Next difficulty > 31B?

[fairlay]

We recently have a lot of activity on our regular "next difficulty prediction"

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/next-difficulty-31b/

What is interesting that users on our site are pretty sure that it will be >31B. Thus you get (at the point of writing 3.5 times your money back if it is <31B)
However, most of these sites predict a difficulty of <31B.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty: 31,109,256,240
https://cryptanalys.is/difficulty/bitcoin_btc.php: 29,611,949,922
http://www.vnbitcoin.org/bitcoincalculator.php: 29,804,000,000
http://mining-profit.com/bitcoin-difficulty-history: 30,171,493,992

So, what is your opinion?

[philipma1957]

We recently have a lot of activity on our regular "next difficulty prediction"

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/next-difficulty-31b/

What is interesting that users on our site are pretty sure that it will be >31B. Thus you get (at the point of writing 3.5 times your money back if it is <31B)
However, most of these sites predict a difficulty of <31B.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty: 31,109,256,240
https://cryptanalys.is/difficulty/bitcoin_btc.php: 29,611,949,922
http://www.vnbitcoin.org/bitcoincalculator.php: 29,804,000,000
http://mining-profit.com/bitcoin-difficulty-history: 30,171,493,992

So, what is your opinion?

my thread is here

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=765956.0

I am in the under 30 camp maybe 30.2 max

[fairlay]

yap - thanks for the link. Click on "show additional information" on https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/next-difficulty-31b/ and you will see the data and that user on our site trust the prediction of bitcoinwisdom much more than all the others.