good relationship = no bombs thrown
although media spout clickbait fearmongering. and shouting out big numbers. and over usage of word "war" in regard to trade relations..
both side are not shouting to kill/execute/murder/assassinate each other
when you watch wrestling or boxing.. some will see what they think is hatred.. but reality its good sport. they shake hands and respect each other outside the ring
US-china relations is nothing like ukraine-russia relations... nothing like isreal-gaza relations
i guess the current tariff war between the US and China (and in 3 months between the US and dozens of other countries) will probably reduce trading
the idea of this current saga is to push china to come to the negotiation table sooner rather then later.. test china's ceiling and push him to limits. and get him to come to the US and make best deal before the other countries
as for the other countries they have 3 months because they already made calls asking for deals so given a 3 month buffer to get the deals done so there is no big shock number in later months because the deal is done before the deadline
..
the stumbling block of china not running to trump is because under normal conditions china only made like $57b sales tax from the $439b sales to america.. so having to get its populous to buy extra $296b of us product(from 143 to 439) to balance deficit sounds silly. a better smarter deal is to
sell less product to the us (from $439 to 143)to balance the deficit
as losing $57 sales tax is easy to brush off rather than push people to buy more US product
china dont see benefit in a plan to buy more US product. so they see no rush to come to a deal
current situation
china->US $439b earns china 13% $57b sales tax
US->china $143b earns Us 5% $7.5b sales tax
EG trump wants (no deficit)
china->US $439b earns china 13% $57b sales tax
US->china $439b earns Us 5% $21.9b sales tax
china wants (no deficit)
china->US $143b earns china 13% $18.59b sales tax*
US->china $143b earns Us 5% $21.9b sales tax
* where china's total treasury income is over $3trillion so a couple dozen bill loss from US is not much loss, and can make it up from other countries
and this is why china is in no rush to come to the US negotiation table. china is actually happy to not have as much trade happening between Us-china