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Author Topic: Betting on political events  (Read 1408 times)
Silberman
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July 30, 2024, 06:28:22 PM
 #181


Many of those who though Biden would bring them a good win were wrong at bit waiting for the election to get closer, and now they are paying the consequences for it.
That is something very iterative, and although I am not a political expert, do you think that now the Democrats have or are at a disadvantage with respect to Trump? Trump is now the oldest politician in the USA, and he is obviously preceded by his intellect, to be honest I don't know much about Kamala, I haven't seen what her career is very well, well seeing the previous candidate Biden, there is more information about him, it is a fact that it is like that, only people in the USA know or should know much more detail about her, although to be honest, I think Trump has a lot of favoritism.

As we know the election system on the US is unique and the candidate with the most votes will not necessarily win, and on the states which could go either way Trump seems to have a small advantage, however the issue for Harris is that those are states in which the message of Trump can possibly reach more people than her own, so it will be difficult for her to mount a comeback on those states, meaning that even if Harris is doing a better job than Biden, it is not certain that could be enough to stop Trump from reaching the presidency again.
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August 01, 2024, 03:59:20 PM
 #182

As we know the election system on the US is unique and the candidate with the most votes will not necessarily win, and on the states which could go either way Trump seems to have a small advantage, however the issue for Harris is that those are states in which the message of Trump can possibly reach more people than her own, so it will be difficult for her to mount a comeback on those states, meaning that even if Harris is doing a better job than Biden, it is not certain that could be enough to stop Trump from reaching the presidency again.

Yes, I know that the electoral system there is different, I know that the Electoral Colleges exercise a different system, it has much more power, it is a system that I do not understand much, but I know that political power is much greater and has quite a lot of importance, now, the vote of each citizen does have a weight, and the greater the volume of voting I think that a great weight is exerted, but from what I have seen on TV, on the networks, Trump has a lot of power in terms of people, Kamala Harris must be good politically, there is a reason she is there, although to be honest for me Trump's advantage over her is very clear.

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Fivestar4everMVP
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August 01, 2024, 04:31:52 PM
 #183


Many of those who though Biden would bring them a good win were wrong at bit waiting for the election to get closer, and now they are paying the consequences for it.
That is something very iterative, and although I am not a political expert, do you think that now the Democrats have or are at a disadvantage with respect to Trump? Trump is now the oldest politician in the USA, and he is obviously preceded by his intellect, to be honest I don't know much about Kamala, I haven't seen what her career is very well, well seeing the previous candidate Biden, there is more information about him, it is a fact that it is like that, only people in the USA know or should know much more detail about her, although to be honest, I think Trump has a lot of favoritism.

As we know the election system on the US is unique and the candidate with the most votes will not necessarily win, and on the states which could go either way Trump seems to have a small advantage, however the issue for Harris is that those are states in which the message of Trump can possibly reach more people than her own, so it will be difficult for her to mount a comeback on those states, meaning that even if Harris is doing a better job than Biden, it is not certain that could be enough to stop Trump from reaching the presidency again.
Well, from my observations so far, Trump has been a better candidate for the next president of the US, Harris like you said, is trying her best but Trump, being a past president seem to know how to play the game much more than any other runners for the next president of the United States, only person I thought would have given Trump a good run was Biden, but unfortunately, he stepped down after the Trump shooting incident.

But on the other hand, I feel sorry to ask this question, but is this really why this thread was started in the first place? To discuss election matters and who possibly have a better chance of winning? I thought the thread was about what we all think about betting on political matters like the coming US  presidential elections, or is this all still part of the discussion?

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Spaceman1000$
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August 01, 2024, 04:51:22 PM
 #184

I propose to discuss bets on political events in this topic. Some bookmaker organizations offer such bets. In order not to engage in their advertising, I will not mention their names, but you can easily find them on the Internet using various queries such as “Betting on political events” or even “Betting on non-sports events”. Strictly speaking, political betting is a type of betting on non-sports events. I don’t know whether the moderator will allow this topic to remain in gambling discussions or move it to the politics section. But in my opinion, it is more logical to leave this topic here, because despite political forecasts, we are talking specifically about gambling.
 Why has betting become a symbol of sports games? This is not true. We can argue about any event - political, musical, economic, even esoteric. However, political events, such as elections in the United States, have the greatest liquidity. Perhaps a separate topic should be created for non-sports disputes that are also not political.
   Here I propose to discuss all political events in all countries on which bets are placed, and not just political events in the United States.
Placing a bet on a political event especially elections is a very big risks to be involved with as a gambler except you are gambling with minimal money that wouldn't affect you if the results doesn't go your way.

political events like elections are always characterized by too much interest by the powers that be, so you see a situation where results are sometimes manipulated by the electoral umpire aided and orchestrated or championed by the powers that be, so sometimes you see a popular candidate with clear cut projection that he will win, and at the end of the day the result will be manipulated and he will lose out. So as a sportsman I wouldn't want to bother myself or give much credence to bet on political events.

