Your theory doesn't hold in my opinion. Holding has been, still is and will be the superior strategy. Playing trading has much more risk of losing your money than simply holding an asset that is on its way to replacing gold, at least in part, as a store of value, as well as other traditional assets. What we are seeing in this cycle points to that, institutional buy-in, ease of purchase, increased demand, etc. It's not a matter of optimism, it's a matter of observation.
Holding is indeed superior, but holding also requires patience and must enter at the right price. Holding takes a long time.
But about the risk of losing by trading, it only applies to ordinary people who do not understand trading. I am currently holding as well as trading at the same time and it is a very good combination for making a profit.