Charting ROI

[rmyadsk]

Hi all,

Wondering if it still makes sense to pursue an ASIC-based solution given the current market. Looking at the Asicminer USB devices it seems group buys go off at around 1 BTC each, and will generate (at current difficultly) about 2.85 BTC over the course of a year. The calculation seems highly levered to difficulty, though, and if BFL ever ships en masse (and as Avalon and Asicminer devices ship) how badly is it expected to increase?

Currently breakeven is probably around 130 days for a USB Block Eruptor? Could that number be the same (or even higher) about 129 days into the future?

[mjc]

Avalon has shipped and has more that should be shipping soon.  BFL has something like 500 to 750 TH and is shipping.  KNC has something like 250 TH of orders.

Inside of a month the block erruptors (if not already) will not be worth the effort.   I have 1.6 GH in two FPGA running and I only get 0.04 BTC /day at the present time.  With the dropping price of BTC I'm making less and less every day.