Kobradobra's pick (NBA, NHL, tennis)

[kobradobra]

Minnesota at Milwaukee: Over 211,5 @ 1.96 (-104) by BitcoinRush

Why: 11 out of 17 games at MIL went Over and now they are hosting one of the worst defensive teams in the league (26), while both team are in top-10 at Offensive production this year. Yeah, they are playing slow pace. Also both team's last 5 matches went OVER. So lets trust the trend.

Overall: -6.58 +7=0-14

[kobradobra]

Phily at Portland: Phily to win @ 2.24 (+124) by by BitcoinRush

Why: Wildcard bet here as the active odds at a moment will change in few hours. And I think Phily will drop under 2.0 in few hours since Embid will be in the lineup, while Lillard will be out. And even if Damien is in he'll be rusty and Blazers actually are not that bad without him (.500). That being said Portland are awful at home this season (7-10), while Phily is a good road team.

Overall: -7,58 +7=0-15

[kobradobra]

Abu Dhabi Mubadala open. Bautista-Agut vs Djokovic: Agut +3,5 @1.93 (-108) by by BitcoinRush

Why: Djokovic never had it easy against Roberto, losing sets to him in 3 of last 5 matches. With Agut intensity and return game Novak most likely will need a time to find his rhytm. Even in Djokovic's best years he was never convincing against the spaniard. I think Agut has a good chance to win it all.    
Overall: -7,58 +7=1-15

[kobradobra]

ATP. Pune Q: Ivashka - Skugor: Ivashka to win @ 2.2 (+120)

Why: I think Skugor is favorite here only because of H2H (0-2), but Ilya is the better player of the two. Ivashka is 230th in the world, but in reality he is top-200 player if not for his injury last autumn. Skugor is a doubles specialist so Ivashka has to be more motivated to win this one.

Overall: -6.38 +8=1-15

[kobradobra]

ATP. Doha Q: Basic - Vatutin: Basic (-2) @1,92 (-109)

Why: Basic now has a peak Elo rating of his career and also is a clearly superior hardcourt player here. His serve index is higher of the two and gamestyle is more suitable for the surface. Vatutin odds are overrated because of his 2017 success, but it was on clay. He won only one match vs top-200 player on hard last year and it was against another claycourter (Djere).

Overall: -5.46 +9=1-15

[kobradobra]

ATP. Pune Q: Ivashka - Taberner: Ivashka -4.00 -101 / 1.99

Why: Ivashka proved his decent from in a previous match and has a winnable one against Taberner. The spaniard has little-to-no experience at hard at this level and his serve rating is quite poor.  He barely won his 1st match here and the odds for Ilya to win dropped considerably. There is a chance that Taberner is dealing with health issues.  

Overall: -4.47 +10=1-15

[kobradobra]

ATP. Doha Q. Tsitsipas - Ymer: Tsitsipas to win @ -168 / 1.6

Why: What a value. Tsitsipas is head and shoulder above inconsistent and overrated Ymer which not only reflected in ATP rankings, but also in ELO. Ymer's preferable surface is clay, while Stefanis is surely better on hardcourts. Despite Tsi being younger, he is more mature as a player of the two as well.

Overall: -3.87 +11=1-15

[kobradobra]

ATP. Pune: Ramanthan - Carballes-Baena: Ramanthan to win @-135 / 1.74

Why: Ramanthan is a better hardcourt player of the two, with better serve and higher ceiling. While Baena is surely more consistent player here, he is still very limited on HC and rarely plays on it. So should be a winnable match for Ramkumar.

Overall: -3.13 +12=1-15

[kobradobra]

ATP. Pune. Ivashka - Nagal: Ivashka (-2) -108 / 1.93

Why: Again, Ivashka's ranking doesn't reflect his actual ability and level. He is a soild top-200 or even top-150 player with a chances to be a regular main draw player at Slams in future. He is good on HC and is playing good ball here. While Nagal is no pushover for a player from India, he is still worse than Ivashka. Interestingly they played only once...here...at Pune. Ivashka won 2-0.

Overall: -2.20 +13=1-15

[kobradobra]

ATP. Pune. Bemelmans - Monteiro: Bemelmans to win @ -106 / 1.94

Why: I don't know if Ruben is injured or something, but he should never be at even odds against Monteiro at HC. Monteiro is a really bad player on this surface and his biggest win on HC was a blatant match fix. Once again, there is a chance of Bemelmans being injured, because he should be a clear favorite to win this one...even with his ability to choke away matches.

Overall: -3.20 +13=1-16

[kobradobra]

ATP. Pune: Kukushkin - Djere: Kukushkin SETS (-1.5) @ +104 / 2.04

Why: Kukushkin is a really solid HC player and seems like in good conditions. His serve form against Albot was convincing so I think he should win this one comfortably. Djere is still a dark horse on this surface to me, even after good win against Copil.

[kobradobra]

ATP. Pune: Ivashka - Ojede Lara: Ivashka (-3.5) @ -106 / 1.94

Why: I just love Ivashka's form this week and he can't ruin it with loss to Ojede Lara. The spaniard took his first ATP-level win against Vesely in 1st round, who, by reports, was dreadful in that match. So in normal circumstances Ivashka should be on top here without breaking a sweet.