What will Bitcoin price plunge to in bear season?

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

In my opinion, as it stands right now, the Bitcoin market is still in the bullish trend unless we see the price starts to blunge to $80k or $70k below, that's when we could say we are entering the bear market and can speculate on what the lowest price will be. There is yet high speculation that price could get to $120k or more this year and if that happens, then I think that Bitcoin might not go below $50k during the bear market.

Are you saying that if bitcoin does not reach $120K in this bull season, bitcoin may fall below $50K? And if does so, then what do you think the people’s reaction will be about bitcoin. Going down to $50K is kind of moderate to me but when we begin to see it going more lesser than that, it’ll really cause a lot of panic even when people know it’ll still bounce back. Some moments like this are what DCA investors are looking for. So I think as it will be a time for panic for some people, it will be the time most people will begin to accumulate more bitcoin.

Yes, I think so. If for example bitcoin get to $150k or $200k this year, do you think during bear season, we could see price go below $80k? With what I think, if price goes that high, it will create a strong support zone that price will never break during the bear market and the support zone price will be far above $50k.

[philipma1957]

In my opinion, as it stands right now, the Bitcoin market is still in the bullish trend unless we see the price starts to blunge to $80k or $70k below, that's when we could say we are entering the bear market and can speculate on what the lowest price will be. There is yet high speculation that price could get to $120k or more this year and if that happens, then I think that Bitcoin might not go below $50k during the bear market.

Are you saying that if bitcoin does not reach $120K in this bull season, bitcoin may fall below $50K? And if does so, then what do you think the people’s reaction will be about bitcoin. Going down to $50K is kind of moderate to me but when we begin to see it going more lesser than that, it’ll really cause a lot of panic even when people know it’ll still bounce back. Some moments like this are what DCA investors are looking for. So I think as it will be a time for panic for some people, it will be the time most people will begin to accumulate more bitcoin.

Yes, I think so. If for example bitcoin get to $150k or $200k this year, do you think during bear season, we could see price go below $80k? With what I think, if price goes that high, it will create a strong support zone that price will never break during the bear market and the support zone price will be far above $50k.

hmm if btc gets fully corrupted or should I say adopted by mainstream money people I would think it won’t have:

 90 or 80 or 75 or 60% rollbacks anymore.

who knows what games will unfold once the trumpeter starts blowing his horn.

he is making a speech today get your popcorn ready.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

In my opinion, as it stands right now, the Bitcoin market is still in the bullish trend unless we see the price starts to blunge to $80k or $70k below, that's when we could say we are entering the bear market and can speculate on what the lowest price will be. There is yet high speculation that price could get to $120k or more this year and if that happens, then I think that Bitcoin might not go below $50k during the bear market.

Are you saying that if bitcoin does not reach $120K in this bull season, bitcoin may fall below $50K? And if does so, then what do you think the people’s reaction will be about bitcoin. Going down to $50K is kind of moderate to me but when we begin to see it going more lesser than that, it’ll really cause a lot of panic even when people know it’ll still bounce back. Some moments like this are what DCA investors are looking for. So I think as it will be a time for panic for some people, it will be the time most people will begin to accumulate more bitcoin.

Yes, I think so. If for example bitcoin get to $150k or $200k this year, do you think during bear season, we could see price go below $80k? With what I think, if price goes that high, it will create a strong support zone that price will never break during the bear market and the support zone price will be far above $50k.

hmm if btc gets fully corrupted or should I say adopted by mainstream money people I would think it won’t have:

 90 or 80 or 75 or 60% rollbacks anymore.

who knows what games will unfold once the trumpeter starts blowing his horn.

he is making a speech today get your popcorn ready.

Well, that's true but then, let's see how it goes, right now am drawing my prediction based on the old historic price movement, where price can plunge by 60% or more during bear season.
 

[philipma1957]

In my opinion, as it stands right now, the Bitcoin market is still in the bullish trend unless we see the price starts to blunge to $80k or $70k below, that's when we could say we are entering the bear market and can speculate on what the lowest price will be. There is yet high speculation that price could get to $120k or more this year and if that happens, then I think that Bitcoin might not go below $50k during the bear market.

