Will Biden make his stupidest mistake? Will Cyprus burn? Was Hodhod msg enough?

[pooya87]

TL;DR:
Zionist terrorists are talking about their plan to invade Lebanon. An invasion they can only pull off using US military. That would turn US assets into legitimate targets and the Armed Forces of Lebanon (and the resistance in other countries) will retaliate against these targets in defense. This will include bases in Cyprus used by the Israeli terrorists that also house British and American troops.
This is not a war NATO can win. The only result of it would be China invading Taiwan and Russia taking over entire Ukraine as US naval units keep sinking every day for a war Zionist terrorists started...

Once again the world is on the brink of a widespread conflict that only depends on the level of stupidity of the decision makers in the West.

In case you missed it, recently the terrorist organization Israel has been boasting about its plans to invade Lebanon, while Biden is sending signals about participating in that invasion. The Zionist-American, Amos Hochstein who is also a former Israeli terrorist was sent to Lebanon to relay that message.
So lets see how that war is going to be like and why it is stupidity to even start it...

It all started when the Zionist regime decided to intensify the genocide in Palestine, specifically in Gaza, back in October last year. The moment the Israeli terrorists entered Gaza, Hezbollah started attacking from the north. The more unarmed civilians the Zionists murdered the more Lebanese resistance escalated. To this day that has forced 300k occupiers to leave Northern Occupied Palestine and the only way that this situation is resolved is if Israel stops the genocide in Gaza.
But of course this terrorist organization is not planning on stopping that genocide. Hence their plan for invasion of Lebanon, trying to solve it some other way...

Lebanon is not Gaza which is an open air prison surrounded on all sides (The NATO-Zionist coalition is already defeated in Gaza, despite the number of civilians they have murdered they haven't achieved anything). Lebanon has many direct logistical lines of support. Armed Forces of Lebanon the Hezbollah branch is massive. At least 250,000 elite forces have been armed, trained and ready to defend the Lebanese security and sovereignty. In comparison Israel only has 170,000 armed terrorists and according to most recent stats 70,000 of these terrorists have been crippled so far while committing genocide in Gaza, more of them have been eliminated and many have fled going back to their homes in Europe, US, Russia and elsewhere.

If war breaks out, Israel as a terrorist organization would do the same thing they've been doing in Gaza, use US made bombers to kill unarmed civilians and by murdering children they'll try to create a chaos inside Lebanon to turn civilians against their own military. However, attacking civilians would only achieve one thing: it will turn every single target inside occupied Palestine into a legitimate target.
Lebanon may not have the sophisticated layered air-defense to counter the US made bombers but they pack a heavy counter attack punch. They currently own an estimated number above a million missiles and other projectiles capable of launching 3000 every week. That means wiping out one city per day in retaliation.
That's just Lebanon. There is at least 2,000,000 forces armed and trained in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, etc. over the past 9 months ready for that "final war" against this cancerous cell in West Asia. That's not even counting Iran that would match all these forces and more, as we saw 1% of that strength during the Operation True Promise back in April that demolished multiple Israeli bases from 1500+ kilometers away in a matter of 10 minutes.

This is exactly why this terrorist organization is trying to pull US military in and Biden is apparently making that stupid mistake by agreeing to it.
The problem here is that the Resistance in Lebanon has more than enough capability to counter the US threat as well. That means US Navy that will start being targeted with countless ASBMs and ASMs every day sinking one after the other.

The third legitimate target will be the EU member Cyprus. An island about 200 km away from Lebanon that has been used by Israeli terrorists as a base of operation (eg. simulating invasion of Lebanon in 2017 inside Cyprus, Chariots of Fire op. back in 2022, Blue Sun op. back in 2023, and transferring assets to Cyprus during Operation True Promise in 2024).
Even though Cyprus is not a NATO member but some of those bases belong to NATO specifically housing UK and US forces. So you see how that situation would escalate rapidly. Before we know it, NATO could be pulled in and missiles could be landing in Pairs, London, etc. as a response to that aggression; all because the Zionist terrorists didn't want to stop the genocide in Gaza!!!

Last but not least the other big consequence of this possible invasion and escalation would be seen elsewhere as NATO capabilities will be pulled into and destroyed in Mediterranean sea, Red Sea, Arabian Sea, Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, Arabia, ... and as NATO invades West Asia, China would start invasion of Taiwan and Russia would invade the rest of Ukraine and they may not even stop there as NATO would continue getting weaker elsewhere.


This is not a war anybody wants. It's costly and it would lead to destruction of multiple countries on both sides that includes USA as US mainland would be targeted if we get there on the escalation ladder. I don't even think Biden wants that war, it's just that as I've said before United States is infested by the Zionists who are controlling the decision makers behind the scene, pulling their strings for their own benefit not for the benefit of America and the American people.

