When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time?

[JMBitcointernational]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

The essence of different odds in sports betting is to give you the room and chance to make decision when your strategies are not working well as planned, most times we rely on our steady strategy probably because it has favored us once and we succeeded profitably, but in sports we should be ready for changes knowing fully well that it is a game of luck , so it is quite advisable that we try another strategy and not relying on one particular strategy.

I have also felt same way @op because there was a time that i relied Soley on correct score just because i won a huge amount from predicting correct scores, and from that day i insisted on playing correct score not until i realized that i am about to lose all the money that i won earlier on predicting a particular style. when i decided to try another strategy fortunately, it favored me, that is to say that there is need for us to re-strategize in our predictions even when we know that gambling is a game of chance and luck.

[Gozie51]

Talking about confidence, I’m always confident about my bet but confidence will never get me my right choice so I’m used to viewing the end result win or lose.

I have seen so many gamblers who were confident of their game but at the end of it the game ended in loses. So despite how confident we believe that our bet will win, we still have to play cool about our bet until it finally end in FT. In fact some gamblers are very confident sometimes that they still go ahead to rebet outside the original bet that there game must win.

To be proud of your bet is good but to over confidence means you have over stepped and might go on betting believing it can't fail. So I like the last part of the post where the last past says either win or lose on a bet.

[YOSHIE]

When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time?

Often and it's a pleasant experience in the world of gambling, we have our own sense of pride in ourselves, I often use this method in sports betting, for example: I believe in the team that I believe can win and I place that bet, at the end of the match I can win the match, that's a real experience for me.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit,

Maybe I should say I have principles when betting, if my thoughts are not different, of course I don't follow my instincts, I will follow circumstances, why should I fight fate, It's clear that the team doesn't have any weight, even though I follow my senses and thoughts when gambling, of course I also have to look at developments in the gambling I want to bet on.

[harapan]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Most times when I  tend to put in more faith and confidence in my picks everything will just go and I'll definitely loose it all,but recently I discovered this new strategy of playing the games, leaving it and probably when I remember to check it up it's going to be a huge jackpots
Sometimes having much confident in your yourself,and the game weighs 50/50 as what you may be expecting might turn out the other way round..
I don't win most of the times and when I know I have nothing to loose so I don't put in much confident in such picks.

[Dewi Aries]

Talking about confidence, I’m always confident about my bet but confidence will never get me my right choice so I’m used to viewing the end result win or lose.

I have seen so many gamblers who were confident of their game but at the end of it the game ended in loses. So despite how confident we believe that our bet will win, we still have to play cool about our bet until it finally end in FT. In fact some gamblers are very confident sometimes that they still go ahead to rebet outside the original bet that there game must win.

To be proud of your bet is good but to over confidence means you have over stepped and might go on betting believing it can't fail. So I like the last part of the post where the last past says either win or lose on a bet.

This is why it is not recommended to place excessive hopes on winning or on the method you use when gambling, such as perhaps a strategy or pattern that you think is good, because in the end of course whatever method you use can only increase your chances but cannot be used as a result. as a guarantee that you will win at the end of the session, in the end it is clear that the most important thing is luck, or meaning only luck can lead you to real victory, but it is a fact that luck always cannot be known when it will come.

The fact of how luck works is also the reason why we as gamblers must always limit our expectations of winning so that we don't feel too disappointed when in the end the results are not what we wanted. However, we have to remember the fact that after all, gambling is a game of chance where, simply put, if you are unlucky then it is clear that you will lose regardless of whatever method you use and also regardless of how confident you are in the method you use.

[qwertyup23]

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

I find it ironic that whenever I try to concentrate and focus on my betting strategies, the result of those games is different from what I expected- in fact, it's worse than my bets that were made instantly.

For example, if I try to concentrate on sports-betting where I analyze data from previous games and compare it against the other team, I compile those data and arrive at a decent conclusion in which I rely my bets on. Surprisingly, my results are the otherwise I have anticipated as I lost more than I won by doing this process.

Probably by reflection, I tend to overthink my bets and I also go overboard with my analysis that I somehow overlooked some parts and overestimated most. Though the problem here is with ME and not on the process, I still recommend doing your own research in order to at least have some basis on your bets.

[Gaza13]

For me, it's not too much of a problem with things like this. It's difficult to make a choice that isn't a choice according to your heart, whether in sports betting it's your choice or your experiment, playing at home so you see a much greater chance of qualifying next compared to the original choice. you or your team?

If I experienced a previous loss in the initial game and then I moved on to another game and made a profit, this is very normal for the gambler. They don't just focus on one game, of course they look for potential ways to make money from their analysis. In essence, gamblers seek their fortunes at the gambling table.

[0t3p0t]

No, confidence does not bring winning in gambling. It only brings about hope that we would win in a particular bet. Infact most of the times i was confidence with the game i had selected i mostly don't win because i choose the games out of passion and not based on the quality and performances of the team which i mostly experience in sports gambling.

Gambling is luck, which means once luck is on your side you will win. If your bets were analyzed well then there are also chances of you wining as well. Sometimes i just take a few games like two or three then i use a big amount to stake it, it mostly come out well anytime i do this.

I agree with you mate. But since it is a sportsbetting I think we can use our analysis skills to predict who would win but my only drawback with sportbetting is when it was being rigged. It happened to me many time with combat sports and it's quite annoying. I personally look at the teams previous performances and records that will help me pick the best bet but yeah that does not guarantee any winnings however still has higher chances of luck.  Gamblers always depends on luck that is why we need to find it ourselves depending on our strategy.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Interesting strategy. I think at the initial stage it may bring results, but over time it will not be profitable. What I mean is that over time a person will still want to make the right bets to make money. After all, as long as it brings results, then you follow this tactic, but when this strategy does not bring results, you will understand that
that was a mistake. That is, over time, as I believe, a person will still return to making bets intelligently and not vice versa. I haven't done that, but it's an interesting idea.

I think that as time goes by and we gain experience in the game, of course we learn, and that is reflected in intelligent players, or rather intelligent decisions. I think things always happen for a reason, there are many people who have large amounts of money and yet when they play and lose they don't learn, so that is something that needs to be improved and sometimes the epron don't care, they are not interested in improving their way of playing, but they are dedicated only to playing, so I think the smartest way to play is before playing when you establish a money that you are wWilling to lose by playing in the casino.

[STT]

Depends where you confidence is coming from, if Im confident that I have thought out the bet and possibilities vs the odds given then that will improve my chances over a random bet.    Confidence from experience and knowledge does justify the higher possibility of winning.   The problem of course is over confidence and self deception on the surety of your decisions and conclusions as to the bet risks.