I imagine this view will prevail, although it's still "he said, she said" at the moment.
Jumping ahead - I wonder how many of the media outlets that (falsely?) published the Thai
BTC-ban story will retract their stories, apologize, and check their sources more carefully in future. I'm guessing, none of them.
If nothing else, this story should give us a reminder about the unreliability of contemporary media. I notice Tangible Cryptography have "blacklisted" customers from Thailand in their generally positive announcement today, presumably because they just can't take the chance that the original Thailand-ban story is true. Real people, real harm - presumably temporary. (But see below)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=224057.msg2848889#msg2848889Hats off to Goat for pushing back early and vigorously when the original story broke.
I hope an official definitive answer comes very soon - meanwhile, this story is good news.
Edit: Tangible Cryptography have now removed the Thailand restriction, presumably waiting to see how the situation resolves:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=224057.msg2854534#msg2854534