No bet for me. I think $400 will be reached, then the final capitulation at $200 a month or two from now.
As long as no announcement by the likes of the Winklevoss, SecondMarket, Amazon, or EBay pops out of the blue, we will have to test that trendline I drew... after a bull-trap.
On the other hand, if the final draft of Bitlicense is by some freak chance, favorable, then all bets on testing the ancient trendline are off as well.
Looks's like you you covered everything with that post