Alik Bakhshi
About how Erdogan saved Putin from shame
As you know, Putin and Assad were ready for a major offensive on the province of Idlib, controlled by the Syrian opposition. Moreover, according to the report of US intelligence, Assad gave the go-ahead for the use of chemical weapons, in particular chlorine, which has already been successfully tested during the fighting in the suburbs of Damascus. The fact is that gas chlorine is heavier than air and penetrates into the cellars of city buildings, in which militants hide themselves. Moreover, in a short time, chlorine easily escapes, leaving no trace other than corpses. And, if in time on the spot not to conduct its recognition, then to prove the use of chlorine as a chemical weapon is very problematic. In this regard, Trump loudly declared that he would take retaliatory military action in the event of an attack by government troops on Idlib. His decision was supported by London, Paris and even Berlin. As a consequence, the Mediterranean Sea includes an armada of warships, including the aircraft carrier Harry Truman. These forces greatly exceed the Russian fleet, concentrated near the coast of Syria. In these circumstances, to provide allied commitments to Assad, for Russia means one thing - to enter into an open military confrontation with the West. Thus, Putin faced a serious dilemma, either to press his tail and remain an outside observer of Assad's defeat, or again to see the script of the military operation of the Wagnerites under the Euphrates, but only on a much larger scale. In both cases, Putin will not escape shame. But then he is rescued by the cunning Erdogan, who, it seemed, was just waiting for the right moment to offer Putin a deal, from which the latter can not be denied, because otherwise one can lose everything.
I must say that Turkey as well as the US against the attack of the government army on Idlib, but for a completely different reason. The fact is that most of the population of the province of Idlib are Turks, who under the weakened Asad regime, as a result of the civil war, were persecuted by the Kurds. To save the Turkic population from extermination, Erdogan was forced to enter the army in Idlib. And, if the Russians together with the Syrian army attacked Idlib, then a military clash with Turkey was inevitable. By the way, to strengthen the Turkish army in Idlib, already on the eve of negotiations with Putin, Turkey, in anticipation of a military operation, additionally introduces into Idlib heavy military equipment, including 50 tanks. In short, as a result of heavy negotiations lasting more than 4 hours, Putin, in order to avoid a shameful defeat, refuses to attack Idlib and accepts Erdogan's proposal to create a buffer 15 km. zone free of heavy weapons.
Thus, first, Erdogan's plan prevents the open military clash of the American coalition with the Russians in Syria, and second, consolidates Turkey's control of Idlib province, thereby correcting mistakes made by Great Britain and France in the division of the Ottoman Empire at the end of World War I. wars, which arbitrarily draw boundaries, without taking into account the ethnic composition of the population.
In the article "The Multicolored of the Syrian Revolution" (1), I wrote that the collapse of Syria is inevitable, which, in general, actually happens. Putin, in order to preserve his face, in fact, betrayed the ally of Assad, having paid part of the Syrian territory.
1. The multicolored Syrian revolution.
https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/#post-alikbahshi-3783119.09.18