Are you saying that if bitcoin does not reach $120K in this bull season, bitcoin may fall below $50K? And if does so, then what do you think the people’s reaction will be about bitcoin. Going down to $50K is kind of moderate to me but when we begin to see it going more lesser than that, it’ll really cause a lot of panic even when people know it’ll still bounce back. Some moments like this are what DCA investors are looking for. So I think as it will be a time for panic for some people, it will be the time most people will begin to accumulate more bitcoin.

Yes, I think so. If for example bitcoin get to $150k or $200k this year, do you think during bear season, we could see price go below $80k? With what I think, if price goes that high, it will create a strong support zone that price will never break during the bear market and the support zone price will be far above $50k.

hmm if btc gets fully corrupted or should I say adopted by mainstream money people I would think it won’t have:

 90 or 80 or 75 or 60% rollbacks anymore.

who knows what games will unfold once the trumpeter starts blowing his horn.

he is making a speech today get your popcorn ready.

Well, that's true but then, let's see how it goes, right now am drawing my prediction based on the old historic price movement, where price can plunge by 60% or more during bear season.
 

I do agree with history as well have done over minus 90% Nov 2013 was 1300 and it went under 150 after that.

[Mahanton]

We do not know the all-time high yet. It would be too early to make conclusion. What people are still talking about is how bitcoin will be in 2025. People are predicting that bitcoin will get to all-time high. Bitcoin will increase above $108000 and get to all-time high. You can ask this same question if the bear market is showing sign of starting. With the price of bitcoin right now, bitcoin may not fall below $30000 anymore.

I also think that it's quite early to start speculating about what Bitcoin price will be in bear run, we have so much to look forward to in this bull run. Most speculators are predicting ATH at approximately $150k before bear run will kick in so this should be our focus for now especially for investors that are looking forward to talking profit in this bull season so that they won't miss out before bear run. Investors who don't want to take profits in this circle and those that are on DCA method wouldn't care about speculations. I think OP question will be relevant when we enter bear run because nobody knows the answer now, even in bear run nobody can give a precise answer.

There's no one will really be able to know on how low the price will really be that going low. Come to think that on this current market cycle on which the price had gone low $16k and there are even those predictions on which it will really be that going low that $10k and this happened on that $69k ATH and now we are currently on breaking new ATH's and we are on this bull run year on which we dont know on what would really be that peak price for this year and on what would be the price drop for this cycle. This is why whenever you do see up such situation then better see this to be an opportunity rather than on having that the end of your investment dealing. We do know that this market does have its cycle on which means that whenever you do see up such condition then it will be that up to you on how you would be making out action basing up into the condition of the market. If you are really that good when it comes on trying out to enter on the best time then it will really be that better that you should really know on how to react out accordingly. Bitcoins price could neither go that up or down according to trend and other sentiments. Everyone does have its own way or method on how to handle up themselves when it comes to these kind of movements. So outcomes and results will really varying into someones approach.

[noormcs5]

Yes, I think so. If for example bitcoin get to $150k or $200k this year, do you think during bear season, we could see price go below $80k? With what I think, if price goes that high, it will create a strong support zone that price will never break during the bear market and the support zone price will be far above $50k.

I think the price of bitcoin in the next bull season should hold the previous 2021 bull market all-time high price. This would mean that it should not be dumped below 68K. But still if we take a more conservative target, then i can say it can be anything between 50-60K range. I don't think we will not fall beyond 50K in the next bear season. The only exception to this is if we have a recession like in 2008, in that case, stocks, crypto, everything will fall beyond expectations.

[OgNasty]

Depends how high it goes but if I'm being perfectly honest, I think the market will go high enough later this year to allow Michael Saylor to get MicroStrategy in trouble.  If that company goes down due to leverage and their holdings liquidated, we'll definitely see a Bitcoin price below $100K.  I think we'd probably need a Bitcoin price of $700,000 for Saylor to get himself in enough trouble to get liquidated and bankrupt his company, but after being in Bitcoin for over a decade, it's always the "best" investment that fails and takes the market with it.  I guess the real question here to ask is, what will it take for Saylor to get liquidated?  That's how low it will probably go and that number will rise alongside his Bitcoin buys.  Party while the music is playing, but don't be the last to the exits.  This is your 9 month warning.

