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421  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 25, 2022, 01:49:15 PM
Season's Greetings to all WOers!

We may be a little lower that many of us had predicted for this time of year ($17k vs. $100k+), but a true WOer knows that GTCTTWW.

Be well, love and be loved, enjoy yourselves, and... HoDL!
422  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 16, 2022, 11:17:28 AM
Michael Saylor's take on SBF and the FTX collapse -- Apologies if already posted.

Michael Saylor Destroys Sam Bankman-Fried From FTX

An interesting watch.
423  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 15, 2022, 11:39:20 AM
Just For Fun  Grin Grin
Brain Test: if you have an eagle eye then find the word ears in 30 Second.  Grin

[image with solution shown below]

Easy. 9 seconds.

Algorithm: font is proportional, so the line with the word "ears" will likely be of different length than the others. Scan the last column and spot the anomaly. If found, you've located the line. Scan that line only, to find the word. If there is no anomaly, keep scanning the remaining columns as usual (slow search).

424  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 13, 2022, 09:19:44 AM
Salutations gentlebeings

[...]



[...]

That's so cool Toxic, thanks for sharing some personal stuff/experiences, always nice to put a face (OPSEC-permitting) to a great WOer.

Keep it up!
425  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 13, 2022, 09:13:07 AM
He will end up being very well hung  Wink

I'd say an electric chair shock for every person who lost BTC on his scam website/system. And another 10,000 more, just because of his face.



No need. The pain they are experiencing is orders of magnitude greater.

Edit: Typed too fast. Now I got what you meant. Yes, by all means. Fry the fucker.

As for those who lost BTC, they got a painful education on how to be your own bank.
426  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 11, 2022, 12:38:20 AM
ChatGPT is a revolution. It will change the way we live and work more than the google search engine did.
Check out the haikus I let it write. I love the last two:

Bitcoin, the future
Digital gold, a world of possibilities
Infinite wealth.

Virtual treasure
Bitcoin, the future of money
endless possibilities.

In the digital realm
Bitcoin grows strong and secure
A shining beacon

Bitcoin, digital gold
Rising in value, oh so bold
A treasure to hold

Bitcoin in the night
Digital currency shining bright
A beacon of light.




Hmmm... None of the above qualifies as a haiku.

It looks like ChatGPT doesn't know what a haiku is...
427  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 08, 2022, 12:45:47 PM
Yeah, here in WO we are very expensive people.
428  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2022, 08:23:59 PM
Why FTX's Sam Bankman-Fried is Right

Watch until the end  N  Y  K  N  Y  C  

An interesting take, I agree. Especially the part where he says that CZ should similarly destroy Binance....calls is an act of effective altruism, lol.
I don't think people calling it fraud is defamation, though, since Mr. Ray (new CEO) already said that there were inappropriate actions.
At least one Dem senator (Durbin) said pretty much the same (albeit I disagree with his generalizations).
That guy doesn't know s-t about volatility. If he has concern about bitcoin volatility, how about META and NFLX, lol?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zmwLkjQl-vY

One word about paying lawyers...I was a part of Enron unsecured creditors list (basically, stupidly bought a bit at a "bargain" $2-3).
The recovery there was pretty good-around 30-32%, so Mr. Ray achieved something.
Typically, stock holders receive something that is close to nothing and getting those funds at or close to the end of 2002-2003 recession allowed me to reinvest the proceeds close to the bottom.

[...]

Why FTX's Sam Bankman-Fried is Right

Watch until the end  N  Y  K  N  Y  C  

I can see that the guy is making some decent points.. but I have difficulties giving any benefit of the doubt to SBF (including that the presentation of SBF recognizing that SBF is talking out of both sides of his mouth.. and sure maybe SBF wants us to hate him.. the psychotic, flabby vegan and purported ethical altruist wannabe),

...and I also have some trouble with the Defi is fine talking point... , even though there is likely truth to the fact that SBF and even Alameda were paying back Defi loans while they were failing/refusing to pay back real world people and while they have so far been running off with the money..

and another thing that I have not been seeing too much is how various political donors are actually donating out their money rather than giving that money back to the (rightful owners) through the bankruptcy proceedings (for the creditors.. and the attorneys as was pointed out.. yeah attorneys make a lot and probably too much to sort through these kinds of quagmires of trying to get back money that can be gotten back, in theory.. or hopefully through the difficulties of the current system.. in which there are a lot of ways to criticize the current system.. but a siding with the criminal seems kind of strange.. even though yeah his attorney will need to do that at some point.. if the guy gets locked up or maybe he will choose to represent himself.. since SBF seems to think that he is so smart about presenting his issues (I mean lies) in the court of public opinion)... I know my last paragraph is rambling.. but fuck that guy SBF.. even though the video presentation does make some decent theoretical, factual and for the sake of argument points.

