If you’re really into sports betting, there’s a simple way to know if you actually have the edge and it won’t cost you anything.
Start capping games regularly as if you’re betting for real, since the lines are always available anyway. Keep a record of your picks, maybe on a spreadsheet, and apply proper bankroll management even if it’s just on paper. You’ll notice that it’s easier to stay disciplined when there’s no real money at risk.
After a month, check your results. If you hit around 54% or better, that’s already close to the passing rate needed to be profitable in the long run. That’s the point where you can consider moving to real money betting, at least now you’ll know if you’re ready or just lucky.
In practice, such virtual bets (paper bets) are very different from the bets a player will make when it comes time to bet real money. 🤷
In general, in gambling, a player's emotions are paramount. And, understandably, the prospect of losing real money forces a player to use completely different gaming strategies than when playing casually and risk-free. And the emotions they experience will be completely different. 🦧
Of course, you can use this learning method, and perhaps you'll benefit from it. However, in my opinion, you'll never truly understand yourself until you start betting real money.