the real absolute bottom in my opinion has been $6000 without a doubt. and we had every reason and market signal to believe that. not to mention that the real value of bitcoin is at least $3k above that mark around $9k.
this current price is fake and due to unrealistic reasons and pressures from manipulation and that makes it unpredictable. anyone who comes up with a number as the bottom is throwing in the dark at this point.
i don't think so. i think most holders (including myself) just convinced themselves that the $6000 bottom was an accumulation area. i speculated early on that the sideways was just a bearish consolidation before tagging long term, tested supports around $3000. i wish i stuck with that analysis from the start.
either way, i knew this outcome was possible. there's no need find "manipulators" to blame and the price is totally realistic. we haven't even come close reaching the losses of the 2014 bear market, so this is all still familiar territory.