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Author Topic: Is there any TA guys you trust?  (Read 421 times)
LUCKMCFLY
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March 23, 2019, 07:24:12 PM
 #21

There is a YouTuber that does high level technical analysis, it is Spanish speaking, its name is Aarón Luján, its understanding of the market is phenomenal, in fact it does live operations many times, it is very optimistic.

Use the Wyckoff philosophy and knowledge of many book authors, actually I think it's fabulous market vision, and I trust their technical analysis because it has been efficient, in fact, is of people who do not use indicators, and studies the long-term market, making fractals at 4h and 1h.

The technical analysis to fractals to lower temporalities, also gives information, but not so successful when it is done in the long term .. That is the vision that gives.

For the technical analysis of many, they like scalping and there are many youtubers that specialize with all the indicators, even though it is high risk, many are successful.

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March 25, 2019, 07:35:51 PM
 #22

Every tradingview analyst are always right in hindsight. But is there someone you believe in based on past performance?
Well, I will not really say I trust him 100% but I can vouch for him a bit because he is a trading professional and will deliver a very good result, though I think his pricing is very high but I believe it is also worth it.

I am talking about tone vays who have been one of the major predictor of bitcoin price in time past and still an expert in predicting the crypto market even in this bearish time, I think you should book a session with him.
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March 25, 2019, 09:44:12 PM
 #23

I don't believe on most TA online they mostly not telling you the exact analysis and no explanation that how does the price increase.

For me, I'm always gathering information from some website and some tools and honestly news and event's also has big help on predicting if what will happen from the asset in the future which actually proven. Only few TA guys are actually giving you the right path because most of them are influencer. So if you are planning to follow them make sure to follow them first and check if his analysis can make you the right prediction before you invest and follow his path.

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March 26, 2019, 06:56:34 AM
 #24

Every tradingview analyst are always right in hindsight. But is there someone you believe in based on past performance?
well sometimes but depends only on the statement 'cause i didn't want actually to rely on others TA just to become updated on the market  time on time because i have my own work as well wherein just to make sure I'm following the real direction and also just to protect my portfolio.  In fact sometimes nowadays others TA didn't happen afterwards .So i cant trust on it 100%.much better to make my own TA also.
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March 27, 2019, 12:22:30 PM
 #25

Every tradingview analyst are always right in hindsight. But is there someone you believe in based on past performance?

You should never rely solely on technical analysis when it comes to cryptocurrencies. This is just not sufficent.
TA can give you a hint about entry- and exit-points or the current market trends - nothing more.

Like other said before - do your own research.

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March 27, 2019, 01:25:21 PM
 #26

Every tradingview analyst are always right in hindsight. But is there someone you believe in based on past performance?

You should never rely solely on technical analysis when it comes to cryptocurrencies. This is just not sufficent.
TA can give you a hint about entry- and exit-points or the current market trends - nothing more.

Like other said before - do your own research.
TA's is much better than having some intuition based kind of order making.TA plus having some mix of fundamentals will most
likely be better rather than on focusing yourself into single analysis.I dont trust up any guys out there proclaiming precise or accurate
predictions when it comes to entries .

R


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March 27, 2019, 11:39:23 PM
 #27

Every tradingview analyst are always right in hindsight. But is there someone you believe in based on past performance?

*Learn basic trading stuffs
*Understand the volatility
*Read other TA's especially with the crypto trading gurus and make it as reference
*Make your own analyzation our of that references

With these, we are building experience that will guide us on our future decision.

Remember that even how properly backed-up a certain analyzation is, it can be spoiled anytime. That's why it's good to have our own based on our own analyzations + insights + instincts that makes sense.

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March 28, 2019, 04:33:24 AM
 #28

The issue with TA is that it is never close to 100% accurate, actually its probably hard to find any TA that is accurate maybe 25% of the time.

Most trading is still done with TA instead of Fundamentals but how do people make money then? The answer is risk/reward.

If you got a strategy where you only take trades where your risk/reward is 5x then you can make money with a TA method which is correct 25% of the time.

Problem with the retail market is that they usually have negative risk/reward. They basically want a TA method to be 100% correct and they basically risk $100 and take profit at $25 and a loss at $100. So with this method they would need to be correct 4x as much just to break-even which is not possible due to commissions and spreads.