Unlike our conventional sports like football where I can easily predict that Chelsea might win Everton due to their antecedent as a club that has a criteria, and I'm doing so without the referee which is the umpire not being biased and he will be neutral unlike political events.











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Wakate
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August 01, 2024, 05:11:24 PM
 #185

I propose to discuss bets on political events in this topic. Some bookmaker organizations offer such bets. In order not to engage in their advertising, I will not mention their names, but you can easily find them on the Internet using various queries such as “Betting on political events” or even “Betting on non-sports events”. Strictly speaking, political betting is a type of betting on non-sports events. I don’t know whether the moderator will allow this topic to remain in gambling discussions or move it to the politics section. But in my opinion, it is more logical to leave this topic here, because despite political forecasts, we are talking specifically about gambling.
 Why has betting become a symbol of sports games? This is not true. We can argue about any event - political, musical, economic, even esoteric. However, political events, such as elections in the United States, have the greatest liquidity. Perhaps a separate topic should be created for non-sports disputes that are also not political.
   Here I propose to discuss all political events in all countries on which bets are placed, and not just political events in the United States.
Placing a bet on a political event especially elections is a very big risks to be involved with as a gambler except you are gambling with minimal money that wouldn't affect you if the results doesn't go your way.

political events like elections are always characterized by too much interest by the powers that be, so you see a situation where results are sometimes manipulated by the electoral umpire aided and orchestrated or championed by the powers that be, so sometimes you see a popular candidate with clear cut projection that he will win, and at the end of the day the result will be manipulated and he will lose out. So as a sportsman I wouldn't want to bother myself or give much credence to bet on political events.

Unlike our conventional sports like football where I can easily predict that Chelsea might win Everton due to their antecedent as a club that has a criteria, and I'm doing so without the referee which is the umpire not being biased and he will be neutral unlike political events.
Political events is one of the ways to make fats money from gambling and it has been long that gamblers had been betting on these kind of political events. We don't know what the final outcome would look like whether people are going to vote more for Trump or Harris. This election is going to be very competitive and we all anticipating on what the election is going to look. Trump has been campaigning of supporting Bitcoin and cryptocurrency at large while Harris has no interest in Bitcoin and could even fight against the adoption of crypto when he finally becomes the president of the United States. I know that Trump has more supporters for now and we don't really know the outcome of this election.

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Julien_Olynpic (OP)
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August 06, 2024, 12:15:39 PM
 #186



Political events is one of the ways to make fats money from gambling and it has been long that gamblers had been betting on these kind of political events. We don't know what the final outcome would look like whether people are going to vote more for Trump or Harris. This election is going to be very competitive and we all anticipating on what the election is going to look. Trump has been campaigning of supporting Bitcoin and cryptocurrency at large while Harris has no interest in Bitcoin and could even fight against the adoption of crypto when he finally becomes the president of the United States. I know that Trump has more supporters for now and we don't really know the outcome of this election.
I don’t think Kamala Harris is not interested in Bitcoin at all. I’ve seen media reports that Kamala’s husband is a crypto enthusiast. It’s really funny… How can a presidential candidate whose husband is a crypto enthusiast not be interested in Bitcoin? Well, maybe it’s not that she’s not interested, it’s just not part of her campaign strategy. Sure, her husband owns Bitcoin, and in fact, she herself is therefore also an indirect supporter of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. But why can’t she openly come out in support of Bitcoin? Maybe she’s a prisoner of the Democratic Party… Either way, sooner or later we’ll see the Democratic Party come out in support of Bitcoin as well.

 
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August 06, 2024, 12:20:58 PM
 #187

Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on, people will no mind on the procedures or dip dipper than the main subject in consideration for them to be able to bet, as the presidential race is getting closer and tougher, some will prefer making their bets on this, because they wanted to ascertain their own personal convictions towards the condition ahead on bet.

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September 08, 2024, 02:54:26 AM
 #188

Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on, people will no mind on the procedures or dip dipper than the main subject in consideration for them to be able to bet, as the presidential race is getting closer and tougher, some will prefer making their bets on this, because they wanted to ascertain their own personal convictions towards the condition ahead on bet.
You are right for those who play for fun only. But who plays to make money a large investor can't play for those events which can be manipulated. As the site can manipulate even large investors can manipulate the result. As a result, the gambler might be a loser for the manipulation.

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September 08, 2024, 04:44:33 AM
 #189

Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on...
Anything can constitute an item of bet and that's what makes betting/gambling abstract in the sense of no exchange of goods is involved unlike what's in trading. It's a fantasy (so to say) to be satisfied and that's how sites come up with the mechanism to enable bettors satisfy themselves. It's not a bad idea including political events on betting sites. At least that should get bettors to be politically aware of their surroundings too. I like the idea.

