bitcoinBull
Legendary
 Offline
Activity: 826
Merit: 1001
rippleFanatic
|
 |
September 10, 2012, 06:13:06 PM |
|
It beats the market in the time period that I test in, that is my fitness criteria. Even despite spotty execution I have more BTC than I started with every month.
What time range for holding periods does your model calculate? I'm not quite sure what you are asking. In order to follow the model I would be resetting orders with each candle. As a new candle comes in the curves are recalculated and converged, risk levels are optimized and a new set of orders are placed. I have found it to be fruitless to issue any kind of public report from the model because the output doesn't really mean anything unless you are trading the model rigorously. There is no set 'holding period'. Candles come in according to how fast the market is trading according to volume. Right now I am using candles of a constant amount of volume, about 14k BTC. Ah, well that leads to my follow-up question: do you use market orders or limit orders? |
College of Bucking Bulls Knowledge
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The block chain is the main innovation of Bitcoin. It is the
first distributed timestamping system.
|
|
|
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dansker (OP)
|
|
September 10, 2012, 06:19:33 PM |
|
I was thinking that press coverage, social media buzz and google search statistics would feature prominently with all of you as sources.
Is this not so?
|
|
|
|
|
labestiol
|
|
September 10, 2012, 06:35:20 PM |
|
Is the fixed volume candle much more effective than fixed time candle ?
I had never thought about this idea of fixed volume candle, but it seems to make a lot of sense
|
1BestioLC7YBVh8Q5LfH6RYURD6MrpP8y6
|
|
|
phelix
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1019
|
|
September 11, 2012, 07:46:40 PM |
|
Is the fixed volume candle much more effective than fixed time candle ?
I had never thought about this idea of fixed volume candle, but it seems to make a lot of sense
I have tried fixed time, fixed volume, and even fixed volatility candles. Fixed volume seems to work the best. The idea actually comes from Whitehead's Process Philosophy. Time is probably not what we think it is. very interesting. do you happen to have a chart or link with a fixed volume bitcoin chart? |
|
|
|
|
Chalkbot
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 896
Merit: 1001
|
|
September 12, 2012, 02:54:21 AM |
|
It's obviously driven primarily by the price of a shave and a haircut:  Two bit(coin)s! |
|
|
|
|
lebing
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
|
|
September 12, 2012, 03:44:51 AM |
|
This thread delivers  |
Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
|
|
|
|
evolve
|
|
September 12, 2012, 04:03:17 AM |
|
Trending.
First off, I wont jump in if the market is too flat. You can make money off the minor swings in a flat market, but you risk getting caught with your pants down because it could trend in either direction quickly. This may mean staying out of the market for a couple weeks until a trend forms.
When the price starts trending upward heavily, I find a comfortable entry point as close to the bottom of the trends trading range as possible. This takes a lot of chart watching, and a little bit of luck. I define my exit points right away. I plan the top price I want to sell at (generally a little above the current trade range) and my low price to minimize losses in case of a crash (generally 25% of my total unrealized gains).
If I'm not confident in the market, I stay out, and most importantly, I don't trade on emotion. I stick to my strategy.
|
|
|
|
|
|
genuise
|
|
September 12, 2012, 10:41:34 AM |
|
Is the fixed volume candle much more effective than fixed time candle ?
I had never thought about this idea of fixed volume candle, but it seems to make a lot of sense
I have tried fixed time, fixed volume, and even fixed volatility candles. Fixed volume seems to work the best. The idea actually comes from Whitehead's Process Philosophy. Time is probably not what we think it is. very interesting. do you happen to have a chart or link with a fixed volume bitcoin chart? Can you check bitcoin-analytics.com charts which are calculated for predefined volumes, are those charts close to what you were thinkning about? |
|
|
|
|
Endgame
|
|
September 12, 2012, 01:14:46 PM |
|
 My palantir never lies |
|
|
|
|
|
genuise
|
|
September 12, 2012, 09:38:51 PM |
|
Is the fixed volume candle much more effective than fixed time candle ?
I had never thought about this idea of fixed volume candle, but it seems to make a lot of sense
I have tried fixed time, fixed volume, and even fixed volatility candles. Fixed volume seems to work the best. The idea actually comes from Whitehead's Process Philosophy. Time is probably not what we think it is. very interesting. do you happen to have a chart or link with a fixed volume bitcoin chart? Can you check bitcoin-analytics.com charts which are calculated for predefined volumes, are those charts close to what you were thinkning about? Not really, no. None of that gives you a probability distribution for price, and provides no real guidance for how to set your personal risk levels. I know how much to risk because I solve for it, continually. As new data comes in the curves change and there is a whole new solution set to search through, it is adaptable to the market and my own personal market positions. This gives me a personal perspective of the market that nobody else has and that is what provides an edge. As long as everyone looks at the same charts that information gets priced into the market quickly and can make it difficult to pull in profits. Few have managed to train themselves to recognize useful patterns in real time, but this is getting harder to do, even for the best of them, because of the algos that do the same thing. Ultimately, it's going to be a war with the machines. I can understand that what you are talking is far from what felix was asking. I believe his question was not about probablities but about charts calculated for fixed volumes, that is why I asked my question. |
|
|
|
|
