Counter-intuition vs. intuition.

[Porfirii]

The OP is talking about a post he read some time ago, which doesn't necessarily mean that it was right.

I think that my explanation will be more clear if I talk about trading, and then I come back to gambling:

Imagine that all people think that a stock or coin will appreciate (think in "The big short"), and you act counter-intuitively and go against the tide: the potential is huge. But also the risk. Another example: you buy during a panic sell and wait for the FOMO to sell, it would be counter-intuitive because the instinct is the contrary. But can we assure that is it a safe trade?



Then, going back to gambling or betting: if you bet for the same as most people do, chances are that you'll end up losing, because the house always wins when it comes to large numbers. But does it mean that you'll be successful if you always bet counter-intuitively? I think that the answer, again, is clear.

[Smartprofit]

A few months ago, I came across a post that claimed that the world of risk, that is, stock markets and sports and non-sports betting platforms, is counter-intuitive. This means that you can’t rely on intuition there, but you have to rely on counter-intuition. I must admit, that was the first time I heard the term counter-intuition. This term was first used by Russian trader Alexander Silaev. However, I would like to talk about counter-intuition in relation to sports betting. Do you admit the existence of the term counter-intuition in relation to sports betting? If you ask me what it is, I will answer that it is a set of rules that limits decision-making based on the “unconscious principle”. But intuition is an unconscious principle, in which you cannot clearly tell yourself on what basis you made a bet.

I have not heard the word “counter-intuition” before either. However, I think the term makes sense. Let’s say that intuition really doesn’t work in the stock market and in gambling.

However, we know that most people use their intuition in trading and gambling. We also know that market trends are opposite to what most market participants expect. From this, we can conclude that to be successful in trading and gambling, we need “counter-intuition”.

We must formulate and identify the decisions we would make if we relied on our intuition. And then we must make the exact opposite decisions. That’s what it means to use “counter-intuition”!

[rachael9385]

A few months ago, I came across a post that claimed that the world of risk, that is, stock markets and sports and non-sports betting platforms, is counter-intuitive. This means that you can’t rely on intuition there, but you have to rely on counter-intuition. I must admit, that was the first time I heard the term counter-intuition. This term was first used by Russian trader Alexander Silaev. However, I would like to talk about counter-intuition in relation to sports betting. Do you admit the existence of the term counter-intuition in relation to sports betting? If you ask me what it is, I will answer that it is a set of rules that limits decision-making based on the “unconscious principle”. But intuition is an unconscious principle, in which you cannot clearly tell yourself on what basis you made a bet.

So counter intuition according to how it's been expressed and the way I understand it is not taking the obvious options. For example if you are fully confident that a team is going to win the other due to formation and other informations provided you then decide to go with something random or opposite. This works sometimes for me, I didn't really know that it's called counter intuition though.

[YOSHIE]

But intuition is an unconscious principle, in which you cannot clearly tell yourself on what basis you made a bet.

Although I often do sports betting, honest vocabulary or contra-intuitive understanding this time I hear that counter-intuitive applies in sports gambling.

Even though I tried to find about: What are some counter intuitive hacks for sports betting?, Unfortunately I still don't understand how counter-intuitive work in sports gambling.

It seems that I have to need a few days to digest how the counter-intuitive system applies in sports betting, Looks like I have to study in detail. In order not to be wrong to use counter-intuitive in sports betting.

[DaNNy001]

Every experienced gambler and bettor does this once in a while, sometimes you just have to take the unexpected option, the bookmakers always arrange the odds and options to excite you, they know what you'd pick easily because it's all a mind game...most times you win more when you go with counter intuition, just like what they say" when it's too obvious it might be a trap," but don't expect this to work everytime

[swogerino]

In sports betting personally I have to the conclusion that there is nothing intuitive or counter intuitive about it, surprise results will happen always and I have already told here the story of Boston Celtics reigning Champions of NBA losing their home game with an odd of 1.04 against the last place in the standings there. So how should I call it, intuitive or counter intuitive, I believe none as no one had bet on the last team on the standings, making everyone lose a lot of money which consequently made bookies a huge amount of money during that day. Based on this my advice is to read a lot, to follow the games of the teams you want to bet as much as possible, if you have time and opportunity also watch on TV, this will give you a clear better understanding before you go and bet, yet this does not guarantee you to be in profit.

