Are major sports RIGGED? Betting on the “Script” vs Stats

[₿itcoin]

What do you think? Is betting on the “rig side” actually an effective strategy, or just an excuse when people lose using stats?

I think rigged betting may sound tempting but it is risky &  often leads to stress when the statistics bettors lose. Yes, match fixing &  corruption are common, as you can see from investigations like Operation Veto in football, where they were able to find more than 380 football match fixing cases in 15 countries &  sometimes even strange betting patterns involving referees.

But I would say that it is extremely difficult to systematically rig major league games on a continuous basis. Because these leagues have so many players &  billions of viewers, rigging these games is very risky &  the evidence for most games claimed to be scripted is weak. So I would say that statistics &  contextual analysis are still your best bet for sports gambling. Rig side concepts should never be a gamblers main strategy.

[sunsilk]

What do you think? Is betting on the “rig side” actually an effective strategy, or just an excuse when people lose using stats?

These people might have a point but they're not always right. But the majority of them are using these "rig" scenes to justify their losses.

They think that it's the common thing in sports and so they're having the same mindset that everything is rigged when they gamble. But they are wrong there.

It's not always that they're right and if they don't want to lose any more money, what's best for them to do is to take time to have some rest and don't gamble. They're making things too heavy when it's very light.

[Shinpako09]

Actually, that also came to my mind. Like, are they trying to extend the series just to earn more? But they’re a big organization, we’ll never really know if they’re doing it on purpose. Or maybe that’s just how our mind works when our expectations aren’t met. There are times I thought they’d extend the series, but they ended it early instead. So, following that kind of strategy doesn’t always seem to make sense. Unless it’s completely rigged and you actually has access to that info.

[nelson4lov]

What prove do we have of this asking because I'm reading some of the comments and it shows that people are in support of these claims..There is a possibility that this actually exists, sometimes in football I wonder why a team given an odd of 18 and above would end up winning the team with the small odd, eve though this happens naturally there might be times that these type of games are staged

AFAIK, no proof because if something like that would become public it would cause plenty chaos and a lot of people are going to come under heavy scrutiny. It's always a mystery when a club with 1.15 odd will lose to a club with over 30 odds lol. I've seen it happen one too many times and in my books, if something is too good to be true, that's because it's not true.

Just relying on the referee alone or on a selected player alone won't do it, except in cases where the mixing is not done by the organisation.

As much as I'd love to agree with this statement, I can't because Referee alone can change the entire course of a game even in high profile games. I remember the Chelsea vs Barcelona game back in 2008-2009 season where the game was heavily rigged in Barcelona's favor and they ended up winning it.

I think even a player can if they happen to score own goals intentionally and make it seem like a mistake or even a goalkeeper. What about players that makes bets before a game on themselves then go off to play in accordance to their bet selections? These things happen only that there's no proof available to the public.

[Slow death]

What do you think? Is betting on the “rig side” actually an effective strategy, or just an excuse when people lose using stats?

Well, I don't know if there's any chance of there being any manipulation in the games of the major football leagues that I bet on, so it's difficult to answer your question, but I believe that it's unlikely that a professional player from a major European football league who receives a millionaire salary and has contracts with major brands would be stupid enough to get involved in some manipulation scheme.

I also highly doubt that a referee with a professional career and who receives a salary and works in the major European leagues would be stupid enough to get involved in manipulation schemes. I honestly think that nowadays these schemes no longer have space in the major leagues.

[yahoo62278]

Sometimes games look rigged so vegas can scoop up all the money as they know everyone is betting a certain team to win. Like the LA rams vs the SF 49ers thursday night. Half of the 49ers team is out and injured including all their 1st string wide receivers, tight end, and quarterback. Guess what happened? The 49ers won the damn game.

Was it really rigged? I have no clue, but it sure seems so cause there's no way the Rams are supposed to lose that game. Problem is, how do you prove it?

