Martinez is the most likely to win. Because if you check the stats, he is young, and driven by the passion to get the victory that will make a difference in his career. While on the other hand, Ioka who already has his moment in the ring with a lot of wins under his bet may not be as motivated as his opponent. Ioka is almost at the end of his career and you know how it is, the drive is down. I hope I am correct with my analysis and that Martinez gives me a winning bet. If he wins, he will be held in high regards by fellow country men, Matthysse and Maidana.
Good, make a beat on Martinez because he is the underdog here as Ioka is the slight favorite at 1.69 against Martinez 2.08. And it's true that Filipinos won't forget "Pumita" as he beat Jerwin Ancajas twice, first he get his belt and in the rematch, he dominated Ancajas and Jerwin was not the same anymore as he lost to Takuma Inoue, and he is 1-3 in his last 4 fights.
And it will be great if the winner of this fight will fight the winner of Bam Rodriguez vs Juan Francisco Estrada, another great fight at Super Flyweight. So let's see how this fight will, obviously Fernando Martinez will have to travel to Japan, but he is no stranger in fighter everywhere and probably he likes to go to the champions backyard and beat them in front of their fans.