Gozie51
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December 04, 2022, 09:44:22 PM |
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Totally agree that CBDCs won't save weak currencies. Fiat 2.0, I mean CBDCs, can't solve for the unlimited printing press of some of these currencies. These currencies will be devalued due to their inflationary nature.
Yes it has the same connotations with paper money only that it printing cost is reduced from fiat but the country's economic activities and government policies will affect it like fiat too. If fiat is being devalued then it affects CBDC of the country and they sell at the same price. The value in price should be the same for both.
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serjent05
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December 04, 2022, 10:32:52 PM |
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CBDCs are no more than fiat currency scams on steroids. As long as the current fiat system is not viable, then CBDCs are even less viable as they enable the government to engage in even more currency debasement. CBDCs cannot save weak currencies like the Ghanian Cedis, the Zimbabwean Dollar, the Venezuelan bolivar, the Argentine peso, or the Lebanese lira. The eNaira, Africa’s first central bank digital currency (CBDC) is a total failure and did not save the Nigerian fiat currency. Infact, there are a lot of bad things that come with CBDCs and countries should avoid it. What do you think. Do you have a dissenting opinion? https://financialunderground.com/articles/another-big-cbdc-flop/It is because the basis of the reserve of CBDC is still the country's financial reserve. CBDC is just a digital version of cash. The whole financial system and structure of the country are the same so of course, it will not change anything. Even Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies cannot save anyone's fiat currency. Because in order to save any fiat currency, the country needs to improve and develop having a positive gain on its GDP to strengthen its financial reserve. Totally agree that CBDCs won't save weak currencies. Fiat 2.0, I mean CBDCs, can't solve for the unlimited printing press of some of these currencies. These currencies will be devalued due to their inflationary nature.
Yes it has the same connotations with paper money only that it printing cost is reduced from fiat but the country's economic activities and government policies will affect it like fiat too. If fiat is being devalued then it affects CBDC of the country and they sell at the same price. The value in price should be the same for both. I agree, the economic status of a country is the main reason of a certain fiat currency getting stronger or weaker.
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romero121
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December 04, 2022, 10:52:31 PM |
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Totally agree that CBDCs won't save weak currencies. Fiat 2.0, I mean CBDCs, can't solve for the unlimited printing press of some of these currencies. These currencies will be devalued due to their inflationary nature.
Yes it has the same connotations with paper money only that it printing cost is reduced from fiat but the country's economic activities and government policies will affect it like fiat too. If fiat is being devalued then it affects CBDC of the country and they sell at the same price. The value in price should be the same for both. Yeah, the printing cost have been cut. Further it helps in making out things in a better way as everything can be kept in control as it isn't possible to hoard money illegally. There are some positive things, yet this isn't going to be an success for the countries having CBDC which is limited within the country.
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franky1
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December 05, 2022, 12:15:07 AM Last edit: December 05, 2022, 04:41:46 AM by franky1 |
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just going by UK paper fiat currency.. of government money creation(bonds and QE)
when UK government want to create say $50b they create a bond(agreement/loan) with bank of england(central).
this is where they will give the BoE 5.1b a year for 10 years(paid via tax revenue)
this digital $50b is created by BoE and sent to the government treasury account.. to be spent by government for public services. which ends up in circulation and bank(commercial) accounts of employees of public services and thus moves around to wherever they spend it next
this $50b generates $5b(10%) in tax revenue + more on the re-spends as it circulates within a year.
so now the banks(commercial) of the public now has combined extra $50b spread over customer accounts
this also means the government needs to print $2.5billion of bank notes at a print price of $25m(10p per $10 bank note).. just so that banks(commercial) can have on hand 5% of account balance of the new amounts thats are $50b higher.. (so that ATM's are full to meet the 5% cashflow demands of withdrawals)
but the commercial banks have to buy those bank notes from the government at face value of combined $2.5b (not the governments print price)
so while the banks(commercial) hold $50b of new money. it cost them $2.5b to end the story of the money creation process
by going CBDC the commercial banks can save themselves $2.5b every time a central bank or government wants to inject another $50b
however it means that the government treasury cannot collect on the $2.475b profit from the money creation. but still has to pay back the $5.1b a year to the BoE in repayments.
however.. by going CBDC the government can ,amdate that commercial banks monitor the income and outgoing of tier 2-3 wallets that are KYC and tax banded. and ensure the commercial banks report incomes over X so that the government can request tax from those accounts easier (send payment requests/invoices or go to court to get court order to mandate payment seizure) which is something not so easy to do in the old fiat way. thus the rich end up actually paying tax and not hiding it away as easily
.. well thats the theory and their best case scenario for CDBC
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rokok lokal
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December 05, 2022, 04:27:54 AM Merited by fillippone (2) |
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It's really just a digital version of fiat currency and centralized banking, CBDCs are trying to use blockchain technology to try and solve the problems that centralized systems have, because in their minds, if you can't track them, they have no control – and they really want to maintain control .
Yes, Bitcoin is a technology and in the long term, it is a technology that will have far greater impact and reach than CBDC and if progress continues on its current path of total decentralization, blockchain based tokens will continue to be the backbone of transactions and interactions that occur. on the web and in real life.
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MoonOfLife
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December 05, 2022, 05:34:31 AM |
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I agree with you that CBDC cannot rescue fiat because they are really one, CBDC is just digital version of Fiat and its strength depends on the economy of that country. But not all CBDCs will fail, like fiat. If the US launches its own CBDC then surely the US CDBS will have the same strength as their USD.
