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分析师: 地缘政治风险上升 本周金价料继续走高
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Topic: 分析师: 地缘政治风险上升 本周金价料继续走高 (Read 143 times)
Deniselly
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分析师: 地缘政治风险上升 本周金价料继续走高
May 03, 2017, 11:21:55 AM
#1
美国上周对叙利亚空军基地发射巡航导弹,国际局势紧张关系升级,导致投资者避险需求上扬,黄金价格也连续第四周收涨。
展望本周黄金走势,分析师认为,地缘政治的恐惧,外加上周非农就业人数疲弱,估计金价会继续走高。
国际现货黄金上周累计收涨6.50美元,涨幅0.52%,收报每安士1255.30美元,最高上探1270.46美元,最低下探1243.35美元。
金价上扬主要原因之一是美国上周五向叙利亚发射一连串导弹,以报复造成可怕伤亡的化学武器袭击。消息传出后,市场避险情绪爆发,日元、黄金和美国国债等避险资产大幅上扬,而股市则应声下挫。
另外,美国劳工部上周五也公布就业数据。美国3月非农就业人数仅仅增加9万8000人,远不及市场预期,也创下2016年6月以来最低。这因此削弱市场对美国联邦储备局的升息预期,进而提振金价,因黄金在低利率环境下对投资者具有吸引力。
彭博社上周最新调查显示,黄金交易员及分析师看涨本周金价走势。
在14名黄金交易员及分析师中,10人看涨(72%),四人看跌(14%),其余看平。
有分析师指出,3月非农报告虽令人有一些失望,但并不可能给黄金带来重大影响,投资者更关注的还是日益上升的地缘政治风险。
经纪商Oanda Corp的高级市场分析师哈尔雷(Jeffrey Halley)说:“大量避险买盘拥入市场,这当然会令黄金成为主要受益者。现在叙利亚局势相当不安定,我预计眼下金价仍将保持良好。”
分析师:黄金上探1264美元
他指出,黄金已打破200日移动均线,并上探1264美元,支撑位在1250美元。
加拿大皇家银行资本市场主管杰罗(George Gero)也认为,交易员正担心美国和世界政局、包括欧元区选举、英国脱欧等事件带来的影响,因此黄金前景好。
MKS资本贵金属交易员布朗(Tim Brown)认为,如果黄金在每安士1260美元之上盘整,可能是将金价进一步上涨的催化剂。
FXTM研究分析师奥唐家(Lukman Otunuga)甚至认为,黄金短期内可触及每安士1300美元。
他说:“地缘政治风险加剧和联储局加息预期减弱,都会提振黄金价值。疲弱非农数据最终导致美元面临下行风险,那么看涨黄金的投资者,会更坚信金价会驱向1300美元。”
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