The first person to get half of the max profit (currently 5.26BTC) wins a numbered Design 1 /w Gold coin. (18.494302%)
Does this require a payout or a profit of that value?
The natural interpretation would seem to be that you need to
profit by half of the maximum profit.
That would require a payout multiplier of at least 6.26x, which has a chance of happening of less than 16% (else the game would be +EV).
hmm, you are right! it should be 6.26x.
Pretty sure it is profit by half of max profit and not payout though the example implies so. (At least that is what I thought)
Edit: Yeah, it can't be 18%. Around 15% at current half of max profit of 5.665
BTC,