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Author Topic: Bitfinex Users: What are you paying for margin interest?  (Read 4334 times)
bitcoins5411
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February 19, 2013, 04:44:55 PM
 #21

I see. Even if you are using a dollar weighted average, with no limit on interest rates, you can create strange situations. Let's look at an example:

$50,000 lent total.
$49500 lent at 60% per year.
$500 lent at 88,888% per year.

Dollar weighted average: 948.28%

So, even a small 1% loan at a high interest rate can modify the average by more than 10x. There is possibility for market manipulation here.

You might want to find the standard deviation and throw out all the outliers. So, you could calculate only using a 95% interval. You throw out the top 2.5% and bottom 2.5% loan volume and calculate the average using the remaining 95% loan volume. At a current $50,000 loan volume that would require someone to borrow more than $1250 at a crazy high or crazy low rate in order to affect the market.
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February 19, 2013, 04:52:30 PM
 #22

I see. Even if you are using a dollar weighted average, with no limit on interest rates, you can create strange situations. Let's look at an example:

$50,000 lent total.
$49500 lent at 60% per year.
$500 lent at 88,888% per year.

Dollar weighted average: 948.28%

So, even a small 1% loan at a high interest rate can modify the average by more than 10x.


if a large portion of that 50 000 are VIR then yes


Quote
There is possibility for market manipulation here.
https://community.bitfinex.com/showthread.php/101-But-what-if-anyone-manipulate-the-VIR-making-a-loan-1000-USD-at-9999-APY check that and why wont work on the long run

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
Spekulatius
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February 19, 2013, 05:39:20 PM
 #23

This is crazy! I had to pay 225.6% interest PER DAY!! on my loan. Guess how long I had that position open?
10 minutes before the swap interest rates ate it up (while price was rising 1% above base price in a 5:1 leveraged long position --> I should have had unrealized profits instead of a forced liquidation)



What bugs me most is that interest rates are actually wrongly displayed: See how it says 0.28%/day and 0.17%/day ? Instead when the position was opened I was hooked to a ludicrous 225.6%/day loan.

Sorry Bitfinex, but I wont risk anything then playmoney on your service until you restore my trust in it.

Raphael just sent me an email:

TLDR: He excused for the inconveniences caused and offered to reimburse me (just 3 USD anyway but a friendly turn nonetheless). He also promised to put into action some tweaks to make such erratic changes to the VIR impossible.

Quote
Hello Spekulatius,

I did see your post on the forum. Yesterday, we had a crazy run up of variable interests rates caused by the way variable interests rates were calculated. The current system allowed for a few lenders to make rates go though the roof, which is obviously what we don't want.

Just know that I changed that this morning as explained here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=119745.msg1538998#msg1538998 (before you posted).

Now variable interests rates are pondered by the previous 60 days rates, which makes what it impossible to have what happened last (the rates of your position would have go up by a few 0.1%, not hundreds of percent.

Meanwhile, because I think what happened to you was unfair, I propose you 3 USD as mtgox code and to restore your 0.1 btc balance on Bitfinex. Do you agree with that?

Raphael
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February 20, 2013, 11:31:47 AM
 #24

I see. Even if you are using a dollar weighted average, with no limit on interest rates, you can create strange situations. Let's look at an example:

$50,000 lent total.
$49500 lent at 60% per year.
$500 lent at 88,888% per year.

Dollar weighted average: 948.28%

So, even a small 1% loan at a high interest rate can modify the average by more than 10x.


if a large portion of that 50 000 are VIR then yes


Quote
There is possibility for market manipulation here.
https://community.bitfinex.com/showthread.php/101-But-what-if-anyone-manipulate-the-VIR-making-a-loan-1000-USD-at-9999-APY check that and why wont work on the long run

A silly situation is he can create two accounts and lend to himself, of course there is large fee to pay then but theoretically the gain could still outrun the loss, if properly designed.

Another advice is to allow users to set their threshold rate, whether they're opting for VIR or not.

https://tlsnotary.org/ Fraud proofing decentralized fiat-Bitcoin trading.
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February 20, 2013, 03:25:22 PM
 #25

A silly situation is he can create two accounts and lend to himself, of course there is large fee to pay then but theoretically the gain could still outrun the loss, if properly designed.
it has more to do with the speed reaction from market participants, if the market participants dont react then yes that cold give quite some money and on that case is trading darwinism

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
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