[robelneo]

If you ask me what it is, I will answer that it is a set of rules that limits decision-making based on the “unconscious principle”. But intuition is an unconscious principle, in which you cannot clearly tell yourself on what basis you made a bet.

It's something new to many of us. Based on the information I gathered online, it's something so obvious but not easily understood.

If something is counterintuitive it means it's the opposite of "intuitive" — in other words it's not easily understood in an instinctive, unconscious way. A red light for "go" and a green light for "stop" would be highly counterintuitive, for example.

counterintuitive

Now I have a term to use whenever I'm betting on a boxer based on the obvious: when dwelling on analysis, both fighters have an equal chance of winning. This term has not come out in any sports I'm in, but it's worth using and exploring.

[Slow death]

I prefer to trust my analysis based on the data I can find, I don't see myself making sports bets based on intuition, I also don't see how the term counterintuitive could be useful in sports betting, from what I've seen, this term would be more appropriate to use in the lottery where sometimes people dream that they bought a lottery ticket at place X and won, so the next day they follow their intuition and go to place X to buy the lottery ticket with the hope that they will win. This doesn't make sense to me, but each person believes what they want.

[Julien_Olynpic]

Counter-intuition is simply a set of rules or a system of rules, if you like. And this is what directly opposes intuition, which is not based on rules. Intuition is based on guesswork, the subconscious, some spontaneous decisions, in general, on subconscious or not quite conscious things. Intuition lies below consciousness, at least below clear consciousness. And rules are the consequences of clear consciousness and critical thinking, which soberly assess the surrounding reality. Why do people in gambling and trading not always adhere to clear rules? Because they think that everyone can follow the rules and that there are no advantages in this. And profit in competitive games is obtained by exploiting advantages.

[traderethereum]

I don't know much about counter-intuition in sports betting but I guess that is exist on there. If some people already talk about that is exist so that is exist and maybe we are not realize yet. But sometime, when you want to place a bet, you feel like you hear a voice in yourself tell to place in team A while you have your analysis which telling you to place in team B.

But because you hear that voice, you follow the voice and place your bet for team A. Suddenly, your bet win and you cannot believe if that is happen because you only follow your intuition. But it is not easy to differences if the intuition is real or fake because sometime that is our greedy telling us to follow the voice.

[Zadicar]

A few months ago, I came across a post that claimed that the world of risk, that is, stock markets and sports and non-sports betting platforms, is counter-intuitive. This means that you can’t rely on intuition there, but you have to rely on counter-intuition. I must admit, that was the first time I heard the term counter-intuition. This term was first used by Russian trader Alexander Silaev. However, I would like to talk about counter-intuition in relation to sports betting. Do you admit the existence of the term counter-intuition in relation to sports betting? If you ask me what it is, I will answer that it is a set of rules that limits decision-making based on the “unconscious principle”. But intuition is an unconscious principle, in which you cannot clearly tell yourself on what basis you made a bet.

I have not heard the word “counter-intuition” before either. However, I think the term makes sense. Let’s say that intuition really doesn’t work in the stock market and in gambling.

However, we know that most people use their intuition in trading and gambling. We also know that market trends are opposite to what most market participants expect. From this, we can conclude that to be successful in trading and gambling, we need “counter-intuition”.

We must formulate and identify the decisions we would make if we relied on our intuition. And then we must make the exact opposite decisions. That’s what it means to use “counter-intuition”!

If your intuition calls doesnt give out any good results or positive outcome then this is where you would be applying out that counter-intuition on which its just that already that reflects out into your mind because you do already have the experience about it because there are indeed times or moments that those intuition calls do really kicks in. When you are at the time that you've been that seeing your inner voices or intuition calls giving out that positive then you would be considering on making use of it. It all depends on the situation because not all will be that having that positive result or outcomes when it comes into this aspect. Some might having that main consideration but most of the time we arent that following on what our inner guts do tell us. It will be that situational into this aspect and thats why its important that you do know to distinguish the situation basing up on what you are that needing into. There are those times or moments that having that experimental approach and this will be situational on which one you would be choosing up.

