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1  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Will Be a Failure Even If It Hits $100,000, Says "Black Swan" Author !! on: July 03, 2022, 09:03:14 PM
That statement does not even look logical at a quick glance.
Reads to me like someone jumping on a trend, with how the current market is looking, and the wider issue of a global recession, people will be believing this for a while, and that might increase sales for their books.

I wouldn't look at this statement, and expect a sound, logicically approach. It's simply a marketing scheme, which will likely work. Doesn't matter if they're wrong in the long term, people would've already forgot. However, when you look at it short term, people are going to be like; "they were right!", and look at his work. Since, it's very probable that if we hit $100k tomorrow, we'd have a price correction not long after that, and then they'd be able to bask in that glory for a little while.

To be honest, I'm not overly familiar with their work, but if you're going to make bold predictions at least go into depth on why you think so.

Overall, nothing statement which likely has an agenda attached to it. Also, ignore people's titles, mathematician doesn't really make his reasoning any more sound. Judge people on their logic, not their titles.
2  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: July 03, 2022, 08:49:35 PM
Do you think there could be a situation where Volkanovski is simply not in his weight class? It’s just that if you compare the fighters, then Max is higher, but Volkonovsky is much more athletic, more massive, I mean that he is not in his category and there are no equal fighters here. What do you think about this?
They weighed the same, the day before. That's how it works across most fighting sports. However, due to the way they weight cut, i.e mostly waters. On the day you're going to see some fighters gain their mass back rather quickly, and therefore will be heavier than the day before.

Now, there's been criticism of this in the past, but the only way you're going to stop this is by weighing them before they step in the cage. However, that presents new problems like, bad weight cuts causing the fighters to be drained before actually fighting, since they'd be fighting like a hour after they finished cutting, more cancelled fights or fighters losing their purse, and quite frankly wouldn't earn the UFC as many money since they wouldn't get double the viewers, since a lot of people tune into the weigh ins. Thus, they make more sponsorship money.

So, to answer your question in short; It's impossible to prevent a fighter from cutting so much that he weighs the same as his opponent the day before the fight, but ultimately is heavier on the day.
3  Other / Meta / Re: What about Bitcointalk APP for Both Smartphone and Desktop Platform on: July 03, 2022, 08:43:31 PM
I am not a mobile friendly person, it's too small for me. I like my laptop and feel comfortable working in it. The current forum is serving me without any problem. In fact I may feel uncomfortable if the layout changes, the BBCode version changes however at the same time I am curious to experience epochtalk.

Do I sound old? 😉
I mean, not really. I'm not looking forward to any major changes in the future. I've become quite accustomed to the current forum software, and I also share the view that laptops/desktops are miles better than phones. I don't login on phones any more, and I just use the phone for reading while out of office.

I understand users frustrations with using the forum on a mobile device, but my thoughts are I don't know how you'd effectively tackle the problem of quoting, and editing. Go to any modern forum these days (discourse), and you'd likely get the same. I've had to sign up to a site to ask a specific question before, and it would've been easier on a laptop that's for sure.

The only difference with bitcointalk or better yet the underlying software it uses Simple Machines Forum is it allows for extensive editing of the post you're replying too. A lot of modern forums don't allow this, and you simply have to quote them completely or it shows you're replying to a certain post, but not specific parts in the post itself. I personally prefer this system, despite it sometimes taking a lot longer, it allows us to be a bit more specific in our replies.
4  Other / Meta / Re: What about Bitcointalk APP for Both Smartphone and Desktop Platform on: July 03, 2022, 06:22:17 PM
This is a major problem I felt when I tried with mobile device. There are problems with reading also. You need to move your page right to left and left to right all the time. This is where a mobile responsive version will help.
Would rotating the device, potentially mitigate the scaling issue? Then, using IME arrows on the keyboard, allow for better editing? For example, I can't live without IME arrows. I'm actually not sure if that's a universal term, and I'm not exactly sure what the abbreviation stands for, but on my custom ROM I've got "IME arrows" which basically allow you to go back, and forward without using the backspace, and space button.

I know that highlighting text can sometimes be tricky, and then there's the quotation side of things. I just don't know what you would implement inside a app, to be better at achieving it. I've typed up fairly lengthy content on things that aren't related to the forum, and while it doesn't come close to a keyboard, it wasn't too bad. The only other complexity I see with the forum is quoting, and then editing or snipping that quote as some users like to call it. That, isn't easily fixed, because of the limitations of a phone though.

