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安联首席经济顾问称比特币近日价格修正剧烈 投资者若坐视或将崩盘
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安联首席经济顾问称比特币近日价格修正剧烈 投资者若坐视或将崩盘
December 29, 2017, 08:20:33 AM
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尽管比特币价格已经回升并重夺上周五所失去的一半失地,一位评论者认为比特币市场已经到了一个关键时刻。
在12月22日,比特币价格下跌了45%之后——下跌到了10800美元,几乎所有其他的数字货币也随之跳水,不过如今比特币价格已经出现了一定程度的反弹。同时,安联首席经济顾问及太平洋投资管理公司(Pimco)前首席执行官Mohamed El-Erian问道比特币市场是否已经到了生死时刻。
安联首席经济顾问及太平洋投资管理公司前首席执行官Mohamed El-Erian
12月26日,在《彭博观点》的专栏中,El-Erian写到:“这次剧烈的价格修正要么将会成为一种扩大到目前为止已经限制在这个市场上的机构参与的催化剂,要么将为一场非凡的历史性资产泡沫奠定基调。
El-Erian此前曾称比特币更像是一种商品而不是一种货币,因为其价格太不稳定以至于无法作为一种交换媒介。他承认比特币在今年床下了重大的里程碑:价格大涨,交易所期货市场开放,政府干预非常有限。
安联首席经济顾问称比特币近日价格修正剧烈 投资者若坐视或将崩盘
然而,他认为比特币有一个潜在的弱点:以他的话说,那些持有多头的人都是不那么复杂的散户投资者,而那些空仓的人都是经验丰富的人。与此同时,机构投资者压倒性地没有参与市场。
也就是说,随着比特币价格下跌,这可能会发生一些变化,这可能成为缺乏吸引力的非理性繁荣逐渐退出市场的一个标志。他写到:“就在比特币经历了其不长的历史上最大的过山车之一之后,比特币面临的最重要问题就是最近的价格修正将证明是否就如市场参与者所说的‘是健康的’。”
安联首席经济顾问称比特币近日价格修正剧烈 投资者若坐视或将崩盘
要证明自己,比特币投资者需要变得更加多样化,同时经验丰富的投资者也要加入持有多头的散户投资者行列,机构投资者也需要加入市场。这次价格修正还将需要生成El-Erian所说的“市场深化产品”。
如果比特币不能以这种方式增长,他写到散户投资者将面临“一种价格升值和崩盘,甚至堪称史上最大投资泡沫。”
(文章原标题:德国安联首席经济顾问:精明投资者如果坐视比特币价格修正,比特币将会崩盘)
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