The only silver lining I see that decreases the chances of this war breaking out is the strong signals that are being sent to Washington trying to beat it into their heads about what's in store if they make that mistake.
Two most important and most recent ones in my opinion are:
(1) Attacks in the Red Sea
The war against the Coalition of Terror has entered a new phase. Multiple ships have been sunk recently and the US Navy is being targeted directly as well, like the aircraft carrier USS Eisenhower that was damaged this week enough to not escalate more than needed but at the same time enough to incapacitate it forcing it to distance itself by 700 kilometers going to the Saudi port for repairs.

(2) The Hodhod footage
One of the requirements of what I explained above is reconnaissance. The recent 4k footage shot using the Iranian made tactical UAV called Hodhod (means hoopoe in Farsi, it's a bird) showed the upper hand in reconnaissance operations using drones that can not even be detected by NATO forces despite flying for more than 9 hours above countless strategic military bases deep inside Occupied Palestine. The "upper hand" becomes more palpable when considering each time Israel has used its $20 million tactical UAV Hermes 900 or its predecessor Hermes 450, they have been easily shot down by Lebanese resistance (footage of shooting at least 5 of them exists).
You can see part of that footage here https://www.aparat.com/v/bln6o77 showing the Zionist Sa'ar 4.5-class missile boat and Sa'ar 5 corvettes in the military port in occupied Haifa. Targets that would sink on the first day.

Was that enough to discourage stupidity? Was the message received?
I can only hope so...

[Yucky]

War is easy to start and most times, it's while the war has escalated into something big that regrets become the fate of both the parties involved and those who are suffering from it either directly or indirectly. If the Israeli soldiers were left on their own to face Gaza without the support of weapons and armed forces from the US and other big bodies that lay underground and kept putting fire for the bombardment of Gaza to continue, we wouldn't have gone to this critical stage where it almost appears as though we are sitting on a time bomb that's set to explode should there be any form of miscalculated attack of any sort.

You did a fine review on how mixed things have become and the high possibility of a wide escalation playing out that will affect far and wide including all parties that are letting their ego direct them on what to do even when innocent people continue being killed every day. It's gone past the stage where anyone will assume that Israel is just carrying out a retaliation, humanity is at a high risk of going extinct should these leaders make some stupid decisions that will cause a serious escalation and bombardment of regions that are at peace now.

Humanity should always prevail above ego or whatever political sovereignty anyone will want to Express. Biden and all those who can put an end to this madness should know better.

[Hispo]

If The state of Israel continues to seek for escalation of the conflict to the point their start to attack Lebanon, that is because they have or believe to have full and unconditional support from the United States. I doubt Netanyahu would dare to further endanger the troops of the country and the citizens serving in their forced military draw.
There is the possibility Netanyahu believes they have enough of what it would take from him to take down both Hamas and The militia of Hezbollah, which I doubt.
They are barely advancing in their military objective, in the end, Those Islamic group operate in such way it is very hard to eradicate completely, frontal attacks won't work as well as they were standard military forces.
I am starting to believe indeed Biden does not have what it takes to keep their "ally" under control and avoiding a widespread turmoil in the middle east. One must wonder whether Chine would actually take advantage of such turmoil and try to take over Taiwan, though...

[pooya87]

The War Within War and Some Silver Linings

Wars are costly, specially these days and the US regime knows this better than others. That is why they have the Nixon Doctrine which has basically been turned into using proxies to fight others. One of their favorite proxies to use, specially in West Asia is Takfiri groups. Two of them you already know of are ISIS and Al-Qaeda.
Over the past years the US regime has been actively using these groups in the world for destabilization, etc. This is exactly why these same terrorists are now found in occupied Palestine fighting for Israel against the resistance in Gaza including Hamas.

Now; the intelligence suggests that the Zio-US coalition was planning on using these terrorist groups as a serious distraction while they conduct their attacks from the air. There has been a lot of movements in Syria (the border with Lebanon) and elsewhere over the past weeks as well. The tens of thousands of terrorists that are armed and trained in covert bases like Al-Tanf cover the shortage of troops the coalition suffers from as I pointed to in the OP.

The "silver lining" is that this plan was known and over the past days the attacks on terrorist positions are increasing. That is like the preemtive strike choking the proxy before it can become a threat.
The illegal US base Al-Tanf that is under occupation has also been under attack. This is the same base that US regime has been using to train these terrorists and if the name sounds familiar that's because months ago Biden suddenly decided to respond to one out of hundreds of attacks on dozens of US bases. That one attack was on this covert base that eliminated the 3 US officers who have been training ISIS terrorists and others.

The other silver lining is that it seems like the damage that USS Eisenhower sustained was sever enough that forced US Navy to send it back home and be forced to pull one carrier out from the 7th fleet in the Pacific and bring it to West Asia (USS Theodore Roosevelt).

That last one is the biggest message that could be sent to Washington that was delivered beautifully by the Armed Forces of Yemen in the Red Sea.
The good news is that it seems like Biden has received that message too since highest US military official, the Chairman of Joint Chief of Staff Gen Charles Q. Brown Jr. announced today that US is unable to assist the Zionists against the Lebanon military forces called Hezbollah.

But nothing is for sure yet, we still have to wait and see what will happen but I'd say the chances came down with the recent events. We'll know more in a day or two as the carriers reach their destination...