post aqui no forum antes de me cadastrar e as coisas não parecem boas... Uma pena, parecia uma empresa muito sólida.

Pq não parecem boas? Por causa dos relatos postados aqui ou vc teria alguma outra fonte falando da B2U?

Faz um tempinho que não uso a exchange, mas sempre que tive problemas, os mesmos sempre foram resolvidos na hora.

Pelo que foi relatado aqui na page mesmo. Isso e o volume deles (média de 50 BTC/dia, parece relativamente baixo). Se o valor de compra é consideravelmente menor e o volume está baixo assim, será que não há motivos para desconfiar?

Acho que vou ficar acompanhando durante maio e ver se experimento em junho se não houver nenhuma novidade até lá.

O volume lá sempre foi baixo, desde os primórdios...somente em épocas de alta que o povo sai comprando e vendendo que há picos no volume acima de 100BTC.

É? Bom saber então! Estando tudo ok, parece ser uma das melhores exchanges pra trocar R$ por BTC atualmente!
7  Local / Economia & Mercado / Re: Exchange BitcoinToYou [TÓPICO OFICIAL] on: May 06, 2018, 07:17:29 PM
Pessoal, como andam as coisas na B2U? Ainda andam tendo problemas?

Vi no BitValor que eles estão com o menor preço de compra de BTC/R$ dentre todas as brasileiras. Fiquei interessado (e desconfiado), mas vim olhar o post aqui no forum antes de me cadastrar e as coisas não parecem boas... Uma pena, parecia uma empresa muito sólida.

Pq não parecem boas? Por causa dos relatos postados aqui ou vc teria alguma outra fonte falando da B2U?

Faz um tempinho que não uso a exchange, mas sempre que tive problemas, os mesmos sempre foram resolvidos na hora.

Pelo que foi relatado aqui na page mesmo. Isso e o volume deles (média de 50 BTC/dia, parece relativamente baixo). Se o valor de compra é consideravelmente menor e o volume está baixo assim, será que não há motivos para desconfiar?

Acho que vou ficar acompanhando durante maio e ver se experimento em junho se não houver nenhuma novidade até lá.
8  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 LUNABOT - BINANCE / POLO - the only crypto bot you'll need 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 on: May 05, 2018, 11:35:06 PM
- snip -

Main thing which could turn Lunabot into a well famous crypto trading bot
- a One time permanent price
- Provide some strategy setting which can be choose (Definitely i know you guys are doing it now)
- Price factor is still the main concern - 0.00627 btc is around $58/month, if we goes over longer term, people would eventually compare prices and decide

If Lunabot vs Gunbot at a same pricing, perma license, but Lunabot doesn't provide strategy
I would go for Lunabot because of how it works


This is very significant. 0.1 for a permanent license would be a deal closer for sure.

If I could suggest another idea, you guys could allow the pricing be 0.02 BTC/month instead of locking the subscription for a minimum of 0.06/3 months. It would be easier for people to try it for a month or two before buying a longer subscription period (or even a perma license).
9  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 LUNABOT - BINANCE / POLO - the only crypto bot you'll need 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 on: May 05, 2018, 11:30:09 PM
How has your trading in LunaBot been? If you'd like to peek at how other's are doing you can come into LunaBot's Telegram channel where a bot posts all trades with profit above 5$.


For discussion in English join here:
https://t.me/lunacryptobot_world

Thank you for sharing, I've just joined the channel.

Alani, are you the one who's gonna represent Luna inside BTCtalk in general?

Cause this project really did impress me, it's super easy to use and delivers great results. I believe there's an extraordinary space for it to grow within the community in general.

I promise you guys I'll be posting a nice review with a few tips as soon as I can employ a few hours on the task.



10  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Great table of ⚉ HIGH-END BOTS ⚉ - Updated: 04/07/2018 - Automate your profit! on: May 05, 2018, 11:22:39 PM
To clarify some things - I have five Uni related deadlines these weeks: a JEE project, a Java project, a GPU project, an R project and an AI project.

They are important criterions for me in order to have the last exam of my first ever degree, which is from Computer Science.

I will try to be more active after the deadlines and before the last exam and after my first degree, and I will research bot related things after my first degree, at MSc level.

I count on your great companionship, remember ))

Hey! I believe I can say that most people who are frequently checking this thread will do their bests to keep it updated with good stuff.

GL with your exams!
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 05, 2018, 02:16:37 PM
And down again.

The wall to 10k is too strong atm.



And it was 1.4k BTC a few moments ago...

There's a 111 sell order, it's insane
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 05, 2018, 02:11:39 PM


On a sidenote, I believe the last chances to go short will be presented today or tomorrow. Prices tend to correct after super bullish waves like this one.

Yeah of course, a correction could come at any time, so one thing would be to close longs along the way (which means selling) and another thing is going short (which means going on margin, and is a step further than some folks are willing to go).  Personally, I don't mind selling small amounts on the way up, but going short is playing a bit harder ball than is within my bailiwick. 

To be more specific, I could see breaking above $10k, by 10% or even 15% and then correcting below $10k,,, but who knows.. $10k could become a new floor, also, as others have postulated that possibility, which is not unreasonable, either.

Yeah, just like 9.2k has already seem to have become the new floor, at least for a while. You're right, I believe closing longs does fit better.