[_BlackStar]

-snip-

hmm if btc gets fully corrupted or should I say adopted by mainstream money people I would think it won’t have:

 90 or 80 or 75 or 60% rollbacks anymore.

who knows what games will unfold once the trumpeter starts blowing his horn.

he is making a speech today get your popcorn ready.

I tend to agree with that range of decline based on history. 70% to 80% is the range I think the next bear season will be regardless of how high the price goes this year. Of course it's not so much a certainty that we then describe it as doubt - but the cycle is almost always similar. I don't expect there to be a 90% drop from the ATH in the next bear season - if it does, that's a risk that long-term investors need to consider and they need to be prepared with a backup plan.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

I tend to agree with that range of decline based on history.
70% to 80% is the range I think the next bear season will be regardless of how high the price goes this year. Of course it's not so much a certainty that we then describe it as doubt - but the cycle is almost always similar. I don't expect there to be a 90% drop from the ATH in the next bear season - if it does, that's a risk that long-term investors need to consider and they need to be prepared with a backup plan.

In respect to what I already said before, I do have that thought too that bitcoin price will drawdown to -60% or -70% during the bear season which no body can accurately know what will happen. At this point where the government of some countries are showing interest in adoption of bitcoin for federal reserve, ETF approval, and some money people (just as Phil'ma called it) showing so much interest on bitcoin, we might likely not see a huge price plunge during the bear season.

[lixer]

I also think that it's quite early to start speculating about what Bitcoin price will be in bear run, we have so much to look forward to in this bull run.

For me no, it isn't early because we have been on this bullish period ever since last year. As for the price, this is something that is hard to predict, especially for a big movement like the bulls and bears.

Most speculators are predicting ATH at approximately $150k before bear run will kick in so this should be our focus for now especially for investors that are looking forward to talking profit in this bull season so that they won't miss out before bear run. Investors who don't want to take profits in this circle and those that are on DCA method wouldn't care about speculations. I think OP question will be relevant when we enter bear run because nobody knows the answer now, even in bear run nobody can give a precise answer.

If that is what they are focusing, it does not always mean that we must also go with the flow and follow them. We still have our own lives and maybe priorities? If about taking a profit, bears are also important as the bulls and if they are not new in here, did they not take profits yet? Especially last time when the price is higher than what we are having lately. For those who don't want to take a profit yet, I think they still do care about the speculations. We can't disregard this as this is like the main ingredient here in crypto.

[|MINER|]

I am seeing so much optimism among Bitcoinist on this forum and we are all hoping to make profit before the bull market comes to an end. After which, we will be looking to gather into bans (our portfolio) again, so my question is, what are you speculations about the lowest price of Bitcoin during the bull season. Share your opinion so that we will not start DCAing at the Top and feeling bad at the bottom. At what price should we start DCAing in expectation for the next halving bull Run?

If I were to give my opinion on this, I would first have to say that the bull season is currently underway and it is not over yet.
I think we have a chance of seeing even bigger all-time high prices in the next three months at least. And since when we are going to do this kind of analysis, we will compare the all time high price in the previous seasons with the all time low price in the bear season. In this case too, we initially need to know the all time high price of this season and only then will we understand how much Bitcoin's price can fall in the upcoming bear season.

However, in my general analysis, as far as I understand, Bitcoin will have a minimum price range of 40k in the upcoming bear seasons. Moreover, if we look at the previous all-time high price, it will be 60% to 78% lower we can also compare with that.

[bitzizzix]

I tend to agree with that range of decline based on history.
70% to 80% is the range I think the next bear season will be regardless of how high the price goes this year. Of course it's not so much a certainty that we then describe it as doubt - but the cycle is almost always similar. I don't expect there to be a 90% drop from the ATH in the next bear season - if it does, that's a risk that long-term investors need to consider and they need to be prepared with a backup plan.

