Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)

[joniboini]

Juve form is actually not that surprising. On their last five games (friendlies included), they only managed to win with one margin or 'luck' (such as with Napoli). IMO it's a sign that they need to improve their goal-scoring ability. In fact, Fiorentina managed to create more chances and shot on target compared to Juventus. Fiorentina also has more corners (10 compared to 0!), which is somewhat amazing for the home team[1].

If you only look at stats alone, Fiorentina was expected to win, with more than 1 expected goals (which means they could've scored more than 2 goals if luck was on their side)[2]. Juve xG was very low, it's nowhere near 0.5 which is their lowest xG ever on this season. This is certainly a problem for Juve. Can't depends on luck forever. On the other hand, good job for Fiorentina.

[1] https://www.espn.com/soccer/matchstats?gameId=554557
[2] https://understat.com/match/13110

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[tomahawk9]

Espanyol ML / Sevilla ML / Cagliari to Win and over 1.5 goals - parlay @36.10



Well, thank you, Cagliari, for putting an end to my losing streak    after Parma score I thought they were going to make a comeback, but fortunately, Cagliari were pretty good on the defence, recent signing Giovanni Simeone put the 3-1, but 12 min of added time still kept me at the edge of my seat.

Btw, Spal 2 - 1 Lazio    wtf?

[Naida_BR]

Juve form is actually not that surprising. On their last five games (friendlies included), they only managed to win with one margin or 'luck' (such as with Napoli). IMO it's a sign that they need to improve their goal-scoring ability. In fact, Fiorentina managed to create more chances and shot on target compared to Juventus. Fiorentina also has more corners (10 compared to 0!), which is somewhat amazing for the home team[1].

If you only look at stats alone, Fiorentina was expected to win, with more than 1 expected goals (which means they could've scored more than 2 goals if luck was on their side)[2]. Juve xG was very low, it's nowhere near 0.5 which is their lowest xG ever on this season. This is certainly a problem for Juve. Can't depends on luck forever. On the other hand, good job for Fiorentina.

[1] https://www.espn.com/soccer/matchstats?gameId=554557
[2] https://understat.com/match/13110

I believe that juventus lacks of a leader in the season start.
Last year they had the captain Chiellini but as the captain is injured they are weak.
Ronaldo can be a leader but I don't see him taking the initiative...

[Harkorede]

Btw, Spal 2 - 1 Lazio    wtf?

Congratulations on your win!

Looks like we could be in another upset tonight with newly promoted Lecce are ahead against Torino, but it's only halftime so maybe there could be some comeback.

[rachman mahesa]

Btw, Spal 2 - 1 Lazio    wtf?

Congratulations on your win!

Looks like we could be in another upset tonight with newly promoted Lecce are ahead against Torino, but it's only halftime so maybe there could be some comeback.

This is football, anything can happen in the field.
If you look at the facts, Torino has a great chance of winning. Lecce is a promotion team that is ranked below the standings, can surprise supporters of Torino. Even Torino can only score through penalty points.

[Barracuda]

Btw, Spal 2 - 1 Lazio    wtf?

Congratulations on your win!

Looks like we could be in another upset tonight with newly promoted Lecce are ahead against Torino, but it's only halftime so maybe there could be some comeback.

This is football, anything can happen in the field.
If you look at the facts, Torino has a great chance of winning. Lecce is a promotion team that is ranked below the standings, can surprise supporters of Torino. Even Torino can only score through penalty points.

There is nothing wrong in this match. Lecce or Torino have the right to win. As you said, anything can happen in football. Well, that's the situation in the match.

With Lecce winning, he proved that ranking below the standings could also compete with teams over Italy. But unfortunately, Lecce 3 points did not help them to rise above.

[mu_enrico]

Any specific reason for it or only your opinion?

I'm an experienced Football Manager player
There is only one scenario for DeGea, stay in Manchester United until 30s and then go back to his home country (Spain), most likely joining Real Madrid, and end his career there.

Sometimes I played as MU manager and tried to convince DeGea to end his career here at MU, but he refused, and I respect his decision.

Inter Milan is so strong with Conte as manager. I hope Jose Mourinho will come to Italy next season, joining Juve or Napoli.

It should be very entertaining.

[Theb]

A bittersweet first matchday for our Serie A teams representing us in the Champions League. Napoli is the only team that had impressed and made an upset victory against Liverpool. While the other three teams failed to win their first match. Inter came out short and got away with a lucky draw against Slavia Prava. Juventus didn't manage to win as well against Ateltico Madrid where Madrid scored at the 90th minute mark. And now we have Atalanta getting destroyed by a Russian team, Dinamo Zagreb, on a 4-0 loss. I really didn't expect Inter and Juventus to have this kind of performance especially if they are the ones who have spend a lot during the transfer window. Lets just hope that their second match could bring some light for Serie A.

[tomahawk9]

Congratulations on your win!

Thanks, Harko.

Well, a new round of Serie A just started with Cagliari vs Genoa. I went for a home win @2.83 + somer other results in different leagues for a nice parlay. I feel like i'm tempting fate since last week Cagliari gave a me a pretty nice win, don't know if that could be the case again today.

Btw, huge game tomorrow: AC Milan vs Inter Milan. Any early comments on this one? Feels like everyone's expecting Inter to destroy AC Milan, but in these type of matches, the game could go either way.

