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Author Topic: Hype From US Marshal’s Auction Did Not Help Bitcoin Price  (Read 1543 times)
faceplantz (OP)
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February 24, 2015, 03:03:35 PM
 #1

Bitcoin Price Drops Again, Hype From US Marshal’s Auction Did Not Help

Will the price go up or drop when the auction comes?

Beliathon
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February 24, 2015, 03:09:58 PM
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Impossible to know even after the fact, because correlation is not causation.

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February 24, 2015, 03:14:20 PM
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IMO I think it will depend on the final auction prices and what the holders decide to do with their newly acquired BTC.

They may just dump for a profit depending on sale price or hold out for a big ROI, who knows?
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February 24, 2015, 07:12:11 PM
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I think at this price, hovering not far from the lows, the odds are higher of someone buying all the coins, possibly above market, than they were last time.
If not this auction, then quite likely in the final one, depending on price at the time. It would the the last of the 'known' coins  overhanging the market and a not insignificant event.

Disclaimer: I still think we are in a bear market, so don't take this as someone trying to 'talk it up', I just think the probability is higher than last time.
If this does not happen, I think we see new lows pretty quickly.

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HarmonLi
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February 24, 2015, 07:14:05 PM
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HypeHuh How is the US Marshals auction supposed to help the Bitcoin price? I mean those are 50k coins being released onto the open market (potentially). An increasing supply never causes the price to go up... In fact the news about the auction crashed the price slightly when it was released!

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February 24, 2015, 07:22:41 PM
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HypeHuh How is the US Marshals auction supposed to help the Bitcoin price? I mean those are 50k coins being released onto the open market (potentially). An increasing supply never causes the price to go up... In fact the news about the auction crashed the price slightly when it was released!

And held pretty solid since then (remember, this is a medium-term bear talking, I am trying to be objective!)

As they said they were likely to hold another auction in Q1, it was probably pretty much priced in. We've all known for a long time that these coins were for sale, and this auction was pretty well telegraphed.
The final one has a chance of being a 'cork-out-of-the-bottle' moment ... last chance to grab 50k in one hit (not true, but a good story Wink)

Just trying on a bull-suit for size ... not sure it fits well over the bear fur ... might have to remove that first  Grin

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February 24, 2015, 07:50:24 PM
 #7

Yeah, I also have to say that that auction could never have pushed the price up in any way. More coins on the market push the price down or at least channel buying power form the participants of the auction, that could have went into buying the coins at spot price, otherwise...

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February 25, 2015, 05:53:58 AM
 #8

I think Bitcoins could have another strong dip. Probably to the 180-200 range. It won't stay that low though. Should bounce up pretty quick.
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