5  Other / Meta / Re: What about Bitcointalk APP for Both Smartphone and Desktop Platform on: July 03, 2022, 05:58:51 PM
What's exactly bad about Bitcointalk on a mobile phone? Apart from editing/posting, since that's going to be horrible anyway on a smaller keyboard. When I've used a phone to look at the forum, mostly to read, and not to log in mind you, I've never really had a problem with it.

I have logged in on an alt account I specifically made for insecure connections a few years ago, and I remember it being very slow to quote, and what not, but at the end of the day, would a app really make this any better? Especially, the amount of time needed to develop the app.

I'm not convinced it will, at least when you think of the effort needed to develop it, and maintain it. I guess the question is, how many users are actually using a mobile phone to connect to here? (I do suspect quite a lot)
6  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re:'s English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: July 03, 2022, 05:55:17 PM
I am actually not so sure who they should sign for that, but they really should sign a left midfielder right now. Hendo is starting to get rusty, and Ox is not trusted enough to start there. (I wouldn't be surprised if he is sold this year).

I have no clue honestly. Any guesses here?
Hate to say it, but Gini was brilliant for breaking up play, and holding onto the ball when needed. Obviously, that meant at times we weren't as attacking, but there's a balance. We leak goals because of our high line. I don't think its the quality of the midfield per say, its just that high line can get caught out from time to time. However, it works most of the time.

City, are especially good at breaking our high line, and anyone with a decent play maker. I actually think that's partly the reason we lost so heavily against Aston Villa. There was obviously other reasons at play there too.

As for a new signing. I'm not sure. Bellingham would be the one for the future, but he's a little bit raw at the moment.
7  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Bitshield wallet not reputed. Be careful of the noncustododial wallet... on: July 03, 2022, 05:46:14 PM
What's the real worry is how frequent these are popping up, and because they're usually on the app store, they get quite a few downloads, meaning a lot of people could be caught out unknowingly. I think it's safe to say that most people getting into Bitcoin will likely use a mobile wallet, rather than doing their research, and then deciding. Since, a lot of the time it's more of a jump in the deep end, and figure it out rather than having the due diligence.

I think even most veteran users here will admit they didn't consider Bitcoin something they'd be using as a daily currency when they got into it. So, we need to figure a way of preventing these sort of users from getting compromised in this way. Unfortunately, we can't rely on Google's secure scan on the Google app, as that's rather generic.
8  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: July 03, 2022, 05:43:08 PM
Volk also announced he'll be moving up a division, which I'm all for. I honestly, after that performance against Max, don't think there's too many contenders in the same division. I thought Max would do better than that, but it's quite clear that Volk has just continued to get better, while Max looking a little stagnant. Same sort of attacks as the fight before, and didn't really have any other game plan. Tried to grapple, but Volk got the upper hand on pretty much every occasion.

Also, I haven't watched the post conference yet, is it worth watching? I'd only be interested in Strickland's attitude after being knocked out. That's if he didn't have to go to hospital for a few checks that is.
9  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: July 03, 2022, 12:09:09 PM
I was a Jessica-Rose Clark decision away from winning £15k. What's more annoying, it was the first bloody fight of the evening, so any tension was gone before we even started. I knew it, I bloody knew I should've favoured the wrestler. Especially, in Womans mixed martial arts, I find the wrestlers are usually the ones that make a good bet, when it comes to underdogs.

Love to see Strickland brought back down to reality. Feel like he overlooked Alex. Izzy did Izzy things, made it look easy, but ultimately wasn't a overly exciting fight. Honestly, despite the card being stacked, I felt a little bit disappointed by most of the fights.

Israel Adesanya
Alexander Volkanovski
Alex Pereira
Bryan Barberena
Pedro Munhoz
Brad Riddell
Jim Miller
Gabe Green
Dricus Du Plessis
André Muniz
Maycee Barber
Jessica-Rose Clark
8 out of 12, one of those being a no contest, so 8 out of 11. That's not a bad night, if Jessica had won, I'd have landed two bets.
10  Other / Meta / Re: [POLL] DT2 Status; how many net inclusions should it take? on: July 02, 2022, 11:43:14 AM
Right, so while theymos didn't necessarily categorise them based on priority, you can kind of read between the lines, and establish what might be implemented before something else. Ok/maybe obviously being better than the no category.

