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社评:希望文总统对改善中韩关系有所作为
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Topic: 社评:希望文总统对改善中韩关系有所作为 (Read 199 times)
Tirireey
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社评:希望文总统对改善中韩关系有所作为
May 10, 2017, 02:44:38 AM
#1
因朴槿惠遭弹劾下台而提前举行的韩国大选9日上演,共同民主党候选人文在寅如之前民调预测的那样,当选已成定局。由于文在寅在竞选期间发布了明显有别于韩国现行政策的施政理念和计划,他有可能为韩国历史翻开新的一页。
文在寅被普遍看成是一位改革者,并被期待为可以向政治腐败和财阀体制开刀的人。另外他的外交思维也受到韩国选民欢迎,他主张在维护韩美同盟的同时发展同中国的关系,通过缓和半岛南北关系促进朝核问题的解决。
韩国处在东北亚乃至亚太拥挤的地缘政治折冲之间,处理好半岛的南北问题以及与各大国的关系注定对韩国至关重要。韩国一直是美国亚太战略的一个前沿,它能够实现较为突出的繁荣,与它在很长时间里没有让自己捆死在这个角色上,而是同时成为中国的紧密合作伙伴,做到了在大国之间左右逢源有关。
半岛上的军事对峙仍在延续,但管控这种对峙不使之爆炸对韩国具有决定性意义。卢武铉时期奉行对北方的“和平繁荣政策”,它后来虽然中断了,但还是总体上缓冲了半岛局势,也开辟了首尔的对北政策新思路。文在寅曾是卢武铉的亲密助手,其重拾“和平繁荣政策”的意向受到选民的鼓励。卢武铉之后执政的李明博,就把韩国朝保守主义方向带偏了,朴槿惠做了一点调整,但很快180度大掉头,走得比李明博还远。
部署“萨德”不能不说是朴槿惠和韩国保守主义政府的最大败笔,它并没有给韩国带来实际安全,反而冲击了对韩国相对有利的东北亚地缘政治结构,瞬间扭转了中韩友好合作的态势,促使韩国突兀地为美国对华战略博弈扛旗,这完全不符合韩国的长远战略利益。
当今世界上国家竞争十分激烈,韩国保守派用一个虚幻的安全置换了不可多得的国家发展战略资源,同时在安全上将中国从伙伴推向对立的位置,其结果必然是国家的道路越走越窄。
没有一个国家的繁荣可以经得起如此剧烈的战略折腾,韩国保守派大大低估了战略上完全倒向美国带给自己国家的风险,其要压迫中国做战略让步的强硬姿态建立在侥幸得手的幻想之上。我们注意到,文在寅对部署“萨德”一直持消极态度,希望他成为韩国总统能为化解“萨德”冲突带来转机,也为扭转因“萨德”问题陷于僵持的中韩关系提供动力。
韩国保守派政府强行加快“萨德”部署,试图制造“不可逆转的既成事实”。然而对的事情都难保证没有变数,更何况“萨德”这样一个错误的决定。我们期待,为了整个东北亚的稳定和不让解决朝核问题节外生枝,也为了韩国自己的利益,文在寅能够在处理“萨德”问题上展现出魄力和智慧。
中韩形成今天的经济合作规模可以说调动了半岛与大陆之间自古以来积累的天时地利人和,对双方都是了不起的正分。去年以来两国关系出现逆转,韩方部署“萨德”形成最初关键的负推动力。文在寅有让中韩关系重回正轨的愿望,这一愿望如能得到相应行动的匹配,将是很多人愿意看到的。
中韩两国没有根本的利害冲突,只要排除关键障碍,两国民间的互视态度必将迅速发生重大改观。毫无疑问的是,大选胜出的文在寅总统现在手里握着一把钥匙。
maydik
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Activity: 224
Merit: 100
Re: 社评:希望文总统对改善中韩关系有所作为
May 10, 2017, 03:02:29 AM
#2
韩国真是个神奇的国家,总统成为犯人,犯人成为总统
kuogen
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Merit: 10
Re: 社评:希望文总统对改善中韩关系有所作为
May 10, 2017, 11:48:42 AM
#3
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