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Author Topic: What will be the policy after the mining difficulty is lowered?  (Read 157 times)
btc-1024mining (OP)
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May 09, 2024, 02:29:28 PM
 #1

According to BTc.ccom data, the height of btc's mining difficulty block is 842,688
The original mining difficulty was 88.4012T and is now 83.15T
From this data, we can see that the difficulty has decreased by 5.63%
According to the December 2022 analysis is by far the largest adjustment

At present, the average computing power of the whole network is 575.78EH/s

This can not help but let us think about the recent ETF listing as a digital gold BTC price maintained at 60,000USD for a long time, which has to remind us of recent hot events

As miners, it is easier for us to dig after the difficulty is lowered, but we have to wonder what policy will emerge next?
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May 09, 2024, 05:55:10 PM
Merited by mikeywith (4), philipma1957 (1), ABCbits (1)
 #2

What exactly do you mean about policy emerge?

I don't think you can see some changes when mining difficulty and hashrate drop so if whatever policy you talking to it should be the same as before the only difference is the block reward was drop by 3.125 BTC.

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May 09, 2024, 06:08:45 PM
Merited by ABCbits (2)
 #3

As miners, it is easier for us to dig after the difficulty is lowered,

Why, you got better shovels?  Grin

but we have to wonder what policy will emerge next?

None as there is no "policy" whatsoever, difficulty has dropped tens of times in the past there was no "policy' neither enacted nor changed.

At present, the average computing power of the whole network is 575.78EH/s

That's an approximation, and not a really accurate one, nobody knows what the actual hashrate is, there's no real counter anywhere, it might be off by 5% and nobody would be surprised by it, also, that number is based on the average on the last 2016 blocks, if you look at it from daily perspective it's down to 490Exa, and again this depending on which time you are cause Monday on Pacific time might have seen 156 blocks while Monday on New Delhi time 147.


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May 09, 2024, 06:15:36 PM
Merited by mikeywith (4), ABCbits (3), philipma1957 (1)
 #4

Policy? What 'policy'?

Nothing changes. Period. Mining continues as it always has. BTC mining has always been a self-regulating system that aims to keep finding blocks ~every 10 minutes so when diff is too high (or miners shut down due to price) causing blocks to be found too slowly the diff then drops to bring us back on target. Conversely, if blocks are found too quickly because diff is too low (or more miners come on line) diff then goes up.

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philipma1957
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May 15, 2024, 12:23:00 PM
 #5

Well he is a newbie.

We have had a 50% hashrate drop back in 2021 when BTC was whaling and China kicked the miners out.

That killed of the April 2021 prices of 60k plus.

Quote
https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   843559  (12 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   99.9052%  (872 / 872.83 expected, 0.83 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   88104191118793.16                           
Current Difficulty:   83148355189239.77                           
Next Difficulty:   between 83133345743319 and 83138178361635
Next Difficulty Change:   between -0.0181% and -0.0122%
Previous Retarget:   last Thursday at 6:53 AM  (-5.6250%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   May 23, 2024 at 7:06 AM  (in 7d 22h 44m 41s)
Next Retarget (latest):   May 23, 2024 at 7:12 AM  (in 7d 22h 50m 51s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 0h 12m 58s and 14d 0h 19m 7s


we are on track to drop again

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Chibit01
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May 15, 2024, 05:13:12 PM
 #6

Well he is a newbie.

We have had a 50% hashrate drop back in 2021 when BTC was whaling and China kicked the miners out.

That killed of the April 2021 prices of 60k plus.

Quote
https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   843559  (12 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   99.9052%  (872 / 872.83 expected, 0.83 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   88104191118793.16                           
Current Difficulty:   83148355189239.77                           
Next Difficulty:   between 83133345743319 and 83138178361635
Next Difficulty Change:   between -0.0181% and -0.0122%
Previous Retarget:   last Thursday at 6:53 AM  (-5.6250%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   May 23, 2024 at 7:06 AM  (in 7d 22h 44m 41s)
Next Retarget (latest):   May 23, 2024 at 7:12 AM  (in 7d 22h 50m 51s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 0h 12m 58s and 14d 0h 19m 7s


we are on track to drop again
Mining difficulty will most likely increase but so will mining technology. Moores Law comes into play on both sides of the equation in that as difficulty increases so will mining efficency. Many mining chip manufactures are addressing the issue. While it is no longer profitable to mine bitcoin on your laptop, one can mine alt-coins effectively and convert to bitcoin.

Market forces and competition always seem to sort these issues out.
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May 15, 2024, 11:58:03 PM
Merited by philipma1957 (4), ABCbits (1)
 #7

... Moores Law ...
It's not a Law, it's wrong anyway.

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