Obviously, this was back in 2018, and some of these changes have actually been implemented.

Cheers, I tried searching through my merit history with theymos as I was sure I would've merited it. However, didn't.

Also, 2018! Time flies.
11  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: July 02, 2022, 11:36:29 AM
Right, so my bets are above. However, I've also got my predictions for the whole card:

Israel Adesanya
Alexander Volkanovski
Alex Pereira
Bryan Barberena
Pedro Munhoz
Brad Riddell
Jim Miller
Gabe Green
Dricus Du Plessis
André Muniz
Maycee Barber
Jessica-Rose Clark

I might place two bets, considering I won that money last weekend. The one bet that I've already mentioned (which I deem the safe bet), and then a slightly more risky one with more reward. Here:

Jessica-Rose Clark decision
Maycee Barber decision
André Muniz
Dricus Du Plessis
Jim Miller
Alexander Volkanovski
Israel Adesanya

I think that actually looks pretty good. It wouldn't give a massive amount of money. 23.40 odds. If you stick a Volk decision on it instead, it would be 34.32 odds.
12  Other / Serious discussion / Re: Has anyone built a "briefcase computer"? on: July 02, 2022, 11:12:10 AM
The battery is the hardest part for me. You're either lugging around a portable power station, which is going to set you back quite a bit or like the video I linked, you'd build your own. I like the idea of building my own, since you know it satisfies the nerd in me, however from a safety stand point I'm not quite sure I trust my skills in doing so.

Then obviously that has to be replaced after a certain amount of cycles as you'll be using lithium batteries, which naturally degrade with use. That's what's stopping me from doing this build at the moment. Everything else is pretty easily sorted, even doing it somewhat compactly as well.
13  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re:'s English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: July 02, 2022, 10:52:51 AM
I agree with Welsh though, City have Haaland but they've lost a few key players as well, not sure if 1-man Haaland can replace the outgoings. I know Pep's different too but I'll remember what happened to Bundesliga stars coming to EPL just in past 2 seasons alone. I don't like using the world flop but...
Right, and to be honest I'm not even convinced he will do well. Hear me out before you get the pitch forks out, but most of his highlight reels are amazing, running with the ball, and using his pace. However, in reality most of his goals come in from tap ins. Now, that's a skill in its own right, don't get me wrong. However, is Haaland going to get as much space in the Premier League as the Bundesliga?

I don't know the answer to that, but we'll soon find out. I'm a little worried since I've watched a fair bit of City games now, and they tend to hit the byline, and cross it quite effectively. However, up until this point they haven't really had the players in the right positions. If Haaland can still get in the right positions, he could be the difference between City drawing or losing.

However, I'm definitely not cacking my pants because he has joined city. I'm quietly confident about Nunes, and we've got Diaz who is arguably the best signing of last season.
14  Other / Meta / Re: Can we have an undo button for comment and post editor? on: July 02, 2022, 10:37:10 AM
You could use custom software to achieve this on a phone, obviously though I wouldn't recommend downloading unverified code from the app store. I bet there will be open source options out there, that you could take a look at the code before installing. Some custom ROMS ship with this  sort of functionality, since they're trying to get away from relying on Gboard.
15  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re:'s English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: July 01, 2022, 10:23:37 PM
The thing is, yeah Man City are stronger, but the only real signing of note is Haaland who is known to have injury problems. So, he could be another Aguero where when he plays he delivers, but for much of the year is out injured. I actually think Haaland is a bit of a risk because of that.

I'm not buying into the idea that City is this unstoppable force. They dropped a lot of points last season when they got quite a good lead on us. One big signing doesn't make a difference in my opinion. Sure, more goals. However, I actually think their defence isn't exactly the best. Think they could improve there. Nah, I think Liverpool, and Chelsea are going to challenge this year. Arsenal, outside chance.
16  Other / Meta / Re: [INFO]Gambling Board Spams; Concerns, Solutions & Suggestions on: July 01, 2022, 10:03:03 PM
Ah Welsh, you made a point that I overlooked entirely. If posts get deleted in self-moderated threads then yes the root issue is not known to moderators therefore having them reported have their own benefits for the forum admin and moderators to look at the wider problem.

