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Author Topic: Leopard tactics in sports betting.  (Read 303 times)
o48o
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August 19, 2024, 11:25:21 AM
 #41

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
I was confused about how this metafor is even applicable, but i guess to simplify it: It's basically making a decision not bet on every game, just the games you think you have some extra knowledge about the weaknesses. Which i thought people did already. Why would anyone bet on a game is they know nothing about what's going on with the teams? Are people really making random sports bets?

I thought this would be just common sense and everyone who follows sports would analyze teams all the time. And that's the very reason they are willing to put money in, but maybe i was overestimating how much work are people putting on this. For someone like me, i always thought that lack of knowledge is the major thing that prevents me making bigger bets. Because i don't follow most sports closely and everyone else who does has edge that i don't.


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August 19, 2024, 11:46:11 AM
 #42


Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I Google to explore this Leopard tactic but it yield none, but its worth discussion this based on our observation and experience and inside buzz, monetary rewards is a big factor when two opposing team is equal on strength skills and depth while the other team was promised with huge bonus and financial perks.

The other team that was not offered will lose their motivation knowing that the other team is getting a lot while they are not getting anything from their management.

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August 19, 2024, 04:03:48 PM
 #43

~~
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

Honestly, i just heard the term leopard tactics in sports betting. but when i read your post, it was interesting. it's just that in reality bettors who like sports especially football, there are some basic things that must be known and involved when trying to research and analyze a match. well, you have conveyed the points that we always involve when betting and researching a match. for me personally, there may be similarities with tactics like the leopard expression. so here's the thing, before choosing a bet, i usually first look at the match schedule for several leagues. of the many matches offered in betting, the most ideal in my personal opinion is what i should choose to bet on. i mean, if a match does not provide the ideal probability in my betting version, honestly i don't hesitate not to bet. even though it's a big match, for example involving two strong teams competing. I try to be objective in choosing bets, as well as the odds provided by the bookie. not only aimed at choosing a team, but also seeing the much more ideal probability based on our own understanding to bet. honestly i don't like low odds, so other alternatives are my choice. with the condition that, after going through research and analysis results. one or two matches that we choose, is better than choosing many matches but ending up losing.


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August 19, 2024, 04:14:56 PM
 #44

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
Well, I currently have no idea of any thing to write down to support the ones you have already listed, so, let's just assume you have mentioned it all, but I will just chip in my thought as regards to your idea generally.

Let me say that based on my betting experience, it's rare that a team will have a better chances of winning a game and the casinos won't know about it, did you even realize that casinos usually have their own sports speculators who spend not only time, but also money in researching and coming up with well detailed analysis of how a match will likely end, this is how the casino usually come up with what is likely to be the best odds to list for a team in an upcoming match.

In situations where an underdog comes on to beat the favorite, rest assured that even the casinos themselves didn't see that coming, it's only by luck, like we saw in 2023 world cup where Saudi Arabia beat Argentina, no one, not even the casinos expected that to happen.

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August 19, 2024, 06:14:35 PM
 #45

Didn't thought of it as a leopard tactics but I just see that sometimes there are situations like this when you agree within yourself that  , "yes! This bet is a sure game because of the situation. " Sometimes, it could be when a very good player is added to the team and also when the defensive players are people that have have always made your previous prediction to be successful. Then the other ones you listed are quite a good criteria in having a great assumption for the success of one's prediction.

It's interesting that it happens sometimes when the thing you didn't have a name for actually has a full terminology for it. We all learn something new each moment we live and communicate Grin

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August 20, 2024, 04:06:38 PM
 #46

To be honest I'm not entirely sure on your example of the leopard tactic. Are you saying that they only try in situations where there is a clear advantage, as opposed to how they would only hunt if it was appropriate? I don't feel this has anything to do with equality, because hunting is essential to their survival, not just a choice based on values. The examples you gave do not seem useless to you. Many of these things are already calculated by bookmaker right. You get what I'm saying? Also I had thought that this was an argument based on the idea that everyone did a bit of research into the sports teams, and that was why they were willing to place a bet. I may be over-estimating how much research people actually put in. I had always thought that the main reason I did not like losing much money was that I did not know a great deal about the individual sport I was watching. Those who know a lot more about the game appear to be having an advantage that I do not have.

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August 20, 2024, 04:40:55 PM
 #47

The leopard tactics is a strategy only know by those with long time experiences in sports. Most times the Coach have most of these ideas and tries to implement them on his team so they could be victorious. There are many similar situations like this, for instance in a match when some players have received various cards and are being warned by the ref. Let's say one read cards has already been issued to the opposing team. It would break their formation and leave a bigger chance for the other team to go into their defense strategy.

In order to implement this strategy you need to have a deep knowledge of that sport. Also you need to have interest in that sports because without the interest you won't be able to dig deep into the details. The more details and inside news you know the better for the leopard tactics. I knew most of the details mentioned by the OP, but this term leopard tactics is a new one for me but it really suits here. One need to be patience and stealth like a tiger in order to get close to a win.

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August 20, 2024, 09:50:15 PM
 #48

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I have come across a lot of betting strategies but I haven't seen this one before. In a nutshell leopard betting system is capitalizing on the strength and weaknesses of both teams. Playing away from home is also a major factor, in most matches the team playing from home always have an advantage over the away team, this is something that can help in your analysis. When a team has problem with their coach the unity of that team might be in disarray and this might affect their game play. After reading this I think your points on this are very reasonable

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