I'm just worried with that April 17 - 24/25 fractal. IF things end up happening in a similar fashion, we could see a spike in 10.6k and a 13% correction following May 6th and 7th (retesting 9.2k, most likely, and running up to the 11ks from there).

Or it could just keep spiking up like November - 17th of december 2017, who knows  Grin


I don't have any issue with what you are saying, and it comes off as reasonable; however, I also have difficulties attempting to assign any kind of level of certainty to anything beyond one leg.  Or maybe I could reasonably assert something like, there is a decently sized possibility that prices will break above $10k in the coming day (perhaps 63%), and once prices break above $10k, if they do, then the odds are greater than 75% that they are going to appreciate at least 10% above $10k.. the odds of those two together seem to be .63 x .75, which is only 47.25%, so once you start to add up events, the probabilities begin to trickle way below 50%, and maybe I am even assigning too high of percentages to the preceding events, so I start to worry that I am speculating way too much if I try to string along too many events at once - even if I have a vision in my head, I become reluctant to say my vision out loud because there are too many contingencies that end up lowering the probability of that outcome by a considerable amount, even though I view my scenario as the most likely of scenarios, it begins to trickle down to the 1/3 or below territory, so it becomes more likely that I am wrong, even if I am picking the most likely of the then available options.  I hope that makes sense.

Makes a lot of sense, mate. I'd say it's a solid and grounded mindset to approach trading nevertheless.
13  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 05, 2018, 01:12:42 PM


On a sidenote, I believe the last chances to go short will be presented today or tomorrow. Prices tend to correct after super bullish waves like this one.

Yeah of course, a correction could come at any time, so one thing would be to close longs along the way (which means selling) and another thing is going short (which means going on margin, and is a step further than some folks are willing to go).  Personally, I don't mind selling small amounts on the way up, but going short is playing a bit harder ball than is within my bailiwick. 

To be more specific, I could see breaking above $10k, by 10% or even 15% and then correcting below $10k,,, but who knows.. $10k could become a new floor, also, as others have postulated that possibility, which is not unreasonable, either.

Yeah, just like 9.2k has already seem to have become the new floor, at least for a while. You're right, I believe closing longs does fit better.

I'm just worried with that April 17 - 24/25 fractal. IF things end up happening in a similar fashion, we could see a spike in 10.6k and a 13% correction following May 6th and 7th (retesting 9.2k, most likely, and running up to the 11ks from there).

Or it could just keep spiking up like November - 17th of december 2017, who knows  Grin
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 05, 2018, 12:45:32 PM


On a sidenote, I believe the last chances to go short will be presented today or tomorrow. Prices tend to correct after super bullish waves like this one.
15  Local / Economia & Mercado / Re: Exchange BitcoinToYou [TÓPICO OFICIAL] on: May 04, 2018, 06:34:38 PM
Pessoal, como andam as coisas na B2U? Ainda andam tendo problemas?

Vi no BitValor que eles estão com o menor preço de compra de BTC/R$ dentre todas as brasileiras. Fiquei interessado (e desconfiado), mas vim olhar o post aqui no forum antes de me cadastrar e as coisas não parecem boas... Uma pena, parecia uma empresa muito sólida.
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 27, 2018, 09:05:43 PM
The H&S pattern has been completed. I hope that the rally to 10k is inbound already.

Keep your eyes open lads!

I see the h&s on the 24 hour but that looks bad? Is there another one on a larger timescale?

No, you're right, it's bad for the short term (next 6 hours), but I *think* it might allow buyers to charge in from lower prices and hit somewhere in between 9,3-10k during this weekend. As always, just a guess though
17  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 27, 2018, 08:33:51 PM
The H&S pattern has been completed. I hope that the rally to 10k is inbound already.

Keep your eyes open lads!
18  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 27, 2018, 04:24:10 AM
On the 1h we look to be entering a consolidation zone. I had thought this rise would coincide with the weekend but Bulls appear to be ready to test resistance at $9.3k.


As we step back and look at the 4h chart, testing $10k this weekend looks like a possibility. #dyor

@infofront    Thanks man..the sarcasm aside, I am quite honored actually.  Cheesy


About that second chart, don't you think that there could be one or two bigger rebounds before hitting the 10,5-11? I've seen a lot of people in TradeView saying that some big players could benefit from a dump to 8k to recharge their wallets and pump straight up to 14k.

I mean, today's correction was expected by most members I've managed to read through here in the forum (not the prices exactly, but several dudes were feeling uneasy about the ultra bullish uptrend that followed after the 8k break), wouldn't a similar feeling hit the market if we did manage to break 10k in a rush?
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 27, 2018, 04:15:14 AM
This 400 BTC Sell Wall shaped throughout the last few hours is as insane as it is pretty, indeed
20  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 LUNABOT - BINANCE / POLO - the only crypto bot you'll need 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 on: April 25, 2018, 10:15:48 PM
How do I make the best setting?

Dude, search for Gunbot tutorials. It's a mainstream bot (which means there will be quality guides out there, even here in the forum there might be some quality info) and it covers most (if not all) config inputs you'll find on luna or other similar bots.

I quickly found this on google, didn't give it a full read but seems like a nice place to start learning: https://thecryptobot.com/category/gunbot-tutorials/

Check it out or just use the standard config that comes with Luna. It's pretty safe in my experience and delivers a few percent every week.
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