I don't think the price will be the most important thing. Other things that I think will be important are -
- The number of coins locked in wallets for long term storage.
- The impact that futures trading has had on Bitcoin
- Transaction costs
- How far Bitcoin has moved towards being "intelligent money"
- Whether FedCoin has been announced or released.
- The results of investigations into "hacked" exchanges.
and a few more things like that.
"FedCoin" will be crucial, and I personally can't wait. Bitcoin is a direct opposing force to the concept of "FedCoin", it's like a ying and yang of sorts. What I mean is, for a closed source Orwellian nightmare money, an open source freedom money must exist, and this is Bitcoin. Once people realize this dichotomy, they will need to choose to either be a slave or a free man. They will be forced to acknowledge Bitcoin and what it offers.
After you understand that fact, if it's slower or faster or cheaper or more expensive becomes less relevant. Censorship resistant will be the number one feature that differentiates it from the "FedCoin" nightmare.