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Author Topic: BTCs intrinsic value = Trust; Confirmed by recent market action  (Read 1298 times)
Dr Bloggood (OP)
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December 07, 2013, 01:46:03 PM
Last edit: December 07, 2013, 02:36:31 PM by Dr Bloggood
 #1

In all the discussion about if BTC is in a bubble and about its "intrinsic" value, I have always said that BTCs intrinsic value is, amongst other things, the trust people put into it.

The chart went up when US politics went positive for BTC, and now it has just gone down when Chinese politics went negative for it (I can see positive aspects in Chinas recent announcement, but anybody who says this is JUST positive, I don't agree at all - restrictions will in the end always be at least somehow negative for BTC).

Anyways, I see it confirmed that A.) this is about trust B.) we didn't see a bubble beforehand, we just saw gained trust expressing itself on the pricechart.

Which, all in all, is very positive news, as far as I'm concerned.

EDIT 1: As disussed below, I want to add "utility" to the concept. BTCs entire intrinsic value could be defined by:

Intrinsic Value/BTC= Trust + Utility

EDIT 2: This is why people who say "The price has gotten way ahead of itself" are wrong. No, it didn't. It's just that the value decreased with China's announcement. Would the China announcement have been a 100% positive one, we might be going towards 2000$ right now. In the world of investment, reasons are always found after the fact (see oil price, for example).
remotemass
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December 07, 2013, 01:51:51 PM
 #2

If you could only use cash and credit cards on Sundays and the only alternative was using goods and services to trade during the rest of the days or to use bitcoin, bitcoin intrinsic value would be much more and possibly it's market value would tend to be higher, as well. The intrinsic value of bitcoin is strictly connected to its usefulness and availability.

{ Imagine a sequence of bits generated from the first decimal place of the square roots of whole integers that are irrational numbers. If the decimal falls between 0 and 5, it's considered bit 0, and if it falls between 5 and 10, it's considered bit 1. This sequence from a simple integer count of contiguous irrationals and their logical decimal expansion of the first decimal place is called the 'main irrational stream.' Our goal is to design a physical and optical computing system system that can detect when this stream starts matching a specific pattern of a given size of bits. bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=166760.0 } Satoshi did use a friend class in C++ and put a comment on the code saying: "This is why people hate C++".
Kao
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December 07, 2013, 01:53:19 PM
 #3

In all the discussion about if BTC is in a bubble and about its "intrinsic" value, I have always said that BTCs intrinsic value is, amongst other things, the trust people put into it.

I'd add utility to that. I realize that there is no utility without trust since nobody will use even the most useful method of exchange if they can't trust it, but if you have trust then without utility it is still useless.
Dr Bloggood (OP)
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December 07, 2013, 02:05:27 PM
 #4

In all the discussion about if BTC is in a bubble and about its "intrinsic" value, I have always said that BTCs intrinsic value is, amongst other things, the trust people put into it.

I'd add utility to that. I realize that there is no utility without trust since nobody will use even the most useful method of exchange if they can't trust it, but if you have trust then without utility it is still useless.

Yes, you are absolutely right! That's why I wrote "amongst other things".

However, I didn't think of the last part "trust then without utility it is still useless". True.

This comment is also to remotemass.
Kao
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December 07, 2013, 02:28:45 PM
 #5

In all the discussion about if BTC is in a bubble and about its "intrinsic" value, I have always said that BTCs intrinsic value is, amongst other things, the trust people put into it.

I'd add utility to that. I realize that there is no utility without trust since nobody will use even the most useful method of exchange if they can't trust it, but if you have trust then without utility it is still useless.

Yes, you are absolutely right! That's why I wrote "amongst other things".

However, I didn't think of the last part "trust then without utility it is still useless". True.

This comment is also to remotemass.

What I meant by trust without utility is a system where you can buy bitcoins, they could be held for a limitless amount of time, to take it to the extreme lets say they could be held by a third party for an infinite amount of time (which is more or less true if you give someone an encrypted wallet for which you only have the key) but when you wanted it back you could only get your money back an it was useless for anything else.

Bitcoin isn't like that of course, since you can already get many other things including other currencies and metals, but it's utility is still incredibly limited which limits its value.
LiteCoinGuy
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December 07, 2013, 02:30:04 PM
 #6

the intrinsic value of BTC is alot more than just trust. study BTC.

