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Author Topic: Last month more GPUs went online than entire combined GPUs during Litecoin days  (Read 2911 times)
QuintLeo
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February 15, 2018, 01:45:44 AM
 #41

Quote from: adaseb
Its really hard to imagine these record breaking hashrate levels without ASICs in the Ethereum ecosystem.

Take Litecoin for example during the 2013-2014 Bubble.

The hashrate peaked at ~120GH/s on Jan 2014. If you were around during the Scrypt Litecoin days you would know that unlike today there were only 2 coins to mine back then. Litecoin AND Dogecoin. Dogecoin hashrate was around ~100GH/s.

However keep in mind that sometime during the end of 2013, a small era of Scrypt ASICs started emerging. So lets assume that 120GH/s was for SCRYPT GPU mining only. And another 120GH/s was being mined with the newly released 300KH/s scrypt asics.

A 7970/280X mined scrypt at 750KH/s so around ~120GHs/0.75 = ~160,000 GPUs mining. If we assume all those scrypt asics don't count then lets say ~320,000 GPUs mining.

According to etherscan.io last month a total hashrate gain of 9,104GH/s was added. Since each RX 470 ~ 28MH/s that equals to about ~325,142 GPUs. Also another 10% of that ~32,500 most likely went into the ETC hashrate growth. For simplicity I am not taking ZEC, ZCL, XMR into account.

So as much as its fun to ROI your GPU in less than 1 month, I am wondering whats going to happened when the bubble bursts. In Jan 2014, mining was VERY profitable like it is today, and in less than 6 months, it started using more electricity then profits.

However now we have most likely 10x as many miners and GPUs out there. So I can only imagine how horrific it might get when either the BTC bubble bursts, alt-coins bubble burts, ETH lowers block rewards to 3 ETH per block, ETH goes POS at end of year...


There was also DarkCoin (now known as DASH, the original X11 coin) among others - but the others didn't use a ton of GPUs.

The Gridseed ASIC didn't show up 'till early 2014 - which is what drove a ton of GPUs into X11 mining for a few weeks 'till IT overloaded, then drove most of those GPUs out of cryptocoin mining entirely
http://cryptomining-blog.com/1158-first-impressions-from-the-gridseed-5-chip-scrypt-asic/ was one of the first reviews of the original Gridseed Orb - in MAR 2014, indicating they didn't show up 'till Feb sometime.
It also took time for a significant number to deploy - Scrypt would have still; been mostly GPU mined well into March and probably most of April, when the hashrates started climbing FAST on both Litecoin AND Doge.

MOST Scrypt miiners preferred the 7870 to the 7970 or 7950 as they were a ton more COST effective, and a LOT of miners used the 7850 for the same reason.
Half or less the cost for 80% ballpark of the hashrate MATTERED.

The "average" Scrypt mining card was probably a lot closer to 600 than 750, but that would still only be about 200,000 GPUs mining Litecoin ALONE at the peak in January a month before the Gridseed Orb was introduced - and probably about the same number for DOGE at IT'S peak in Feb 2014 pre-Gridseed, so likely a half million or so TOTAL between those two and everything else of the time.

OTHER THAN Ethereum, all of the major coins like ZEC were *FLAT TO DROPPING* a hair on hashrate during January and early Febuary - in the case of ZEC, it was flat to down from a peak in NOVEMBER to today.


The crash this time around isn't going to be as bad though, as there ARE other coins around that can soak all of the hashrate while still staying profitable - as long as PRICES don't collapse in the meantime.

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February 15, 2018, 01:53:37 AM
 #42

Giving this thread a bump with an update

Last May there was basically more GPUs that went online during the entire combined Litecoin mining days back in late 2013 early 2014.

Back then it was estimated that about 320,000 GPUs were actively mining.

Last May there was only 350,000 GPUs being added monthly.

Now things have basically risen exponentially.

Last month about 2.1 million GPUs were added to the ETH network. About a 6-7x increase.

So basically more GPUs are added every 5 days than the entire Litecoin GPUs in circulation of 2014

More GPUs are added every 15 days than the entire ETH GPUs in circulation when I created this thread back last May.


During the Litecoin days, all AMD GPUs were sold out.
Last Summer all AMD and Nvidia were sold out

Now the capacity has risen exponentially so I am guessing that AMD and Nvidia somehow have increased production in the last year or so. Because too many GPUs are coming online .

I never had an issue buying AMD GPUs during the Litecoin mining days - with NO "limit 1" restrictions ANYWHERE.
I do remember a few reports of specific retailers being out on occasion of specific GPU model cards - usually the 7870.

Nvidia seems to be in major shortage due to a combination of TSMC switching Pascal GPU production over to Volta production "around the end of the year", and a VERY good Christmas sales season.
AMD - partly the Christmas sales season, partly mining demand.

Last SUMMER the supply of GPUS gradually IMPROVED, it was last SPRING that it got really bad for a while with AMD cards pushing into Nvidia 1070 range and even low-end 1080 range, and A FEW Nvidia models having severe supply issues for less than a month and some mild price gouging.
That has NOT happened this time around - though it's been close - and Nvidia is who ran out FIRST.

I'm no longer legendary just in my own mind!
Like something I said? Donations gratefully accepted. LYLnTKvLefz9izJFUvEGQEZzSkz34b3N6U (Litecoin)
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