In respect to what I already said before, I do have that thought too that bitcoin price will drawdown to -60% or -70% during the bear season which no body can accurately know what will happen. At this point where the government of some countries are showing interest in adoption of bitcoin for federal reserve, ETF approval, and some money people (just as Phil'ma called it) showing so much interest on bitcoin, we might likely not see a huge price plunge during the bear season.

Given the continued growth in adoption over time, I also don't think Bitcoin will go down too much during the bear season after Bitcoin actually hit an all-time high.
Should we always relate past events to current events and over time, because I think there will definitely be differences even though they are not significant that we will never know and as long as adoption continues, I think anything can change because the price of Bitcoin is really unpredictable.
And no matter what happens, owning it and continuing to try to accumulate Bitcoin for the long term is the right choice considering anything can happen and it is also not easy to predict because some factors that we do not know before can even happen unexpectedly.

[BITCOIN4X]

~Snip

Given the continued growth in adoption over time, I also don't think Bitcoin will go down too much during the bear season after Bitcoin actually hit an all-time high.

The adoption of bitcoin as a means of payment cannot completely withstand high selling pressure in bearish times. Users only use bitcoin as currency to pay, while adopters will of course convert bitcoin to fiat or stablecoin in order to secure profits and balance their financial balance. Even if these bitcoin adopters don't sell bitcoin and just hold them, then imagine whether the massive selling that might be carried out by investors and miners will not affect the price?

Should we always relate past events to current events and over time, because I think there will definitely be differences even though they are not significant that we will never know and as long as adoption continues, I think anything can change because the price of Bitcoin is really unpredictable.
And no matter what happens, owning it and continuing to try to accumulate Bitcoin for the long term is the right choice considering anything can happen and it is also not easy to predict because some factors that we do not know before can even happen unexpectedly.

If you refer to past history in predicting possible price highs for the future, then you also need to refer to past history to determine how deep the price decline is likely to be. It is true that not all of these have to be repeated, but at least these things can be a reference for predicting prices in the future.

[STT]

Speculating too soon on this event, an expectation of accuracy that should not be there at this point.  Better to be far more broad and ask two or three digits or I mean six or five of course.




Without the peak and all the volume of trading around, leading upto and after I dont expect to guess rightly.  We dont want to shoot ourselves in the foot, the alternative topic might do you think this is the top and not that many do I guess.

[Odusko]

I am seeing so much optimism among Bitcoinist on this forum and we are all hoping to make profit before the bull market comes to an end. After which, we will be looking to gather into bans (our portfolio) again, so my question is, what are you speculations about the lowest price of Bitcoin during the bull season. Share your opinion so that we will not start DCAing at the Top and feeling bad at the bottom. At what price should we start DCAing in expectation for the next halving bull Run?

I think most smart Bitcoin investors have already taken their profits by now because we have seen Bitcoin reaching various all-time highs and for sure there is the likelihood of us seeing new records of all time high prices, but then the best have been achieved and we shouldn't look for anything out of the ordinary, many speculators believed that Trump innovation will spike up the price of Bitcoin into reaching a new all-time high price, but it over 5 days and nothing have happened although we saw Bitcoin price quick trajectory in the last couple of hours ago and Bitcoin deen reach above $110k or even more before it corrected back to the present price level, so for sure Bitcoin is hard to be predicted and political events may not have full control over the market as speculated.

[GeorgeJohn]

I am seeing so much optimism among Bitcoinist on this forum and we are all hoping to make profit before the bull market comes to an end. After which, we will be looking to gather into bans (our portfolio) again, so my question is, what are you speculations about the lowest price of Bitcoin during the bull season. Share your opinion so that we will not start DCAing at the Top and feeling bad at the bottom. At what price should we start DCAing in expectation for the next halving bull Run?

Nobody can guess the exact price bitcoin will be during a bullrun, that's things that we are suppose to understand, any prediction concerning what you just said by anyone, that prediction is not worth to emulate, due to price of bitcoin rotational and its not constant, despite some people theories of analysis I don't think that theirs prediction of price of bitcoin during next bullrun that is going be accurate.