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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: Pessimist's Exponent on: March 23, 2017, 08:30:58 AM
There are other ways to interpret this - if it breaks the support line - than we'll have a big correction. On a log chart this is a straight line - so many chartist will treat it as a trend line and support.

The history of other exponential fragments supports this. It is pretty silly to reject most of bitcoin history as 'outliers' - outliers are the exceptions, they cannot be the biggest part of the data.
2  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2017-03-21] Bitcoin Stabilizes After 3-Day Nosedive on: March 22, 2017, 07:51:54 AM
" three sessions slammed pricing to its lowest level since 2015" - hmm really?

the stabilization news is on the same level of accuracy
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: Hard fork? BTC? BCU? on: March 20, 2017, 03:29:31 PM
...
2-BTC and BCU will be seperated like any other altcoin after hardfork no relation for price.
...

Mostly yes - but there is one tricky part - see www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/4vbsgi/what_is_replay_attack/?st=j0i9ilgc&sh=fe729ee7
Apparently there is no transaction replay protection planned - so everybody will need to do it himself. If there is a fork and you have your old BTCs - you first need to send both BTC and BTU to addresses that you control, then use them as normal. If instead your first transaction will be sending BTU or BTC to some external address - then the receiver of the coins will be able to copy your transaction to the other chain and also get BTC or BTU respectively.
4  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Litecoin Comeback 2017? on: March 20, 2017, 06:52:22 AM
I am pretty sure that it will - but it can take a long time for that. Both from TA perspective - this was a long bear and a lot of push up is needed to break it up, and from fundamental perspective - looks like it takes a too much effort for the miners to upgrade their stacks for SegWit (that P2Pool for example apparently has problems with C++ libs). A few months yet.
5  Economy / Speculation / Re: No HardFork will happen -Most exchanges say BU will at *best be an ALT-Coin. on: March 19, 2017, 06:51:29 PM
What is the OP talking about? How exchanges can list BU as an altcoin if there is no HardFork?

No, what will happen is this. In the event that Bitcoin forks into BTCcore and BTC unlimited. BU will be considered an alt (by default) by exchanges. But if the network moves toward BU and it becomes the longest/strongest/most secure chain, BU will be bitcoin and BTC core will be the alt. Exchanges have ZERO control outside of their "word".

The exchanges lay claim to play god over what is the true Bitcoin? Exchanges have no say and anything they say is only to sway the market in their best interests (higher prices with no fork). It is a manipulation attempt. If they can be heard by the majority (read majority of the money) then they profit. If we fork, BTC tanks, and their profits go down the hole for some time until confidence is restored.

The two branches will have different consensus - length between them is not that easy to compare, it is not like oridinary two branches of blockchain that comply to the same protocol. The name is contentious thing, your argument only shows that the drama will be high.

And by they way you did not answer my question at all. The title of this thread is nonsense - if there are two branches then there was a HardFork.
6  Economy / Speculation / Re: No HardFork will happen -Most exchanges say BU will at *best be an ALT-Coin. on: March 19, 2017, 01:44:08 PM
What is the OP talking about? How exchanges can list BU as an altcoin if there is no HardFork?
7  Economy / Speculation / Re: Time to buy back up! (again) on: March 19, 2017, 12:22:39 PM
Internet dramas tend to be persistent and this HF drama will suppress the prices as long as there is no resolution.
That said it might be very profitable to swing trade here - buy back the dips sell the dead cat bounces - but it is not that easy.
8  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin deep to $1070 best time to buy. on: March 18, 2017, 11:37:15 AM
This is an excellent buying opportunity, obviously.

There is no fork planned. Do your research.
This was a very manipulated correction.

Manipulation is always when market moves against a trader. It moves up - traders scream manipulation, it moves down - traders scream manipulation, it moves down but not enough - traders scream manipulation.
9  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: RIP Litecoin (sub 0.0025 incoming) on: March 18, 2017, 06:19:16 AM
LTC is now in a good position for a rally, it just needs a spark. That spark can be SegWit adoption - I hope they do it quickly.
10  Economy / Speculation / Re: Hard Fork speculation thread on: March 17, 2017, 12:53:03 PM
This was the worst trading month for me ever. Lost 2k this month because of dumps. Anyway altcoins are also to much pumpd like dash and Eth. Litecoin has almost the same movement like BTC so litecoin will decrease when Bitcoin decreases. So dont buy Ltc. I think Creditbit is a good alternative while Bitcoin will continue to tumbling down. Believe me we wont go up untill scaling problem is solved.