@Biodom, @JJG:

I was a bit reluctant to post the link to that video by TechLead, because of the inclusion of his DeFi/crypto business promotion. I think the video is more (probably only?) satirical than it is informative, although he does make some valid points in a general sense. I don't think this guy actually likes SBF. He's just making fun of him and at the same time stressing the all-importance of NYKNYC.

I believe SBF knew exactly what he was doing. For context, here are some of his private messages that were leaked to the press. Effective altruism...
429  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2022, 04:58:13 PM
Two hundred thousand.
ATH in USD.
You know what to do.

#2025haiku
430  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2022, 04:26:23 PM
[...]

@CryptoTea_

Looking at previous 4 year halving cycles:

Bitcoin bottoms in the next few months

And hits a new all time high around the end of 2025

Note: Historical data does not predict the future


https://twitter.com/cryptotea_/status/1599393742250602497

[...]

I’d argue that we’ll see $200,000 or higher at the peak of the next cycle (top in late 2025) but you get the drill.

+1 to this!

$200,000+ will be an easy target in the next cycle. Adjacent spirals are roughly one order of magnitude (one extra zero) apart (see here for WO's very own spiral analysis showing this). This means that the next ATH is expected to be in the order of $500,000 and it will likely happen sometime in late 2025. Taking into account the FTX/Ukraine events and general logarithmic progression slowdown, I'd estimate $200,000 to be a pretty realistic next ATH. This will be followed by the usual dips and bounces, until the next one around 2029 that's going to be closer to $1M. You know when to buy (and when to strategically sell)...

The pattern is pretty clear. Yet many fail to see and make use of it due to greed and lack of patience. And for those not wanting to sell some corn at the cycle tops (to later BTFD), they can play safe, time their buys (now is a great opportunity), and simply DCA/HoDL, which has never failed anyone so far. Just set your targets and add time.
431  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2022, 01:09:23 PM
Why FTX's Sam Bankman-Fried is Right

Watch until the end  N  Y  K  N  Y  C 
432  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 30, 2022, 01:43:05 PM
No green dildos… enjoy black ones



Men think about sex every 6 seconds on average. So, no, if you don't see a sandal you don't need help, you're just a man.
433  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 30, 2022, 07:54:00 AM
Off-topic:

Strandbeest Evolution 2021 by Theo Jansen

Moving art, kinetic lifeforms, a merging of engineering and art.

Also, check this out:

Wintergatan - Marble Machine
434  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 29, 2022, 04:40:55 PM
This is what is going to happen if BTC doesn't moon soon.

https://twitter.com/DailyLoud/status/1597426588031021057?s=20&t=SUraH6d6SeuWMz3NsIV-RA

 Undecided

Damn! I need to unsee this before I can set foot in a McDonald's again...
435  Economy / Speculation / Re: Binance shenanagins called out by Kraken CEO. on: November 27, 2022, 08:15:56 PM

I am all fine with proclaiming that something is not enough...  yet?  Do we want to go from zero to perfect?  And, what is perfect?  What would be perfect?  Is perfect achievable?  Is perfect even desirable?  I am not saying don't do nothing, but still there are balances to any of these matters.  Wouldn't progress be being made by first having all (or most) exchanges showing their bitcoin (showing what is verifiable, first?)?  That would be a start, no?  That would be a step in the right direction, no?

Powell seems to be suggesting that it is totally worthless to show the reserves because it is not enough and it is misleading - but is it a step in the right direction?  Do we believe that a company is going to show everything?  Every single thing?  Where's the incentive to show every single little thing?  And where is the verifiability in terms of showing every single little thing?   At least with bitcoin, and the bitcoin's blockchain there is verifiability.. and what else has anything close to the same level of verifiability as bitcoin?  Everything else requires some level of trust, no?  