[Smartprofit]

A few months ago, I came across a post that claimed that the world of risk, that is, stock markets and sports and non-sports betting platforms, is counter-intuitive. This means that you can’t rely on intuition there, but you have to rely on counter-intuition. I must admit, that was the first time I heard the term counter-intuition. This term was first used by Russian trader Alexander Silaev. However, I would like to talk about counter-intuition in relation to sports betting. Do you admit the existence of the term counter-intuition in relation to sports betting? If you ask me what it is, I will answer that it is a set of rules that limits decision-making based on the “unconscious principle”. But intuition is an unconscious principle, in which you cannot clearly tell yourself on what basis you made a bet.

I have not heard the word “counter-intuition” before either. However, I think the term makes sense. Let’s say that intuition really doesn’t work in the stock market and in gambling.

However, we know that most people use their intuition in trading and gambling. We also know that market trends are opposite to what most market participants expect. From this, we can conclude that to be successful in trading and gambling, we need “counter-intuition”.

We must formulate and identify the decisions we would make if we relied on our intuition. And then we must make the exact opposite decisions. That’s what it means to use “counter-intuition”!

If your intuition calls doesnt give out any good results or positive outcome then this is where you would be applying out that counter-intuition on which its just that already that reflects out into your mind because you do already have the experience about it because there are indeed times or moments that those intuition calls do really kicks in. When you are at the time that you've been that seeing your inner voices or intuition calls giving out that positive then you would be considering on making use of it. It all depends on the situation because not all will be that having that positive result or outcomes when it comes into this aspect. Some might having that main consideration but most of the time we arent that following on what our inner guts do tell us. It will be that situational into this aspect and thats why its important that you do know to distinguish the situation basing up on what you are that needing into. There are those times or moments that having that experimental approach and this will be situational on which one you would be choosing up.

To make a profit or win at gambling, a player needs a competitive advantage. In my opinion, such a competitive advantage can be an understanding of the inner psychological motivations of other people (players).

People are very often subject to cognitive distortions. They act illogically, relying on what they call "intuition" (but in fact, this is just their invention, with which they fill the gaps of their ignorance).

Also, many people rely in their reasoning not on the scientific method, but on magical thinking (which most often leads them to incorrect conclusions and inferences).

Knowing how most people make decisions, you can get a competitive advantage in gambling. This, in my opinion, is called "counter-intuition".

[Japinat]

In sports betting, this is what some people might call “betting against yourself.”

We do all the analysis and convince ourselves that one team will win, but instead of betting on them, we end up betting on the other side. Honestly, it kind of makes sense, because let’s face it, most sports bettors aren’t really profitable in the long run. If most of our picks are wrong, maybe betting the opposite is the way to go.

Personally, I could try this approach, but it would take the fun out of sports betting for me. It’s like you’re sacrificing your own enjoyment just to try to beat the odds.

[Wapfika]

In sports betting, this is what some people might call “betting against yourself.”

We do all the analysis and convince ourselves that one team will win, but instead of betting on them, we end up betting on the other side. Honestly, it kind of makes sense, because let’s face it, most sports bettors aren’t really profitable in the long run. If most of our picks are wrong, maybe betting the opposite is the way to go.

Personally, I could try this approach, but it would take the fun out of sports betting for me. It’s like you’re sacrificing your own enjoyment just to try to beat the odds.

This is correct analysis but I don’t get the point on doing it unless you are losing the majority of your bets or else you are just wasting time and money on your bets.

We are betting to become entertained by means of analysis on sports and proving that we are right. Betting against our findings will defeat the purpose on why we are gambling on analysis type game.

This is only good if you have the worst luck in sports betting.

[uneng]

In sports betting, this is what some people might call “betting against yourself.”

We do all the analysis and convince ourselves that one team will win, but instead of betting on them, we end up betting on the other side. Honestly, it kind of makes sense, because let’s face it, most sports bettors aren’t really profitable in the long run. If most of our picks are wrong, maybe betting the opposite is the way to go.