The downside is that on many occasions actions by moderators have taken days to either merge posts or remove them. Self-moderated thread creators can get twitchy in the interim  Grin

I think I will try to do that, instead of just deleting spammers I will report them and wait for moderators to take action unless the posts are from users that are promoting scams or alike. (Those are really related to the sports threads I created in the gambling section).
You could just apply it to those that are spamming all over, and not just posted a one off comment. I guess there's a balance to it, and obviously what you want in your self moderated thread is up to you, but looking at it from a greater scope, worth keeping in mind. I'm certainly not telling you it's required.

Yeah, I can't really comment on how long it takes for reports to get acted upon, as I don't see them from that section. Although, the ones that I have done were handled the same day.
17  Other / Meta / Re: [POLL] DT2 Status; how many net inclusions should it take? on: July 01, 2022, 09:07:41 PM
What I understand, he has a list of priorities and none of us know what's in the list. Something is very important to us could be less important for him, not saying that changing the net score is something very important right now. It's working but it would be better if the score is higher. Hopefully he also see the importance like us.
I'll have to find it, or rely on someone who's a little bit quicker, but there was a time where theymos gave his opinion on certain features that were suggested over the years, and they categorised them in terms of priority or at least what they somewhat agree with, and don't.

It was a pretty extensive list. So, we got a little insight into their priorities, as well as how their mind works when it comes to implementing things into the forum. I don't specifically recall the trust system being mentioned though. Although, it might have been. Think this post is a few years old at this point.
18  Economy / Speculation / Re: Q2 Bitcoin Close -56% on: July 01, 2022, 08:53:02 PM
During crises and recessions, most people are concerned about how to earn something, not how to save their money.
I'm not sure, usually you see people trying to cut down. Super market branded food sells more, people look to share cars to work, and people basically look to cut down on celebrations, and treats. So, I do think it's a combination of both. However, most people aren't thinking about investments during this time, due to the risky nature. I mean, investing in Bitcoin is a risky investment during times where you might not have a steady income. Since, as we know recessions usually mean mass redundancies, and job losses. I already know people who have been told they're being made redundant at the end of the year. So, it's already happening.

I think we'll see those with a bit of a buffer investing in Bitcoin during the recession, but those strapped for cash will be looking to stretch their penny further than before. This basically doesn't help Bitcoin much from a supply, and demand viewpoint, and I do think this will effect the price, and hence we won't be seeing any major uptrend in the next year.

I don't even know how long this recession is going to last, we'll likely be feeling the effects of it for years. There's an argument that recessions are never not felt, and they compound on one another.
19  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: July 01, 2022, 08:46:04 PM
I'm still deciding on my predictions, but I think my bet will be something like this:

- Israel Adesanya vs Jared Cannonier to not go the distance
- Alexander Volkanovski decision
- Sean Strickland decision
- Maycee Barber to go the distance

Just now seeing, I'm expecting most of the fights to reach a conclusion via points. Might need to change that Cheesy. Maybe, Izzy, Volk, Sean Strickland to win, and then Maycee Barber to go the distance instead.

I don't know if anyone noticed how skinny and weak Max Holloway looked on scale, you can see it in his face, but maybe something will change and he recovers for his fight with Volkanovski.
If I was to haveth a guess, it would be a bad cut, which in theory he could recover from before the fight. Both of these guys have insane cardio though, and if he has had a bad cut, it would be interesting to see how that might affect that cardio. As we know, Volk is relentless at times.
20  Other / Meta / Re: [POLL] DT2 Status; how many net inclusions should it take? on: July 01, 2022, 08:41:15 PM
A little over 5,000 users have voted, and those votes affect the forum's trust system for millions of users.  Not my idea of good representation.  Doubling the threshold for DT2 inclusion isn't going to fix all the abuses from which the trust system suffers, but it'll make it a bit harder to abuse.
Yeah, it's somewhat bad that so many users are potentially blindly trusting the DefaultTrust. However, 5000 users voting isn't actually to bad. I mean there's a common belief with statistics that at the very minimum 1000 should be in the dataset, which we're above at the least. Obviously, the more, the better that goes without saying.

Although, 5000 users including various different users, isn't a terrible representation. It would be interesting to see how those 5000 trust lists differ. You know, if they aren't changed all that much, and only adding a few users to the list, or excluding some, that would could be more of an issue. However, 5000 users on face value alone, doesn't strike me as terrible. I'm actually surprised it's that many to be honest. Not everyone trades on the forum, and not everyone necessarily needs the trust system.
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