LTC is the closest alternative to BTC - that's why it often moves together. But this time LTC is not in danger of a fork and has SegWit much closer than BTC - so it should not be dragged down. At the same time being the most closest substitute should make it attractive as a hedge. Potentially if there is a real BTC meltdown - then for merchants it would be the easiest to switch to LTC.

The other alts are already pumped up - so look dangerous, but ETH is tempting, it is not really an alternative - it is a new thing.
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: Hard Fork speculation thread on: March 17, 2017, 12:25:05 PM
Man i wait till all this hardfork BU storm is passed. 100 % fiat now. When we fork the price will decline with 50%, just look like Eth. A hardfork will cause a 2 year bear market.

Don't you try your luck with alts? ETH and DASH made some nice gains. I am trying LTC, everybody gave up on it - but we'll see.
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: Hard Fork speculation thread on: March 17, 2017, 12:13:23 PM
"Coinbase, Bitfinex Would List Bitcoin Unlimited As “Altcoin” After Soft Fork: Mow" https://cointelegraph.com/news/coinbase-bitfinex-would-list-bitcoin-unlimited-as-altcoin-after-soft-fork-mow

That is how BU lost the name battle.

Who gives a fuck about what they say?

When all the miners convert to BU and most of the users decide to use BU instead of the core, then let's see their opinions on the subject again.

If the community decides that BU is the new bitcoin, then there is nothing to be done about it.

I hate fucking exchanges, they are cancer.

That is wishful thinking - you hate exchanges so you believe they have no say.
13  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Sooo...which one of you is selling BTC to buy ETH? on: March 17, 2017, 06:51:43 AM
Hmm - but with unlimited supply Ethere was not really meant as a store of value.
14  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Litecoin is the sleeping giant on: March 16, 2017, 07:55:09 PM
LTC is the closest substitution for BTC - so if there is a BTC hardfork related meltdown - then LTC will be used instead. The lack of innovation in LTC which was dragging it down for so long - but now it is its advantage.

Personally I don't weight the probability of a BTC HF too much - but for sure it has been growing for some time.
15  Economy / Speculation / Re: Vinny Lingham - Bitcoin Unlimited (BTU) will be an Alt Coin, BTC will crash on: March 16, 2017, 07:34:18 PM
This will be a fresh source of drama for a long time. That's for sure. The miners would be crazy to go on with the HF - they would suffer from the crash as well, but looking at the vitriol being poured at the flamewars - some of them might have crossed the rationality border now.

Personally I am out until it resolves, or at least until I make some more informed opinion on how probable the HF is.

By the way LTC looks like a perfect hedge in this case - if there is a HF and ensuing chaos then LTC will be the closest substitution for BTC. It has been hibernating in bear mode for a long time, because it is the least innovative of the main alts - but now the lack of innovation is what makes it the best substitution for BTC.
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: $3000+ on sight for this year after BUcoin disaster on: March 16, 2017, 04:39:55 PM
... those fears are now cleared after BUcoin collapsed. ...

Too early. Have a look at the graph:


it might have looked like the BU nodes are switching off after the discovery of the bug - but now they are back and there are even more of them.
Also you need to take a peek into https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/ - they are not giving up.
17  Economy / Speculation / Re: Hard Fork speculation thread on: March 16, 2017, 01:00:25 PM
Google trends for bitcoin hard fork are up: trends.google.pl/trends/explore?q=bitcoin%20hard%20fork
18  Economy / Speculation / Re: Hard Fork speculation thread on: March 16, 2017, 09:55:15 AM
I should also add a question - what would be a good hedge for the fork. I am inclined to think that LTC should be one - all other alts has already had their rallies, LTC has been long in a bear mode, it is not the most innovative. But exactly because of the lack of innovation it is the closest alternative for BTC - so it should be a good hedge for forks in BTC.
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: Hard Fork speculation thread on: March 16, 2017, 06:17:06 AM
"Coinbase, Bitfinex Would List Bitcoin Unlimited As “Altcoin” After Soft Fork: Mow" https://cointelegraph.com/news/coinbase-bitfinex-would-list-bitcoin-unlimited-as-altcoin-after-soft-fork-mow

That is how BU lost the name battle.
20  Economy / Speculation / Re: Hard Fork speculation thread on: March 15, 2017, 11:47:00 AM
...
ethereum didn't fork it split.

...

a split (like what happened with ethereum) only happens when the fork happens without consensus. this means there is no minority/majority and there is enough power behind each side to run a perfectly good blockchain.

These two statements are incompatible - if a split is a fork with additional conditions then is eth did a split it also did a fork. I guess you meant 'ethereum didn't just fork - it did a full split'.
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