Personally, I could try this approach, but it would take the fun out of sports betting for me. It’s like you’re sacrificing your own enjoyment just to try to beat the odds.

So it means to place bets on the underdogs is counter intuitive. You go against common sense and the most likely predictions, because you see potential where most people don't. It can be a genius play, or a foolish plan... Usually, counter intuitive movements are related to excentric individuals who end standing out among the crowds exactly due to their counter intuitive lifestyle. If they manage to keep it functional, I don't see any problems.

The issue is when the individual starts prejudicing himself because he is constantly deciding to go against common sense. Some things are obvious, so it's not a smart idea to be counter intuitive about them, as this decision will inevitably bring negative outcomes on long run.

[Agbamoni]

Every experienced gambler and bettor does this once in a while, sometimes you just have to take the unexpected option, the bookmakers always arrange the odds and options to excite you, they know what you'd pick easily because it's all a mind game...most times you win more when you go with counter intuition, just like what they say" when it's too obvious it might be a trap," but don't expect this to work everytime

Just like you said "sometimes", not all times. The bookmakers are smart and would want to stay ahead of the game by playing around with odds and hype that would fuck with our thinking. And yeah, going against your gut or public opinion can pay off if not now but later. But that kind of play is not something we rely on always. The truth is we should learn to understand that occasional wins from counter intuition don't make it predictable. So why we take some certain risk we don't need to mistake it for a strategy that beats the house in the long run.

[Zadicar]

A few months ago, I came across a post that claimed that the world of risk, that is, stock markets and sports and non-sports betting platforms, is counter-intuitive. This means that you can’t rely on intuition there, but you have to rely on counter-intuition. I must admit, that was the first time I heard the term counter-intuition. This term was first used by Russian trader Alexander Silaev. However, I would like to talk about counter-intuition in relation to sports betting. Do you admit the existence of the term counter-intuition in relation to sports betting? If you ask me what it is, I will answer that it is a set of rules that limits decision-making based on the “unconscious principle”. But intuition is an unconscious principle, in which you cannot clearly tell yourself on what basis you made a bet.

I have not heard the word “counter-intuition” before either. However, I think the term makes sense. Let’s say that intuition really doesn’t work in the stock market and in gambling.

However, we know that most people use their intuition in trading and gambling. We also know that market trends are opposite to what most market participants expect. From this, we can conclude that to be successful in trading and gambling, we need “counter-intuition”.

We must formulate and identify the decisions we would make if we relied on our intuition. And then we must make the exact opposite decisions. That’s what it means to use “counter-intuition”!

If your intuition calls doesnt give out any good results or positive outcome then this is where you would be applying out that counter-intuition on which its just that already that reflects out into your mind because you do already have the experience about it because there are indeed times or moments that those intuition calls do really kicks in. When you are at the time that you've been that seeing your inner voices or intuition calls giving out that positive then you would be considering on making use of it. It all depends on the situation because not all will be that having that positive result or outcomes when it comes into this aspect. Some might having that main consideration but most of the time we arent that following on what our inner guts do tell us. It will be that situational into this aspect and thats why its important that you do know to distinguish the situation basing up on what you are that needing into. There are those times or moments that having that experimental approach and this will be situational on which one you would be choosing up.

To make a profit or win at gambling, a player needs a competitive advantage. In my opinion, such a competitive advantage can be an understanding of the inner psychological motivations of other people (players).

People are very often subject to cognitive distortions. They act illogically, relying on what they call "intuition" (but in fact, this is just their invention, with which they fill the gaps of their ignorance).

Also, many people rely in their reasoning not on the scientific method, but on magical thinking (which most often leads them to incorrect conclusions and inferences).

Knowing how most people make decisions, you can get a competitive advantage in gambling. This, in my opinion, is called "counter-intuition".

I think that intuition and counter-intuition are two extremes, with the true balance lying somewhere in between. Real success comes to those who combine sound judgment with mental flexibility and adaptability to changing circumstances. It is important not to rely blindly on just one feeling, but to use intuition as a guide, supported by analysis and experience. Only such harmony allows for making well-considered decisions in unstable and unpredictable situations.