[rachman mahesa]

Well, a new round of Serie A just started with Cagliari vs Genoa. I went for a home win @2.83 + somer other results in different leagues for a nice parlay. I feel like i'm tempting fate since last week Cagliari gave a me a pretty nice win, don't know if that could be the case again today.

A good bet and hopefully a home win can be reached.
Until the first half is finished, there has been no goals created by both teams. Looking at the statistics of the first half, Cagliari still dominated the attack. Hopefully the second half will be a change for both teams. And certainly you hope your bets win.

[Rozita]

Milan - Inter Milan
In the past three weeks, none of the teams has played against any powerful team. Lecce, Cagliari, Udinese all were weak opponents for Inter Milan. However Milan had also weak opponents but they lost the first match against Udinese and I think Inter Milan has bigger chance to win this match. For both teams, this game is the first match against a powerful team.
My prediction is 2-0 Inter Milan.

[Harkorede]

Congratulations on your win!

Thanks, Harko.

Btw, huge game tomorrow: AC Milan vs Inter Milan. Any early comments on this one? Feels like everyone's expecting Inter to destroy AC Milan, but in these type of matches, the game could go either way.

I'm a Nerazzurri fan all through this season! I'm expecting a marginal victory for Inter, the last few games have been quite underwhelming though.

I'll bet under 2.5 goals, 2 - 0 win for Inter, maybe.

[Juggy777]

Congratulations on your win!

Thanks, Harko.

Well, a new round of Serie A just started with Cagliari vs Genoa. I went for a home win @2.83 + somer other results in different leagues for a nice parlay. I feel like i'm tempting fate since last week Cagliari gave a me a pretty nice win, don't know if that could be the case again today.

Btw, huge game tomorrow: AC Milan vs Inter Milan. Any early comments on this one? Feels like everyone's expecting Inter to destroy AC Milan, but in these type of matches, the game could go either way.

Inter Milan is my favourite too for winning this match, because they have a very good coach in Conte, a deadly striker called Lukaku hence they should be able to win this game. Ac Milan form has been inconsistent this season, and it’s difficult to predict which Ac Milan side will turn up today. @tomahawk9 the end result could be a draw or Inter Milan winning it, I don’t think Ac Milan will be able to cause an upset tonight.

[GiannisK]

I am with Inter tonight and since we are in a crypto blog, I have placed a bet with ETH in Kryptium! Anyone against me has 2.0 odds!
https://ipfs.io/ipfs/QmRpA4V443mN1NigBmqEgLyTpWWn5XKe6wZ9oxMsMFjoBS

[tazmantasik]

 AC Milan vs Inter Milan. Any early comments on this one? Feels like everyone's expecting Inter to destroy AC Milan, but in these type of matches, the game could go either way.

It is clear that Inter are more favored in this match. They (inter) will not care about playing in anyone's home, the most important thing is they have to get 3 points and still survive the top of the standings.

2 Goals will be earned by inter, I'm very sure. I have also bet in this match and held Inter to victory.

[tomahawk9]

I'll bet under 2.5 goals, 2 - 0 win for Inter, maybe.

Hmm, I think i'll go with over 1.5 and parlay that with some other matches from the Premier League and La Liga.

@tomahawk9 the end result could be a draw or Inter Milan winning it, I don’t think Ac Milan will be able to cause an upset tonight.

In that case, Inter X2 @1.31 looks pretty decent. But don't forget that a few days ago this Inter barely managed to get a draw at home against Slavia Prague in the Champions League, and to me, AC Milan are miles better than Slavia so, maybe Milan could give us a nce surprise today (?).

AC Milan to win @3.72 looks tempting, but i'll stick with over 1.5 goals.

[Pab]

AC Milan form is very poor.Any other result than Inter win will be surprise
But it is derby miracles are happening time to time

[Naida_BR]

AC Milan form is very poor.Any other result than Inter win will be surprise
But it is derby miracles are happening time to time

Inter has made a great team this season and they have a great manager as well.
I don't think that inter is going to find difficulties even after the bad game against Slavia Praha. I'm going to bet over 2.5 goals scored in the match.

[Rozita]

Udinese 0 - 1 Brescia
I think Udinese have caused many people to loss their bets. They started the league with a great performance against Milan. Surely most of the people had predicted Milan to win that match. After their victory against Milan, many expected Udinese to have good performance in the next matches too. They lost the matches against Parma and Inter ( The lose to Inter was predictable). Today Udinese lost the match for the third time. It's really difficult to predict Udinese matches.

[dobolspeed3]

Udinese 0 - 1 Brescia
I think Udinese have caused many people to loss their bets. They started the league with a great performance against Milan. Surely most of the people had predicted Milan to win that match. After their victory against Milan, many expected Udinese to have good performance in the next matches too. They lost the matches against Parma and Inter ( The lose to Inter was predictable). Today Udinese lost the match for the third time. It's really difficult to predict Udinese matches.

Udinese is not like it used to be. They seemed to lose their identity in series A, the previous season Udinese could be said to be still good. But now their game is bad, they should be able to draw or even win the match.

Another match is underway, Juventus vs Verona.
Preliminary results, Juventus missed a goal and the match lasted '21+ minutes. Hopefully Juventus do not lose any more points.