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Author Topic: How fast will the bitcoin mining difficulty increase?  (Read 3608 times)
changey (OP)
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April 18, 2013, 10:09:25 PM
 #1

How fast will the bitcoin mining difficulty increase? Thanks
Kruncha
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April 18, 2013, 10:16:48 PM
 #2

Very quickly, it has become well known globally. Mining is for improving the community and securing transactions. If you don't have a powerful miner, your rewards will be the fact you're supporting a new finance that is user defined and not centralized.

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1krona
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April 18, 2013, 10:38:50 PM
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It will be rising fast and by up to 30 times.
Eb0la
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April 18, 2013, 11:36:28 PM
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The more that mine, the more it increases
Doomsby
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April 18, 2013, 11:41:46 PM
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If people can get the Avalon chips to work that would be easily 10x difficulty right there. They are selling in batches of 10,000-200,000 @ 282MH/s each, that is 2.8TH/s for each batch of 10,000 which is pretty insane. There are only 240 in each Avalon @ 66GH/s. I can imagine some people just putting 1000 in a machine and having 10 of those np.
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April 18, 2013, 11:43:58 PM
 #6

The problem is that everyone is trying this, and GPU mining is becoming obsolete.
In a few weeks GPU mining will be dead for single and even duo setups.

I'm estimating, sadly but, 50-100mil difficulty for August :/.

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russokai
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April 18, 2013, 11:51:57 PM
 #7

Yes it seems that GPU mining won't be worth it before long if enough people get ASICs.  It will truly be the end of an era.
DannyHamilton
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April 19, 2013, 03:39:00 AM
 #8

How fast will the bitcoin mining difficulty increase? Thanks

Anyone giving you a number is guessing.  There is no way to predict exactly how fast the difficulty will increase.  It is entirely dependent on how much hashing power people add to the network.
JakethePilot
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April 19, 2013, 03:49:44 AM
 #9

All the reading I've been doing on the rest of the forum has lead me to believe that I started GPU pool mining wayy too late unfortunately.
The mining difficulty will increase an immense amount in the following weeks.
VladK
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April 19, 2013, 04:03:53 AM
 #10

Even now, one HD7970 will give you about 1BTC per a month.
It will eat around 150kWh per a month.
It's more than 6 month to cover its cost.
And difficulty would definitely grow, but BTC cost may even drop.
Signus
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April 19, 2013, 06:56:23 AM
 #11

Even now, one HD7970 will give you about 1BTC per a month.
It will eat around 150kWh per a month.
It's more than 6 month to cover its cost.
And difficulty would definitely grow, but BTC cost may even drop.


The BTC may rise to accommodate for the difficulty, essentially rewarding those massive miners and those who are investing early in ASIC. If it drops its due to the lack of diversity in the pools, as people who can only afford FPGA or GPU mining will drop out, fearing that they can't recover their costs.

If you want to stay in the game with GPU's, go big.
AdamR
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April 19, 2013, 07:03:09 AM
 #12

The reality is it doesn't matter how fast the bitcoin mining difficulty will increase, in order to stay in the game will require significant capital investment from here on out. This is why the rich get richer. Its feasible to invest $100,000 USD today and within 3 months be able to start producing 15k per day with ASICS. You could cover yourself in a week. The only catch is not everyone has $100,000 lying around. 
MikeGg
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April 19, 2013, 09:19:29 AM
 #13

Compared with the hashing power of companies such as Amazon the hashrate is still low. It could potentially rise a low more, which is another issue which will have to be dealt with - the move from true distributed miners to a few huge ones.
Schrankwand
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April 19, 2013, 09:53:14 AM
 #14

Compared with the hashing power of companies such as Amazon the hashrate is still low. It could potentially rise a low more, which is another issue which will have to be dealt with - the move from true distributed miners to a few huge ones.

Well, they have one problem: CPUs. They have CPUs everywhere, since their Cloud servers need to be versatile. They are running applications concerning servers, mostly. So their GPUs suck.

It would be gameover if someone would be amused enough to hook Blue.Gene or similar up with GPUs. The Juqueen alone would be a major fun thing Cheesy
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