So I am not sure how you can show everything else without trust, so why not start with the verifiable aspects first.. and then once we get everyone showing the verifiable aspects (if that's even possible?), then we might be able to take some additional steps from there?  Maybe some exchanges are willing to show some of the their liabilities, but getting to show everything seems a bit much to expect anyone to cooperate in doing or even to consider that we want that level of transparency?  Then when is it going to stop?  When are the disclosures going to stop?  First institutions (such as exchanges) disclosing, but do the disclosures stop at that point, or then will we require individuals to disclose too?

The way I see it, perfect is desirable, but, sadly, not achievable. But we can try our best to get as close to it as we possibly can.

The problem I have with Binance's "Proof of Reserves" system, as explained by Kraken's Jesse Powell, is that they are adding up their assets and calling the sum "reserves". They are abusing the term, it is misleading and can give the wrong impression to clients who are not able to understand the terminology used.
436  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 27, 2022, 05:00:40 PM
#LNMETA

FWIW, according to the LNDg P&L display, thanks to all the auto rebalancing tools and shit, my node is set to officially turn profitable within the next 30 days, after a rather messy start getting established.

Life is keeping us super busy with the ranch. Lawsuit in full swing against the builder, and the general contractor is countersuing the builder, with us caught in the middle with a threatened lien on the parcels, so, just, fuck.

Tempted to just throw money at everyone to pay the bills and make things go away, but need to go through the legal process on principle, unfortunately. The general contractor legitimately created a Federal Issue for us and are clearly in the wrong.

Not going to be around much heading into the new year, but will lurk, as I often do.

Fighting a deep depression and rather unpleasant to be around, presently.

Not sure we're gonna make it, TBH, but I need to wait for the lawsuit to resolve before planning my next steps.

Think I'm gonna go do the whole life of hermitude for the last half of my life.

Bob, really sorry to hear about what you're going through with the lawsuit.

My advice is to try to keep a balance between what needs to be done in principle vs. what needs to be done to make the problem go away as quickly as possible. Legal matters like this can drag on for many years, and this can result in high stress, frustration and misery. Usually the ones in the wrong are very good at using legal tactics to stall and drag the legal procedures forever. It's unfair and brutal, and the ones who suffer the most are usually the ones in the right.

I sincerely hope the situation gets resolved soon and the result is in your favor. Life's too short to waste it in lawyers' offices and courtrooms.

Keep us updated.
437  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 22, 2022, 08:17:59 AM
.... the epic bull run that will come in 2024 & 2025.

Now the saying is 24/25 ??..  Cry Cry
God gives us health and a long life to live that..

(not in my mood these days/months.. some numbers are hard to digest)

Always has been.
2024 halvening & then a big, powerful bull run in 2025. Just like previous cycles!

2023 will suck!



Bitcoin's cycle of 4 years is one of the few (probably the only) Bitcoin parameter that can be used to predict future price action with some degree of success. The White Paper explains it nicely, it is a mathematical fact. Using it smartly can result in immense monetary gains (rinse-and-repeat, LFC_Bitcoin knows!). Yet, people keep ignoring it and doing their own thing (mindrustenings, daytardening, etc.). I guess it's like the elections... 4 years is just too long for the average brain to process...  Cheesy
438  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 21, 2022, 01:54:57 PM
When I was a teen, my dad (a heavy smoker -- died from it) told me that he had no problem if I wanted to start smoking, but he wanted to show me something first. He filled his lungs with smoke from his Marlboro, then blew the smoke on a white napkin. The napkin turned dark yellow/mustard color. He said "That's what you take inside you. Do whatever you want." I've never even thought of using a cigarette since.

Decades later, when my father passed away (lung cancer), a friend offered me a cigarette "to ease the pain." I asked him if this would bring my father back... I'm still a non-smoker and intend to stay that way.
439  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 15, 2022, 02:27:53 PM
[...]

But maybe you are wrong. and it grows well over 500k btw it would need to be over 500k to be successful in 2060

Whatever doesn't kill you...

Bitcoin will surpass $500k. You will be alive and well to witness it being worth more than $1M.
440  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 15, 2022, 01:25:06 PM
Do I remember correctly, that some time ago (2020-2021) there were some WOers that were posting about lending BTC to Celsius and similar sites to earn interest? I also remember other WOers warning them about the possibility of losing their coins, stressing the importance of NYKNYC and all...

I sincerely hope the damage was minimal or at least manageable. Let this serve as a lesson to all, affected or not, that uncontrollable greed is a dangerous thing that can take your coins, your sanity and even your life.

Speaking of greed, isn't Bitcoin's price appreciation over the years good enough? FFS! I guess one can never have enough...
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