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September 08, 2024, 05:15:59 AM
 #190

Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on...
Anything can constitute an item of bet and that's what makes betting/gambling abstract in the sense of no exchange of goods is involved unlike what's in trading. It's a fantasy (so to say) to be satisfied and that's how sites come up with the mechanism to enable bettors satisfy themselves. It's not a bad idea including political events on betting sites. At least that should get bettors to be politically aware of their surroundings too. I like the idea.
Actually bookies doesnt really include politics kind of lines just because they do want to have some awareness about political side of things but rather they are really just that simply included all the things on which they do know that they could make money into or they would really be spreading out or would really be included on whatever things on which they could see that they could be able to make money from.

On personal point of view about betting on politics then it will really be always getting in line with someones personal point of view or choice on whom they do want to become the president or whatever that do talks about candidacy and it will really be just that basing up on what you choose and your bet will really be that basing or would really be according into that one.

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September 08, 2024, 05:32:54 AM
 #191

I see now that many bookmakers have started accepting bets on political events. I see political betting ads on many popular resources, for example, on Coingecko. If these bets are advertised, it means that they are supposed to be popular or may be popular. And this is true. The presidential elections in the USA are quite a resonant event. But the elections in France, Great Britain or Germany, for example, can be just as resonant. Although, in my opinion, only or mainly presidential elections or elections of the prime minister are of interest. Party elections are usually not accompanied by much interest.

 
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September 08, 2024, 05:58:03 AM
 #192

I see now that many bookmakers have started accepting bets on political events. I see political betting ads on many popular resources, for example, on Coingecko. If these bets are advertised, it means that they are supposed to be popular or may be popular. And this is true. The presidential elections in the USA are quite a resonant event. But the elections in France, Great Britain or Germany, for example, can be just as resonant. Although, in my opinion, only or mainly presidential elections or elections of the prime minister are of interest. Party elections are usually not accompanied by much interest.
Now anything that is an opportunity, people will take advantage of it to make it something that can be bet on, one of which is in political events. This is not the first time we have seen politics become a bet, because in previous years this was also done, especially when entering a political year in the US.
This kind of betting is usually not only done by gambling platforms, but also between individuals, many do it personally and what they bet is not playing around, it can have a large nominal value. I once saw someone betting during the regional elections where I live. They are supporters of each candidate, especially at that time the candidates they bet on had almost the same electability.

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September 08, 2024, 06:07:13 AM
 #193

Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on, people will no mind on the procedures or dip dipper than the main subject in consideration for them to be able to bet, as the presidential race is getting closer and tougher, some will prefer making their bets on this, because they wanted to ascertain their own personal convictions towards the condition ahead on bet.
You are right for those who play for fun only. But who plays to make money a large investor can't play for those events which can be manipulated. As the site can manipulate even large investors can manipulate the result. As a result, the gambler might be a loser for the manipulation.
Choosing from the selected site to earn money is much more uncertain in terms of expected profit for a gambler which is a guarantee of more profit for developers. Most of the gambling sites manipulate which makes the experienced gamblers lose and I think the developers set the gambling algorithm in such a way that they can read the gamblers preconceptions and accordingly a gambler loses. Not only do they force gamblers to lose but in some cases they allow gamblers to win which attracts them to gambling.

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September 08, 2024, 02:29:24 PM
 #194

I see now that many bookmakers have started accepting bets on political events. I see political betting ads on many popular resources, for example, on Coingecko. If these bets are advertised, it means that they are supposed to be popular or may be popular. And this is true. The presidential elections in the USA are quite a resonant event. But the elections in France, Great Britain or Germany, for example, can be just as resonant. Although, in my opinion, only or mainly presidential elections or elections of the prime minister are of interest. Party elections are usually not accompanied by much interest.
elections in the states are always a very bright and discussed event, besides Trump is a serious showman and he will definitely not miss the opportunity for any PR, and where there is resonance and a lot of media, there will always be bookmakers. In addition, many residents of other countries also follow this event because it is really interesting. I have never taken part in this kind of bets, but I have thoughts this time.

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September 08, 2024, 02:33:03 PM
 #195

Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on, people will no mind on the procedures or dip dipper than the main subject in consideration for them to be able to bet, as the presidential race is getting closer and tougher, some will prefer making their bets on this, because they wanted to ascertain their own personal convictions towards the condition ahead on bet.
You are right for those who play for fun only. But who plays to make money a large investor can't play for those events which can be manipulated. As the site can manipulate even large investors can manipulate the result. As a result, the gambler might be a loser for the manipulation.

Yeah, I agree, it can be manipulated, but not because of the bets placed for it, but rather because of other factors Grin
It all boils down to luck still, as it wouldn't manipulated just because you placed on B instead of A.
It's my opinion, of course.

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