So this is why some of the Tradingview authors and different stocktwits traders make money but the people who follow them can't.
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March 28, 2019, 09:07:26 PM
 #29

There are too many analysts, and their opinion is often the opposite, so I am not inclined to trust anyone and rely on someone's forecasts. I always try to draw my own personal conclusions, and in this respect I trust only myself. And I think this saves me from unnecessary problems.
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March 29, 2019, 10:33:43 PM
 #30

There are too many analysts, and their opinion is often the opposite, so I am not inclined to trust anyone and rely on someone's forecasts. I always try to draw my own personal conclusions, and in this respect I trust only myself. And I think this saves me from unnecessary problems.
Apparently, I am too trusting or they trust those people, because all the forecasts that I took attention turned out to be false. Today, not only the cryptocurrency market, but also I am at the bottom with my assets.
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March 29, 2019, 10:39:58 PM
 #31

There are too many analysts, and their opinion is often the opposite, so I am not inclined to trust anyone and rely on someone's forecasts. I always try to draw my own personal conclusions, and in this respect I trust only myself. And I think this saves me from unnecessary problems.
We should only trust ourself and in fact that I do much prefer to lose money with my own strat because it wont really give me
any regrets inside compared on following someones signals which lead to lose will really give out some rage and stress upon you.
Just try to look at even famous people showing some TA analysis and the price goes into the opposite way.
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March 29, 2019, 11:52:06 PM
 #32

The issue with TA is that it is never close to 100% accurate, actually its probably hard to find any TA that is accurate maybe 25% of the time.

I heard someone recently state a win ratio of 60% but thats something exceptional I guess, most are probably much closer to 50% if not below.   I think you are right on the trigger discipline required, to let winners run and cut losses.

My argument on TA is that its never trying to be deadly accurate, people want definites and there are none.  Its a form of probability study, statistical analysis which is a valid body of mathematical study not a get rich scheme but in fact applicable to every other science to add accuracy and arguably every subject can use stats.  Every post on this forum could be run through a readability test which is basically stats again applying rules attributing likelyhood to ease of comprehension

Quote
The Flesch-Kincaid reading ease score is 42.7 (0 to 100, higher is best)
The Flesch-Kincaid grade level is 13.5th grade
The Gunning Fog index is 17.7 (average is 12, lower is best)
The Coleman-Liau index is 11.1
The SMOG index is 12.7
The automated readability index is 12.6
Dont think I scored well :|  but then its online post not a book

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March 30, 2019, 04:17:21 AM
 #33

I used to follow some crypto guys that I thought were good. But then I found this guy:
<snip>
On the other hand, with crypto there isn't much fundamental analysis you can do.  Cryptos aren't corporations with earnings and dividend-paying stocks; there's no mergers & acquisitions; there's no potential for corporate expansion.  The only thing anyone can do is read the news and stare at price charts.

I always hoped that would be the tectonic shift in crypto - M&A, sadly it's definitely not like in the real world stock market where M&As move markets real good. I guess after all the hype of "hey we're building a crypto/blockchain project," there's a lineup of almost no utility platforms gunning for attention. Still, I'd rather do my own TA and bolster with as little fundamental there is, just to be safe. I discovered my instincts were always right on spot at least half the time, which is better than relying on some analyst to do a half-arsed job, after all it's speculation at best.
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March 30, 2019, 05:07:24 AM
 #34

Yes there's but only from news site which is very legit for me. And i don't trust on any TA from other people especially if it has no specific theology because sometimes opposite always happened .so it's very risky and uncertainty which can cause huge losses .much better to stay connected on those legitimate site to assure safe and trustworthy.
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March 30, 2019, 11:29:45 PM
 #35

I heard someone recently state a win ratio of 60% but thats something exceptional I guess, most are probably much closer to 50% if not below.

It all depends on how that person trades. If we look back at Bitcoin's history or any other market in general, certain patterns tend to have a higher percentage potential to break out to the up or down side, and these type of break outs are what traders are waiting for.

Last year's descending triangle statistically had a higher percentage potential to break out to the down side, and it did. People shorting it just based on that did extremely well.

Currently we're doing the exact opposite with an ascending triangle, which statistically has a higher percentage potential to break out to the up side. I am already accumulating, but I'll try to put in a long just before it breaks out, and that's a trade based on a better overall probability.
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March 30, 2019, 11:53:36 PM
 #36

Every tradingview analyst are always right in hindsight. But is there someone you believe in based on past performance?
Aside from my own performance, none because you should always trust yourself. If there is someone present to you their TA analysis, don’t just trust them easily you have to analyze it too. TA is easy to understand and learn better to do it now than to depend to anyone.
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