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需求提升不足动力煤价格回落 焦煤价格上行
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Topic: 需求提升不足动力煤价格回落 焦煤价格上行 (Read 100 times)
Mack1988
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需求提升不足动力煤价格回落 焦煤价格上行
March 06, 2018, 12:59:56 PM
#1
3月5日,最新一期CCTD秦皇岛动力煤价格所采集的环渤海地区三种现货动力煤价格继续下行。春节过后,动力煤产量增长而需求提升有限,预计短期市场仍有下行压力。不过,焦煤价格稳中有升,分析师预计短期市场上行仍有支撑。
需求提升不足
数据显示,CCTD5500大卡煤种报收于612元/吨,比上期价格下降1元/吨;CCTD5000大卡煤种报收于590元/吨,比上期价格下降3元/吨。
春节过后,晋陕蒙等主要煤炭产地动力煤价格普遍出现回落。榆林煤炭交易中心信息显示,近期,榆阳地区部分煤矿两次下调煤价,煤矿门口拉煤车辆数量骤减。同时,港口煤价较节前大幅下降。目前港口5500大卡动力煤报价在690-695元/吨,且客户仍以观望为主。
随着煤矿逐渐复产,煤炭产量有所增长,但需求提升不明显。百川资讯分析师表示,目前港口煤价跌幅扩大,实际成交偏少。同时,下游需求冷清,贸易商报价不断下调。
中国煤炭市场网分析师表示,沿海地区六大发电企业电煤日耗恢复缓慢,且显著低于去年同期,电煤库存可用天数提高明显,持续保持在25天以上的偏高状态,电力企业电煤采购积极性降低。环渤海地区动力煤市场呈现“买方市场”态势。
百川资讯分析师表示,多地安全检查及环境保护力度加大,一定程度上抑制了产地煤矿复工速度,供应量短期难以大幅提升。
炼焦煤供给偏紧
焦煤价格保持相对稳定,分析师普遍看好后市。
最新一期CCTD唐山炼焦煤价格显示,CCTD唐山主焦煤报收1450元/吨,连续7周价格指数保持平稳,较去年12月底价格上涨50元/吨;CCTD唐山肥煤报收于1525元/吨,连续7周保持平稳,较去年12月底价格上涨50元/吨。
申万宏源分析师表示,从基本面角看,炼焦煤好于动力煤。目前,炼焦煤供给仍旧偏紧,库存相对低位。随着北方地区环保限产结束,钢厂等复产,需求激增或导致炼焦煤价格上涨。
中金公司研报显示,上周柳林4号和柳林9号焦煤价格分别维持在1670元/吨和1138元/吨,古交2号/8号焦精煤价格分别维持在1640元/吨和1540元/吨,价格均较为稳定。
中金公司指出,焦煤价格短期具备支撑。近期焦炭价格有所上涨,而焦化厂的焦煤库存继续下降,主要港口焦煤库存也在下降,预计焦煤价格短期具备一定支撑。
光大证券分析师唐宗辰表示,上周低硫主焦煤供求依然紧张,价格保持平稳。短期焦煤价格将保持平稳,后续需关注下游钢厂的复产情况以及钢价走势。总体来看,优质主焦煤的供求偏紧,价格易涨难跌。
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