Win/Lose Streak with Seed Reset? How to calculate?

[puremage111]

Okay we will use an example

Win chance : 10%

Win 1 time : 10%
Win 2 time : 10% * 10% = 1%

What if

To win 2 time
Your first bet is won. You reset the seed

Does the 2nd bet still has the same chance as 10% x 10%?

Or it will restart with 10%?

Thanks

[Emoclaw]

What?
If your bet with a 10% win chance, no matter what you do with the seed, it will always be 10% unless you set it to something else.

[ralle14]

If you lost the first bet after you reset the client seed the chance of winning on your 2nd bet should still be 10% because you lost the first bet. Imo resetting the client seed won't affect your rolls that much since there's also the server seed that influences the outcome of your bets

[puremage111]

What?
If your bet with a 10% win chance, no matter what you do with the seed, it will always be 10% unless you set it to something else.

Sorry for typo, i rephrased it

In order to win 2 time in streak, the rate woulf be 10%*10% right?

In this case seed value doesn't affect the chance if i change during the second bet?

Thannks

[puremage111]

If you lost the first bet after you reset the client seed the chance of winning on your 2nd bet should still be 10% because you lost the first bet. Imo resetting the client seed won't affect your rolls that much since there's also the server seed that influences the outcome of your bets

Alright, thanks for your explanation buddy!

[Labumi]

Wow, this is really amazing if you did have the intention of doing a game with the formula. I see no reason someone who will always manage to get an advantage by simply turning on the formula is always the same or even changed a bit, for only those who want to get their greedy or defeat will only use the formula. You need to know it all takes the formula which is always changing but it has almost the same pattern just a few are replaced or modified
 

[marlboroza]

What?
If your bet with a 10% win chance, no matter what you do with the seed, it will always be 10% unless you set it to something else.

Sorry for typo, i rephrased it

In order to win 2 time in streak, the rate woulf be 10%*10% right?

In this case seed value doesn't affect the chance if i change during the second bet?

Thannks

Chance to roll will always be 10%
Chance to roll 2 rolls in row with 10% will be 1%, chance to roll 3 rolls in row will be 0.1% etc.

I will explain it with simple coin toss where is chance to roll head or tail always 50%.

Lets say you toss coin and result is head. That is 50% chance.
Now, if you toss again chance to hit heads or tail will still remain the same 50%, but chance to roll heads 2 times in row is 25%, 3 times in row is 12.5%, 4 times in row is 6.25%, 5 times in row 3.125% ETC(within these percentages every time you have 50% chance to hit).

It is simple math formula: probability=(1/2ⁿ)*100%  n=number of toss.

Or for your example probability=(1/10ⁿ)*100%   n=number of rolls.

 

[dunfida]

What?
If your bet with a 10% win chance, no matter what you do with the seed, it will always be 10% unless you set it to something else.

Sorry for typo, i rephrased it

In order to win 2 time in streak, the rate woulf be 10%*10% right?

In this case seed value doesn't affect the chance if i change during the second bet?

Thannks

Chance to roll will always be 10%
Chance to roll 2 rolls in row with 10% will be 1%, chance to roll 3 rolls in row will be 0.1% etc.

I will explain it with simple coin toss where is chance to roll head or tail always 50%.

Lets say you toss coin and result is head. That is 50% chance.
Now, if you toss again chance to hit heads or tail will still remain the same 50%, but chance to roll heads 2 times in row is 25%, 3 times in row is 12.5%, 4 times in row is 6.25%, 5 times in row 3.125% ETC(end within those percentage every time you have 50% chance).

It is simple math formula: probability=(1/2ⁿ)*100%  n=number of toss.

Or for your example probability=(1/10ⁿ)*100%   n=number of rolls.

 

Very nice calculation indeed and you are actually right no matter what would be the result it would still matter on the percentage you set. If its 10% then the next roll would be different if you tend to hit 2nd win on 10% chance.It doesnt really affect if you would reset the seed chances would be the same.Calculation is being posted already and im agree on this one.

[puremage111]

What?
If your bet with a 10% win chance, no matter what you do with the seed, it will always be 10% unless you set it to something else.

Sorry for typo, i rephrased it

In order to win 2 time in streak, the rate woulf be 10%*10% right?

In this case seed value doesn't affect the chance if i change during the second bet?

Thannks

Chance to roll will always be 10%
Chance to roll 2 rolls in row with 10% will be 1%, chance to roll 3 rolls in row will be 0.1% etc.

I will explain it with simple coin toss where is chance to roll head or tail always 50%.

Lets say you toss coin and result is head. That is 50% chance.
Now, if you toss again chance to hit heads or tail will still remain the same 50%, but chance to roll heads 2 times in row is 25%, 3 times in row is 12.5%, 4 times in row is 6.25%, 5 times in row 3.125% ETC(end within those percentage every time you have 50% chance).

It is simple math formula: probability=(1/2ⁿ)*100%  n=number of toss.

Or for your example probability=(1/10ⁿ)*100%   n=number of rolls.

 

Very nice calculation indeed and you are actually right no matter what would be the result it would still matter on the percentage you set. If its 10% then the next roll would be different if you tend to hit 2nd win on 10% chance.It doesnt really affect if you would reset the seed chances would be the same.Calculation is being posted already and im agree on this one.

Waoh great explanation there

Thanks alot mate

Seems to have a better view on this

So is something like i throw a coin, i won. I change the seed ( Change another coin ) , the probability to hit is still 50/50

Thanks!

[J Gambler]

I believed on this strategy where your first bet when you reset your seed sometimes it will give you 40% chance of winning I'm always doing this on bitsler everyday I'm trying to won 40k satoshi only I didn't try big amounts yet. Also the second one will gives your 30% chance of winning.