And everything will be basing up in accordance into your experience on which this is the most important to consider on which it will be that too impossible that you cant be able to determine on which one will fit out your style and preference and of course it will be common sense that you do stick into those things on which you do seem that it do give or bring out profits. So you will be sticking into that and you are the ones will be making out such assessment in between whether you do follow up with those intuition calls or you would be going opposite or simply that just rejecting out the idea specially if it do kicks out whenever you do make out some bets. Same as mentioned that there are those times or moments that you will be having those kind of calls into your mind on which you are torn whether you would be following or not.

[Fivestar4everMVP]

A few months ago, I came across a post that claimed that the world of risk, that is, stock markets and sports and non-sports betting platforms, is counter-intuitive. This means that you can’t rely on intuition there, but you have to rely on counter-intuition. I must admit, that was the first time I heard the term counter-intuition. This term was first used by Russian trader Alexander Silaev. However, I would like to talk about counter-intuition in relation to sports betting. Do you admit the existence of the term counter-intuition in relation to sports betting? If you ask me what it is, I will answer that it is a set of rules that limits decision-making based on the “unconscious principle”. But intuition is an unconscious principle, in which you cannot clearly tell yourself on what basis you made a bet.

For me, counter-intuition is better explained or defined as the reserve side of intuition itself, and whether this exist in sports betting is positive for me, though it depends on one's style of betting..

I understand counter-intuition in sports betting to mean betting against your own intuition, that is, your mind tells you to bet on this club, but for some reason(s), you deliberately choose the bet on the opposing site, for example, let's say Manchester united and Chelsea are playing a match, your mind tells you to bet on Chelsea, but you deliberately decided to bet on Manchester united instead, this could be because in previous times, you always lost your bet whenever you follow what your mind tells you to do, so this time, you decide to do the counter-part of what your mind told you to do, just to see if you would win, and sometimes, it does work though.

[stompix]

Does that mean we should just go with the underdogs?

It means going with the other option that your common sense would normally tell you.
Barcelona vs Getafe?
Common sense would dictate that you go with Barcelona, so normally counter-intuition would lead to a bet on Getafe. But if you analyze the game and you think Barcelona won’t play that good, they don’t need the points as they are champions for example, or they have 5 benched players, then it's the opposite — your counter-intuition is to bet on Barcelona.

To be honest, it's some Schrödinger-esque mind twister that makes little sense outside the philosophical discussion.

In sports betting, this is what some people might call “betting against yourself.”
We do all the analysis and convince ourselves that one team will win, but instead of betting on them, we end up betting on the other side.

How can you ensure that when using this tactic, you don't follow a biased analysis so that you can bet on the other team?
The human brain is not meant to make irrational decisions, if it knows a target or end goal, it can't think completely the opposite, the brain will still work to give you the result you want, just how it does when you decide to lie, that's why the whole thing is just hiding the truth behind fancy words.

[mak013]

A few months ago, I came across a post that claimed that the world of risk, that is, stock markets and sports and non-sports betting platforms, is counter-intuitive. This means that you can’t rely on intuition there, but you have to rely on counter-intuition. I must admit, that was the first time I heard the term counter-intuition. This term was first used by Russian trader Alexander Silaev. However, I would like to talk about counter-intuition in relation to sports betting. Do you admit the existence of the term counter-intuition in relation to sports betting? If you ask me what it is, I will answer that it is a set of rules that limits decision-making based on the “unconscious principle”. But intuition is an unconscious principle, in which you cannot clearly tell yourself on what basis you made a bet.

I don`t believe in intuition mostly. The only situation when i think that intuition is possible - when it is experienced gambler and it looks like automatic analyze, when he understand that his analyze has a mistake, but he still don`t see it.
Counter-intuition looks much more useful for common gambler. When lots of people believe in luck, it is very useful to stop yourself before silly "luck" decision. You need to believe in analyze, and follow your strategy rules and don`t change your mind.
PS. For me it was difficult enough on the start to stop myself, especially after wins - i wanted to increase bet, to make bet on unanalyzed match. I don`t have statistics, but i think that with intuition i would lost big enough part of profit.