So when you say Vegas, you mean those are syndicates who profit at the expense of the public? I’m not really familiar with the team you mentioned since I don’t follow that league, but I assume you mean the one that’s the heavy favorite. the kind that public bettors would easily jump on, then an upset happens, and Vegas or the sharp bettors end up winning. is that it?

Yea the Rams were massive favorites, should have been a big blowout game with 49ers so depleted. The bookies/Sportsbook clean up and scoop up millions. Is it rigged? Probably not but ya never know.

[programmer3666]

What do you think? Is betting on the “rig side” actually an effective strategy, or just an excuse when people lose using stats?

I think rigged betting may sound tempting but it is risky &  often leads to stress when the statistics bettors lose. Yes, match fixing &  corruption are common, as you can see from investigations like Operation Veto in football, where they were able to find more than 380 football match fixing cases in 15 countries &  sometimes even strange betting patterns involving referees.

But I would say that it is extremely difficult to systematically rig major league games on a continuous basis. Because these leagues have so many players &  billions of viewers, rigging these games is very risky &  the evidence for most games claimed to be scripted is weak. So I would say that statistics &  contextual analysis are still your best bet for sports gambling. Rig side concepts should never be a gamblers main strategy.

thing is that rigged matches sure exist but i don't think they are that common in big leagues as people think. just because corruption has been exposed in some cases does not mean every game is scripted. major leagues have too much money, media attention and too many players involved for fixing to happen without getting caught. betting based on the script is mostly just an excuse people use when their predictions fail. it is not a real strategy because nobody knows when a game is fixed!! using stats, form and context is not perfect either but it gives you a better chance than guessing based on some random rumors.

[suzanne5223]

I believe in every setting, there's always a system of manipulation that is played by some big brother in the space. We have it in the crypto market, and any gamblers who think it is an impossible thing to do in the gambling space definitely don't have enough knowledge/experience about the system.

It is good to follow the possible rigged side in a certain game, but in most cases, the rigged game is not known to the public. I believe it is hard to follow the rigged side in a game.

[rachael9385]

What do you think? Is betting on the “rig side” actually an effective strategy, or just an excuse when people lose using stats?

I think rigged betting may sound tempting but it is risky &  often leads to stress when the statistics bettors lose. Yes, match fixing &  corruption are common, as you can see from investigations like Operation Veto in football, where they were able to find more than 380 football match fixing cases in 15 countries &  sometimes even strange betting patterns involving referees.

But I would say that it is extremely difficult to systematically rig major league games on a continuous basis. Because these leagues have so many players &  billions of viewers, rigging these games is very risky &  the evidence for most games claimed to be scripted is weak. So I would say that statistics &  contextual analysis are still your best bet for sports gambling. Rig side concepts should never be a gamblers main strategy.

As bettors it's quick for us to jump into the conclusion that a game was scripted when it doesnt go according to how we predicted it, sometimes people say the officials work together with bet companies so they can manipulate the market but I don't think that's the case. In sports we must always be ready to accept even the unexpected because anything can happen. Match fixing isn't real, people find it hard to accept unfavorable outcomes

[Julien_Olynpic]

I think most games that are fixed are likely only partially rigged. Judge for yourself: it's very difficult to organize a fixed match so that all the players know about it. If everyone knows, the information will likely quickly leak outside the team. But a fixed match requires two parties. And if all the players on both teams know about it, it's practically impossible to keep the match fixed. Therefore, fixes are usually made between as few participants as possible. Typically, these are the most key players, on whom the outcome of the match depends. Other players, incidentally, may not even know about it.

[Kelward]

We can speculate all we want whether games are rigged or not but it doesn't really change anything because we don't have a concrete proof so if you want to bet you should use a strategy that you think will work for you. League organizers and clubs are businesses and they will want to do whatever they think is good for business even if it's rigging a little every now and then. But like I said if we don't have any proof of it we shouldn't worry about it, if you're convinced about rigging then use it to your own advantage. Gambling wins are by luck anyhow you look at it whether rigged or not so be smart and use amount that you can afford to loose for your bets.

