Value bets

[DaNNy001]

With what I have noticed about bookies, they really know how to make the odds perfect to how they will make money from people. Going for small leagues that you do not understand may even lead to more losses than going for big leagues that you understand. People only talk about valued bets, but it is not what it seems in reality.

The bookies are just doing their business they understand the game so well that sometimes they arrange an attractive odd to entice gamblers so that they will be moved to add a particular game to their slip but at the end the outcome of the game will not end well. The idea of going for small league or bush league as some may call it is not even a good choice cause in those leagues lies disappointments and uncertainties since the games can be manipulated.

To some extent I just bet on games or leagues that am familiar with but even with that there is no exception that some of the odds that is being placed are quite the opposite of what they have been set by these bookmakers. But the truth is that these bookmakers are more familiar with the teams and in their performance so they make their best analysis and place and arranged the odds accordingly.

[kotajikikox]

With what I have noticed about bookies, they really know how to make the odds perfect to how they will make money from people. Going for small leagues that you do not understand may even lead to more losses than going for big leagues that you understand. People only talk about valued bets, but it is not what it seems in reality.

The bookies are just doing their business they understand the game so well that sometimes they arrange an attractive odd to entice gamblers so that they will be moved to add a particular game to their slip but at the end the outcome of the game will not end well. The idea of going for small league or bush league as some may call it is not even a good choice cause in those leagues lies disappointments and uncertainties since the games can be manipulated.

To some extent I just bet on games or leagues that am familiar with but even with that there is no exception that some of the odds that is being placed are quite the opposite of what they have been set by these bookmakers. But the truth is that these bookmakers are more familiar with the teams and in their performance so they make their best analysis and place and arranged the odds accordingly.

Well we can always try to learn better than the bookmakers it is possible. They are not completely immune to being wrong. This is where we can come in if we truly understand the sport and how betting works, we can actually take advantage and rake in profits. Do you say you always agree with the odds? Surely sports fans will disagree at least once or twice.

[Orpichukwu]

This is an option for me to bet almost blindly, where if there is enough luck then you win some money, it is not bad, but for me it is a risk, I prefer to bet with what I know, based on my wisdom and not with respect to those numbers that are presented.

The option to bet almost blindly is something that doesn't occur frequently. There are times when we might just be moved to place such a bet, but the majority of the time, as a gambler who wants to enjoy the game and try his skill, going with what you know should be the best thing to do, at least to see if you are good at your prediction or not, if you should improve, or if you should stick to it.

[letteredhub]

Are you aware of the term value bets? Maybe you know what it is but you just do not know that it is called that. Well anyway, value bets are bets where their odds are a lot higher than the true probability. A value bet is when the odds offered by a bookmaker are higher than the actual likelihood of the outcome happening. This allows you to have an edge over the bookmakers. There are a few things you can do to find value bets. First is to get into smaller leagues. When the market is smaller, there are more room for error or mispriced lines. Make your own statistical observations. Do your own analysis by looking into stats and track record. Do not just depend on the bookmaker. Take into consideration also the public bias because bookmakers might depend on them too much. Sometimes bookmakers adjust lines based on where money is going not really based on true probability. With these in mind, you can score a few consistent payouts. It is not just about choosing the winner but taking advantage of the odds presented.

Except as you said that it likely to work often for the favour of the gambler with those smaller unpopular leagues, I don't see this value bet strategy to be what would work in the long.

Anyone can recall the Manchester derby that was played days past. Much bias from football fans were swaying towards Manchester United favour with less regard for Manchester city due to the poor results of city in their last 3 games compared to United. At the end, the odds were high for United who were seen as favourite, but they lost it 3:0. Never trust the bookmakers they know what we don't know.

[boyptc]

I think this happens when a match is on a series. So, there are several games composed for that match.

And whoever wins the first game gets the lower odds by the next game. I have noticed that for many bookies and games that I bet with.

It's worth it to bet on these matches when you know that the team that lost first have the chance to come back and win the 2nd or 3rd or next matches because of the odds quite higher than before.