Dr Bloggood (OP)
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December 07, 2013, 02:34:08 PM
 #7

In all the discussion about if BTC is in a bubble and about its "intrinsic" value, I have always said that BTCs intrinsic value is, amongst other things, the trust people put into it.

I'd add utility to that. I realize that there is no utility without trust since nobody will use even the most useful method of exchange if they can't trust it, but if you have trust then without utility it is still useless.

Yes, you are absolutely right! That's why I wrote "amongst other things".

However, I didn't think of the last part "trust then without utility it is still useless". True.

This comment is also to remotemass.

What I meant by trust without utility is a system where you can buy bitcoins, they could be held for a limitless amount of time, to take it to the extreme lets say they could be held by a third party for an infinite amount of time (which is more or less true if you give someone an encrypted wallet for which you only have the key) but when you wanted it back you could only get your money back an it was useless for anything else.

Bitcoin isn't like that of course, since you can already get many other things including other currencies and metals, but it's utility is still incredibly limited which limits its value.

Well, we would mean trust in every possible way and utility in every possible way (lots of shops accepting, easy access, easy tradability, etc, etc). We got it. I'm gonna edit "utility" into the OP.
Kao
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December 07, 2013, 03:35:36 PM
 #8

This is why people who say "The price has gotten way ahead of itself" are wrong. No, it didn't. It's just that the value decreased with China's announcement. Would the China announcement have been a 100% positive one, we might be going towards 2000$ right now. In the world of investment, reasons are always found after the fact (see oil price, for example).

I agree. A lot of people who comment on bitcoin really need to read up on the fallacy of post hoc ergo propter hoc. Just because B happened after A, that doesn't mean that A caused B.
Rampion
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December 07, 2013, 04:12:02 PM
 #9

The blockchain is what gives bitcoin its intrinsic value: just as gold has a lot of uses apart from it being "money", the block chain has multiple world changing uses apart from being a way of transferring value.

stamen123
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December 07, 2013, 04:43:44 PM
 #10

The blockchain is what gives bitcoin its intrinsic value: just as gold has a lot of uses apart from it being "money", the block chain has multiple world changing uses apart from being a way of transferring value.

I absolutely agree but struggle with something: How do the blockchain's "multiple world changing uses" give value to the bitcoins themselves?
Dr Bloggood (OP)
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December 07, 2013, 06:21:17 PM
 #11

The blockchain is what gives bitcoin its intrinsic value: just as gold has a lot of uses apart from it being "money", the block chain has multiple world changing uses apart from being a way of transferring value.

I absolutely agree but struggle with something: How do the blockchain's "multiple world changing uses" give value to the bitcoins themselves?

Yeah, please elaborate!
Dr Bloggood (OP)
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December 07, 2013, 06:26:34 PM
 #12

This is why people who say "The price has gotten way ahead of itself" are wrong. No, it didn't. It's just that the value decreased with China's announcement. Would the China announcement have been a 100% positive one, we might be going towards 2000$ right now. In the world of investment, reasons are always found after the fact (see oil price, for example).

I agree. A lot of people who comment on bitcoin really need to read up on the fallacy of post hoc ergo propter hoc. Just because B happened after A, that doesn't mean that A caused B.

Yes. It's because they have no fucking clue what caused B, and A just happens to be around. Or maybe they were taught at university that A happens to cause B. Plus the people they are talking to have no clue either (readers of the financial press, etc..). Etc etc...
Rampion
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December 08, 2013, 01:47:21 AM
 #13

The blockchain is what gives bitcoin its intrinsic value: just as gold has a lot of uses apart from it being "money", the block chain has multiple world changing uses apart from being a way of transferring value.

I absolutely agree but struggle with something: How do the blockchain's "multiple world changing uses" give value to the bitcoins themselves?

Without bitcoin and its virality fueled by one of the most powerful incentives - greed - the blockchain couldn't spread so quick as it is doing now - and more important, it wouldn't be so secure and the network wouldn't be so big.

Some times I entertain the idea that Bitcoin is just a Trojan horse which primary purpose is to spread the blockchain and to secure it as much as possible.

Desensitizer
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December 08, 2013, 02:20:04 AM
 #14

I don't think that trust is simply the only factor. To deny regulations by governments, bitcoin adoption and rejection by banks and stores, pump and dump manipulation schemes, and the volatility of concurrency is a little much. It may be true that trust is key but its a bit absurd to deny the relevancy of those other factors on bitcoins value.
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