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Argoo
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January 30, 2023, 08:09:10 PM |
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I agree with you that CBDC cannot rescue fiat because they are really one, CBDC is just digital version of Fiat and its strength depends on the economy of that country. But not all CBDCs will fail, like fiat. If the US launches its own CBDC then surely the US CDBS will have the same strength as their USD.
The weak national currency of the states means its weak economy. Therefore, the currency is saved by strengthening the economy of the state, and not its financial system. CBDCs are only more efficient non-cash payments of the national currency of this state compared to the current existing system of non-cash payments. They improve the functioning of the national currency, but do not strengthen it. CBDC is actually not related to cryptocurrency.
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uneng
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January 30, 2023, 10:21:28 PM |
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It's certain CBDCs aren't a solution for any countries' economies, because they are a digital copy of fiat currencies. If fiat didn't solve anything, why its digital format would? Crypto adopters are investing in bitcoin and its pairs mainly due to their profitability, but also because they don't trust what their governments promote and manage in financial terms. Since CBDCs are issued by governments, people will tend to see it in a negative way, just like they see their currently fiat national currencies.
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STT
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January 30, 2023, 11:12:51 PM |
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Only one thing can really save a country's currency and its more related to balance of trade then anything else I think. It helps if the government has a balanced fiscal plan and the underlying growth of the country is there such as demographic working age group expanding but same as alot of markets a demand which out weighs supply of that currency will lead to strength. The rest of is window dressing, they might alter the liquidity, the monetary velocity possibly but base demand comes from a good set of trade deals and production by that country. The reason USA has such a large advantage is every part of the world wants to hold that currency, its used far outside its borders as part of trade and the same can be true of every solid regularly trading economy I hope this is more true in future then now where politics and debt are too dominant.
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coupable
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January 31, 2023, 10:45:08 PM |
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CBDC is just a new historical turn, the transition of money to another qualitative level. If you remember, at the beginning of civilization, existing money was provided with precious metal in it, then banknotes appeared, then a mix of fiat money and non-cash payments (now we are here). The next step is CBDC. This was driven by cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. The essence of CBDC is total control over the movement of money and total state control over the money itself. Yes, and also the security of the financial system of the state! Because for example, CBDC solves the problem of counterfeiting, "financial attacks on the state", etc. actions. Nothing else!
we are still in the early adoption of CBDCs. so right now the governments don't know yet the full potential or impact of its usage. but definitely, the tracking of CBDC is much easier than the usual physical fiat money. transparency is one of the things that this digital fiat can offer. but let's see how people will use this to their own advantage. CBDC will help achieve good results for the government because it will be able to track users' transfers and the size of their savings, which is not the required efficiency at present, since a large proportion of the liquidity is used in the black market. But we should not imagine that it may succeed in helping weak currencies on any level. Another important point that CBDC may succeed in achieving is that stablecoins are forced to be abandoned on trading platforms and the use of CBDC instead. This will definitely help avoid market disasters like the one that happened with Luna Network and Ftx platform.
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Sithara007
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February 01, 2023, 04:49:18 AM |
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The main advantage with decentralized cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Cardano and Ethereum is that they work under the principle of controlled supply. On the other hand, the governments are treating CBDCs as just a tool to print more and more money. It doesn't work that way. Apart from the format, CBDC and fiat currency is the same. It is not backed up by anything. They are inflationary and became more so since the governments started to print unlimited amounts of money giving the excuse of COVID19.
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jeraldskie11
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February 01, 2023, 06:16:06 AM |
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I agree with you that CBDC cannot rescue fiat because they are really one, CBDC is just digital version of Fiat and its strength depends on the economy of that country. But not all CBDCs will fail, like fiat. If the US launches its own CBDC then surely the US CDBS will have the same strength as their USD.
Just because CBDC and fiat are the same, doesn't mean it can't save fiat. In my opinion, CBDC was made to prevent people to convert their money into world of cryptocurrency as they heard that cryptocurrency is a game changer, many people got rich because of this, and a hassle free mode of payment. They might scared that these will happen because it will really affect fiat worth. In other words, CBDC is just a non volatile cryptocurrency with KYC verified users. So for me, it is made to save fiat as per my knowledge.
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Panos Markovits
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February 01, 2023, 07:33:46 AM |
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The mainstream media seems to have it that Bitcoin is dead and buried, not to be resurrected any time soon. But what the media can’t seem to grasp is that Bitcoin and cryptocurrency as a whole is a technology, not just one product or service. The real revolution is in the decentralized blockchain architecture itself. While Bitcoin may be “dying” as pundits claim, they don’t even know what’s coming next and how that will be affecting their global economy.
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Smartprofit
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February 01, 2023, 04:47:53 PM |
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I am not a fan of the CBDC system.
However, I must agree with the statement that the state can build an efficient financial system based on the CBDC system.
All large and medium-sized corporations use such a tool for managing the production and sale of goods (works, services) as budgeting. The USSR and communist China also used a tool called a planned economy (based on five-year plans) to manage their countries.
CBDC, combined with mandatory product labeling, can form the basis of an incredibly accurate and efficient system for controlling production, sales and consumption. It will be a system with positive and negative feedbacks, operating in a real-time system.
It is possible that such a system will function autonomously /under the control of artificial intelligence/.
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