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新华国际:朝韩今日重开热线,为什么是现在?反响如何?
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Topic: 新华国际:朝韩今日重开热线,为什么是现在?反响如何? (Read 84 times)
Justin Hamilton
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新华国际:朝韩今日重开热线,为什么是现在?反响如何?
January 06, 2018, 01:21:29 AM
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“新华国际”微信公众号1月3日消息,韩联社3日援引韩国统一部有关人士的话报道,韩朝通过板门店联络渠道通电话。朝鲜方面在下午3时30分打来电话,确认电话和传真能否正常使用。
据朝鲜媒体消息,就在几小时前,朝鲜最高领导人金正恩下令重开板门店热线。
新年伊始,朝鲜半岛迎来恢复对话、缓和局势的一线曙光。
其实前两天,朝韩双方就已互抛橄榄枝。
金正恩1日在新年贺词中表示,朝鲜有意派代表团参加将在韩国举行的平昌冬奥会,北南当局可以就此进行紧急会谈。
第二天,韩国总统文在寅作出积极回应。韩方提议9日举行高级别会谈,就朝方代表团参加冬奥会、改善南北关系进行开诚布公的讨论。
朝韩重开热线,为什么是现在?反响如何?
问题1:朝鲜半岛现积极信号,为什么是现在?
这其中有一定的突然性,也有着必然性。
朝鲜领导人在新年第一天作出有关会谈的表态,不仅吃瓜群众觉得突然,有韩国专家说,连当事方韩国都有点措手不及。
但这其中也有必然性,在不断的“刀光剑影”“口舌之争”后,事实上,朝鲜半岛已经没有办法再承受这种紧张状态的继续。
问题2:韩国国内如何评价现在的局势?
韩国左翼进步人士认为,这是推动恢复对话、缓和关系的一个宝贵机会,支持政府迅速回应。《韩民族日报》评论,这可能是开启半岛“和平”大门的一个契机。
但是一些保守派人士认为,政府仍不可掉以轻心。比如,朝鲜虽然抛出会谈橄榄枝,但对美国释放了强硬言论,可被视作离间韩美同盟。
不过,韩国民众还是希望半岛局势缓和。韩国开城工业区支援财团理事长金真向接受媒体采访时就说,“过去的敌对让我们得到了什么呢?我们必须重新找回南北和平氛围。”
问题3:此时实现会谈有哪些积极和消极因素?
积极因素有三:
第一,恢复对话、缓和关系符合半岛民众的利益和愿望;
第二,国际社会对于恢复南北对话有共识;
第三,平昌冬奥会将是缓和关系的一次宝贵机会,朝鲜半岛有望实现事实上的“双暂停”,从而给进一步的接触和对话创造氛围。
但是,半岛问题错综复杂,有些消极因素不可不察,比如美国的态度以及韩国保守派势力的掣肘。
朝鲜半岛出现积极信号是好事,但是如果实现会谈后,美韩军演还是来了,规模不减反增,可能引发朝方严重不满,为朝韩和解再次带来阴霾。
乐见,朝韩双方相向而行,半岛水暖花开。
(本文原题为《刚刚,朝韩通了电话,为什么是现在?》)
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