So run by me again why a registered investor would prefer to jump through hoops and pay more to obtain the shares privately rather than just buy them cheaper on the market? If the registered investor is feeling charitable it would be easier for him to just buy some shares on the market then donate BTC to US investors. Either way he's giving away money - so may as well do it the easiest way.
Registered investor is paying market price plus a possibility of paying extra later. By definition that's higher than market price.
Thanks a lot for your comments, Deprived.
First, the current price (maybe misleading in the name, it is not the current market price but the price the buyer wants to pay immediately) in the contract needs to be lower than the current market price. For example, currently there's a lot bids over 0.0001 so it is very difficult for me to buy at that price. With some potential gain from the future price, sellers may agree to sacrifice a little bit in current price.
Second, the buyer does not give extra money than paying the 'current price', because what they can do is just put a ask at the target price immediately after buying this contract. So whenever the price exceeds the target price, the buyer gets everything back from the market, plus the commission and dividends up to that time. If the price never exceed the target price before expiring date, he actually get all the rest in the escrow back.
Therefore, the registered user can buy some shares at a price lower than the market price. The cost is they have to put some extra money in escrow. That part of money is either be returned after expire date, or returned by selling the shares at the target price and get commissions (10 percent in my offer) and dividends as the reward.
Another question is why not the registered users just buy cheaper shares when the US investors panic selling their shares. First, even in a zero-sum game, I prefer fair play. Personally I feel not so easy if I earn money from people have no other choices but to sell all shares against their will. Second, ethical reason aside, in my proposal, the part stay in the escrow will have a chance to earn 10% commission without risk (or only the 0 interest-rate risk). In the current market condition, I think many people may want some safe investment options.
And haven't you considered that the fall in price may not be solely because Bitfunder is closing to US residents - but, at least in part, because the issuer is also from the US so may have legal problems of his own on the horizon. An exchange restricting access/closing shouldn't, of itself, cause a crash in the price of a stock (unless that stock invests in other securities) - some small adjustment to reflect loss of liquidity is, however, reasonable.
Yes, that's also my concern. People are worrying about that it may be delisted from BF. The contract buyer has to take this risk, but my plan still has lower risk than just buying more shares with all the money. There're some reasons, however, to make the buyer more confident in the future of this stock than many others in the market. That's also the reason why I just proposed this to BtcQuick rather than all stocks in BF.
1) The issuer has no right to force buyback the shares (stated in the contract). So the issuer cannot force buy back all shares at the IPO price if he respects the contract.
2) This stock pays solid dividend. I guess the dividend of the following months can keep stable at 300-400 satoshis (assume revenue increase compensates the BTC appreciation). That equals to 50% - 72% ROI considering the current share price. So even all shares become direct shares, and no trade is possible for a certain period, the investors can still get decent reward just by dividends. (Of course, we have to assume the company is not force closed by the government. If that happens, no one can help us. Invest as much as you can afford losing it).
3) The price was around 0.00033-0.00035 before the announcement of BitFunder, but jumped down to 0.0013 at that news. Nothing significantly is changed with the company itself (BTCQuick is not even an exchange. It is just a place to buy BTC. Crowdfunding is their only weakness, but once US investors are excluded, the risk is significantly reduced). Therefore, if everything about the market settles down, it's not totally unreasonable to expect its price bounds back to around 0.0002.
Any more comments are welcome and really appreciated.