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Question: What do you think about 4-year market cycle approach?
It looks like a bullshit
I think it could be a truth
It definitely works!

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Author Topic: 4-year market cycle approach  (Read 267 times)
sekop
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January 25, 2019, 05:10:16 AM
 #21

This circlus approach is indeed quite good, but market predictions are not easy, for this, we need a lot of research and arguments themselves to keep looking at the facts. Circles that occur to learn the beginning of a developing market and will pump again, many things do indeed have to be learned about the circulation of 4 years.
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January 25, 2019, 06:40:58 AM
 #22

It was also one of my early predictions where I said bitcoin will follow the trend of long bearish moment like as previous from 2014 to 2017. There was no big hype but after that it changed significantly. Now again it will follow the trend.

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January 25, 2019, 10:40:50 AM
 #23

I'm not convinced that this is a major factor. Crypto is young and it changes so much and so quickly. I would hope that the markets in 4 years' time bear little relation to today. Market maturity and depth should be much higher, and some regulation could well be in place.






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January 25, 2019, 10:53:00 AM
 #24

It was also one of my early predictions where I said bitcoin will follow the trend of long bearish moment like as previous from 2014 to 2017. There was no big hype but after that it changed significantly. Now again it will follow the trend.
It will gonna follow the trend so we're about to face a long bearish market again? At least, we have spent a year for this bear market and what's the good side of this when bull triggers, 2017's all time high can be surpassed by that upcoming bull.
I'm not convinced that this is a major factor. Crypto is young and it changes so much and so quickly. I would hope that the markets in 4 years' time bear little relation to today. Market maturity and depth should be much higher, and some regulation could well be in place.
Good point, we can't really be confident with such approach because of the changes that's applicable to crypto.

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January 25, 2019, 12:30:34 PM
 #25

It was also one of my early predictions where I said bitcoin will follow the trend of long bearish moment like as previous from 2014 to 2017. There was no big hype but after that it changed significantly. Now again it will follow the trend.

sometimes i feel like people forced this trend to be repeated otherwise it would have never repeated and price could have been starting to rise already!
and it would make sense though because in market people will only act based on what they believe even if it is very irrational and outright wrong.

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January 25, 2019, 07:04:28 PM
 #26

I also believe this is only a temporary end of a cycle. The new crypto cycle has caught.
mirawantirinjana
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January 26, 2019, 12:11:11 PM
 #27

The 4-year cycle approach cannot be a benchmark in the price of crypto currencies. the fluctuations are never the same in 4-year repetitions.
we just follow the development of the price of crypto currencies while flowing. without continuing to count the 4-year cycle.
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January 26, 2019, 12:41:57 PM
 #28

Hey guys, I've just seen a video about 4-year cycle model on BTC (and overall) market price. I wonder what do you folks think about it. For me this model looks pretty realistic to be truth.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tfts2qHGle0
Economy works in cycles, after years of growth the cycle is showing that big world crysis is comming - correction.
So I do not see any problem that it can be applied to the crypto-market.

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January 26, 2019, 12:45:23 PM
 #29

Hey guys, I've just seen a video about 4-year cycle model on BTC (and overall) market price. I wonder what do you folks think about it. For me this model looks pretty realistic to be truth.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tfts2qHGle0

sadly, video has been removed by the user but from what I understand 4-year cycle model works for the economy so I don't see why it wouldn't work for bitcoin unless something major happens that changes its course.

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January 26, 2019, 12:59:54 PM
 #30

Hey guys, I've just seen a video about 4-year cycle model on BTC (and overall) market price. I wonder what do you folks think about it. For me this model looks pretty realistic to be truth.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tfts2qHGle0

sadly, video has been removed by the user but from what I understand 4-year cycle model works for the economy so I don't see why it wouldn't work for bitcoin unless something major happens that changes its course.
Its too late and I've never saw that but I think it might be remove cause it won't be beneficial to the community. Hope it will give a huge impact to the community and make another course but how it could be imposed if the government never give a commitment to us? It could be just a useless model if nobody have tried it in crypto.

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January 26, 2019, 01:00:49 PM
 #31

Hey guys, I've just seen a video about 4-year cycle model on BTC (and overall) market price. I wonder what do you folks think about it. For me this model looks pretty realistic to be truth.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tfts2qHGle0
This time is not enough to judge as a whole, but one thing is clear: time really does wonders and technology becomes more and more ideal and ready to become global.

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January 28, 2019, 05:02:57 PM
 #32

Even being confident that financial markets operate cyclically, we cannot know the timing of the current cycle. This is especially true for a market that is changing rapidly. Crypto is a rapidly changing market. We can accept the end of the 2014 dump as the beginning of a cycle. But that year the market was very different from the current market. Thus, the 2019... cycle may be with a much longer period.

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January 28, 2019, 05:09:17 PM
 #33

Many cycles are there in all other markets so the same should apply to crypto markets. Bitcoin does have the 4 year reward halving cycle and that should play a major role in its market cycles.
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