To have some fun, I generated some extrapolations of the BTC price.
This is a simple mathematical exercise, it is not meant to be "Yet Another BTC Price Model"
To begin with I have done some exponential regressions, starting from 2011, 2013, 2015, 2017 and 2019 to date.
Then using these regressions I made an exponential extrapolation of the prices to 2024/12/31
Obviously plotting exponential lines on a logarithmic graph, these appear linear:
An interesting fact immediately emerges: the regression from 2019 is steeper than that of 2017,
that is, on the average of recent years, the price rises more than the older average;
intuitively I would never have said that, but it seems that recently the price has started to rise again
more aggressively than in the past.
Even taking for granted the "less aggressive" of the regressions, the 2017 (light blue),
see what EXACTLY the same thing looks like plotted in linear graph:
If you want to pay attention to this little exercise, it seems that for 2025 a target of around $ 200,000 is practically mandatory
on the other hand, the S2F target, which predicts around $ 1,000,000, seems to be absolutely overestimated, which would mean continuing the trend
2011 (green).