[Moreno233]

What do you think? Is betting on the “rig side” actually an effective strategy, or just an excuse when people lose using stats?

Some sports can indeed be rigged but those are not easy to know because they will be properly organized in such a way that no one would know to avoid the consequences and better imagined than experienced. Your question appear like someone will easily know the rigged side and if that be the case, can you share any clue on how that can be done? I don't think there is anyone that will know which side it was rigged to favor and still want to go against it.

[ralle14]

It's not easy to determine a rigged match at the major level of sports, but there are rare cases where the trend doesn't stop, despite the teams not being the same as before.

I recall trying a similar strategy at one point because it was brutal to bet against home teams in the NBA during the playoffs, but it never paid off, as a single home loss would easily cost a big chunk of my winnings.

Instead of saying rig i'd say it's luck blowing to the opposing team, knowing there's always that one or two matches that's unexplainable, no matter how you put it.

[Satofan44]

AFAIK, no proof because if something like that would become public it would cause plenty chaos and a lot of people are going to come under heavy scrutiny. It's always a mystery when a club with 1.15 odd will lose to a club with over 30 odds lol. I've seen it happen one too many times and in my books, if something is too good to be true, that's because it's not true.

These things get mostly solved behind closed doors wherever possible. You may find some cases and proof for smaller leagues in the news articles, but they often also don't cover those. They always find an excuse for not covering these topics rather than telling the truth about why they don't do it.

As much as I'd love to agree with this statement, I can't because Referee alone can change the entire course of a game even in high profile games. I remember the Chelsea vs Barcelona game back in 2008-2009 season where the game was heavily rigged in Barcelona's favor and they ended up winning it.

Exactly. The referee doesn't even have to do anything that is obviously completely wrong, he just has to continuously harass the time that he wants to lose and be very lenient towards the team that he wants to be the winners. This already will have a massive impact on a game where teams are near evenly matched or very competitive.

Some sports can indeed be rigged but those are not easy to know because they will be properly organized in such a way that no one would know to avoid the consequences and better imagined than experienced. Your question appear like someone will easily know the rigged side and if that be the case, can you share any clue on how that can be done? I don't think there is anyone that will know which side it was rigged to favor and still want to go against it.

Some games are rigged regularly. You won't find a lot of information about this often because they want to distract you so you continue spending time and money on this industry.

[Beparanf]

What do you think? Is betting on the “rig side” actually an effective strategy, or just an excuse when people lose using stats?

On some minor league or local league I think there’s a high chance that this is true.

For example in our country basketball league PBA. Most of the team involved are owned by 2 giant companies in the PH while they register sister companies as separate basketball teams.

Sometimes in the finals, the team that are fighting for the championship is owned by the same corporation that usually results to game 7 match. Considering the connection of the 2 team, there’s a high chance of rigged game for a much longer exposure of their brand.

[nelson4lov]

~Snip

I remember the Chelsea vs Barcelona game back in 2008-2009 season where the game was heavily rigged in Barcelona's favor and they ended up winning it.

Exactly. The referee doesn't even have to do anything that is obviously completely wrong, he just has to continuously harass the time that he wants to lose and be very lenient towards the team that he wants to be the winners. This already will have a massive impact on a game where teams are near evenly matched or very competitive.

No lies told brother. I often see people say even though referee takes a side, the best team would still win. It's true but it can only work sometimes and I think it's only rare cases. A referee can do multiple things in order to make a side he is biased about to win. Could be from awarding freekicks, penalties, ignoring offenses that incur serious penalties like red card or even allowing offsides.

There was a reason where a referee disallowed a Liverpool goal (including VAR) and Liverpool ended up drawing that game and lost points that aided Man City's title charge. Even though the referee and the referee association in the EPL apologized multiple times, it didn't change the outcome of the game