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Author Topic: Which are you more attracted to: -10 (favorite) or +10 (underdog)?  (Read 187 times)
Porfirii
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June 10, 2024, 12:49:46 PM
 #21

-snip- Maybe good odds justify it, but I think it is very difficult to guess.
-snip- Let me ask you a question. When you compare the handicap in basket ball to football, did you consider their odds together? You need to use that also for the comparison and not just the chance to using it to win a bet or not. The chance can be higher but comes with lower odds.
It's probably just his own opinion,  actually it's hard to score 2 points in football than 10 points in basketball as there are teams who can easily score 10 points in just 2 minutes, but that 2 goals in football, I don't kow how many minutes it will take before a team scores, especially if both teams are good in playing defense. However, at the end of the day, we are still gambling, so we have our own opinion or analyis, and if that's what we believe, we should stick with it especially if we are profitable with it.

Yes, yes, I agree that odds are there to balance the outcomes, that's why I added that they can justify whatever bet. It's just that I compared +-10 points in basketball vs. +- 2 goals in football, but in the end we all are saying the same Smiley

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June 10, 2024, 01:49:06 PM
 #22

I just want to know which one you'll pick if you have to judge quickly. This is a point spread in any game, like a basketball game to be specific. You see the betting line, and therefore you have to choose between the two. Please tell me what the basis of your pick is. Those who are active in sports betting have surely seen a lot of betting lines like this, so your first reaction seeing it, which side are you attracted to?

As I understand it, this question is not only about basketball? I prefer betting on the favorite because the favorite wins a significant part of the games with a margin (large score), so the handicap maximizes profit. I believe that you need to take increased risk in order to get increased profit, so when I bet on an outsider (this also happens) I never take a positive handicap.
By the way, here is my successful bet on a favorite with a negative handicap:


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June 13, 2024, 06:24:23 PM
 #23

Not all the time the underdog loses the game but less chance of winning which makes a better choice for the favorite team.
If they don't lose often, then that means they are winning often, and that makes them a better choice in the game. It's just that there are times that they will get dumped by their opponents.

Usually, we take a look at their ratings and overall season performance and those teams we see that have higher ratings versus their opponents also have higher chances of winning.
This is true and we do this before betting. Maybe some will stick on these principles no matter what and there might be some who will pick the opposing team if the odds change.

Just having a quick glance, we know already where we put our bets.  Sports is certainly not about luck but it is the skills and team participation, a way for them to win the game and their stats show who they are as a team and how they compete with others.
You just said that sports are about skills and not luck, so therefore a quick glance may not be enough to judge if who can possibly win but it needs a deep analyzation and research first. Teams doesn't know us, so it's impossible for them to participate with us and make us win at all times.

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June 13, 2024, 06:58:56 PM
Last edit: June 13, 2024, 07:10:41 PM by Lanatsa
 #24

I just want to know which one you'll pick if you have to judge quickly. This is a point spread in any game, like a basketball game to be specific. You see the betting line, and therefore you have to choose between the two. Please tell me what the basis of your pick is. Those who are active in sports betting have surely seen a lot of betting lines like this, so your first reaction seeing it, which side are you attracted to?

You can see some of the statistics here/

https://www.teamrankings.com/nba/trends/ats_trends/?sc=is_fav
Totally depends but most of the time i would really be that interested on betting on favorites with having that 1.5x odds on which everything which is lower with those numbers then i would simply skip out.  Cool

When it comes on choosing then it would really be that just depending on several factors on which it would really be just that depending into those things and on how you do assess it.
This is why each bettor would really be having that different considerations on choosing on which team or player they would really be betting into.
Honestly, odds would really be that tempting specially if its on underdog but you wont really be just carelessly be that getting hooked with those odds without having
other considerations. So it would really be just that depending into those factors on which bettors would really be tending to deal into.

R


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June 13, 2024, 08:02:26 PM
 #25

you have to play without taking into account the odds. today I managed to get a result with and odd of @46 (!) i place this bet not because "it was high valute" but because I thought that this result could actually be achieved.
Another approach is to play a bet if it seems too undervalued...I remember years ago there was a topic on this topic.

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June 13, 2024, 09:43:36 PM
 #26

I usually pick +10 if both has close stats or the underdog team has a previous record of beating a stronger teams on that same season.
Yes, betting against the public should be done rationally and backed up with evidence. Just like you, I wouldn't bet on the underdog because most people are betting on favorites to win and I just want to go against them even when the data I have about the teams says otherwise. An underdog shouldn't just be any "low" performing team but should be one that has potentials , I call it the sparks of greatness.

This is why every match is different as each team has their own history to refer to and may show different performance in the actual game. In case of choosing which odds is best to choose, it depends on how familiar you are with the teams. Of course, it would be easy to pick the odds if you are well-informed of the stats of each team.

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June 13, 2024, 10:28:23 PM
 #27

you have to play without taking into account the odds. today I managed to get a result with and odd of @46 (!) i place this bet not because "it was high valute" but because I thought that this result could actually be achieved.
Another approach is to play a bet if it seems too undervalued...I remember years ago there was a topic on this topic.
I agree.

It's about what are the odds or advantages but as long as you can calculate the risk and it's very achievable you go for it. You gamble not just you're gambling.

But you gamble because you want to win too. That's how it is going to be when you gamble because we're not just wagering for that sake of wagering but we want something out of it.

There are a lot of considerations to be done when we're attracted to these odds but as we bet, it's not just all about it.

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