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Author Topic: ▄■▀■▄ 🌟BITVEST🌟 💰WIN BY 🔶 PLAY 📈 INVEST ☕ SOCIAL➡🔺PLINKO🎲DICE🎰SLOT🎡SPIN  (Read 144933 times)
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February 12, 2017, 06:17:41 PM
 #1961

Come on guys, shit happens and someone wins big, get your tinfoil hats off.

If bitvest wants to fake losses, they would use lots of small accounts not a big one.

Got to have some trust to invest in their bankroll!
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Zodiac1233
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February 12, 2017, 06:18:51 PM
 #1962

Probability to win 110 BTC in 625 bets of 1.7BTC each, with 1% house edge, is about 0.2%. Considering some bets were lower than 1.7BTC, this event is even more unprobable.
My calculations basically agree with yours. My math gives about a ~0.24% chance of such a streak making the assumption of 36 more wins than expected (~122.4 BTC above EV) / (3.4 BTC per win) over a period of 640 games.

The majority of the action came from the large bets, so the smaller ones have a rather minimal impact on the overall odds. Factoring that in probably drops the odds of this streak down to ~0.2%.

Don't forget to keep in mind, he is still -30, and has had just over 26,000 BTC in action, the odds of seeing this streak as calculated above was during ~1088 BTC of action. This event is more likely around 6-7% over the span of his entire betting history.

Unlikely events happen all the time, something on the order of 100s:1 isn't terribly uncommon.



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February 12, 2017, 06:29:32 PM
 #1963

Assuming probability of site cheating is zero, there are also non-zero probabilities of 1) an implementation bug 2) server hacking.
Bitcoin history shows ~10% of all servers with bitcoins on them are hacked ... so it's 50 times more probable that N2s has hacked the server than that he won it randomly Smiley
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February 13, 2017, 12:26:13 AM
 #1964

Hmm, looking into it, it's not really x5 Kelly, its x5/(average for all investors). So if everyone else invests at x4, and you invest at x5, you've got 1.25 Kelly, do I understand it correctly?
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February 13, 2017, 12:34:07 AM
 #1965

Still waiting for the hot wallet to be filled guys...
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February 13, 2017, 12:59:23 AM
 #1966

Still waiting for the hot wallet to be filled guys...

It takes 2 - 12 hours. So I would wait until the 12 hours is up before getting worried.
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February 13, 2017, 02:52:13 AM
 #1967

Looks like Max Bet is computed from real invested BTC, not from "Global BR", so the latter number has not much meaning
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February 13, 2017, 03:21:05 AM
 #1968

Hmm, looking into it, it's not really x5 Kelly, its x5/(average for all investors). So if everyone else invests at x4, and you invest at x5, you've got 1.25 Kelly, do I understand it correctly?

Max bets are based on the "Global bankroll" not the pre-margin numbers.

Still waiting for the hot wallet to be filled guys...

Sorry for the delays, lightlord should be getting to it shortly.



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February 13, 2017, 03:30:35 AM
 #1969

Max bets are based on the "Global bankroll" not the pre-margin numbers.


In that case max profit in dice would be 1500*1% = 15 BTC. But max profit in dice is 1.26 BTC currently. What am I missing?
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February 13, 2017, 03:39:06 AM
 #1970

Max bets are based on the "Global bankroll" not the pre-margin numbers.


In that case max profit in dice would be 1500*1% = 15 BTC. But max profit in dice is 1.26 BTC currently. What am I missing?

Max profit in dice is Global Bankroll / 1200



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February 13, 2017, 05:44:55 AM
 #1971

There is nothing suspicious about divesting when you see a high roller. What IS suspicious is when somebody divests relatively high amount just few hours before the high roller appears. But it can be just coincidence.

If you are always online there and active on their chat you can know whether big whale is coming and start rolling or not. Because last time I always did this kind of thing, when some big whale coming I will always divest my investment there, sometimes it does work because they winning a lot and sometimes I gamble it by not divesting it. Take some risk to get some profit so I think it is possible that someone did this thing since it is pretty common thing to do when you are always online

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February 14, 2017, 01:08:00 AM
 #1972

Max profit in dice is Global Bankroll / 1200

Thanks, this is very valuable information.
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February 14, 2017, 10:45:15 AM
Last edit: February 14, 2017, 12:49:23 PM by sporadic06
 #1973

Happy Valentines Day



The RAINSTORM is spectacular!

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What are you waiting for, come celebrate valentines with the bitvest family.


Thank You Zodiac,Lightlord & Promo. + The rest of the BitvestFamily.


Smiley

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February 14, 2017, 11:10:21 AM
 #1974

Tonight was CRAZY at Bitvest. The new feature, Rainstorm, came out so many times consecutively it seemed like it didn't stop for twenty minutes. I was rained on several times. For those that are not familiar with this, each time I was rained on I was given 10,000 up to 35,000 tokens. Tokens are equivalent to Satoshi. Big thanks to the Admins and the Mods.
   If your not playing at Bitvest, you are missing out.

Lightlord, Zodiac, and the whole Bitvest crew, Thank you for everything. I have a blast with or without the rain.

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February 14, 2017, 12:58:27 PM
 #1975

Tonight was CRAZY at Bitvest. The new feature, Rainstorm, came out so many times consecutively it seemed like it didn't stop for twenty minutes. I was rained on several times. For those that are not familiar with this, each time I was rained on I was given 10,000 up to 35,000 tokens. Tokens are equivalent to Satoshi. Big thanks to the Admins and the Mods.
   If your not playing at Bitvest, you are missing out.

Lightlord, Zodiac, and the whole Bitvest crew, Thank you for everything. I have a blast with or without the rain.
Thanks for the feedback Smiley Really nice to see people enjoying the chat as much as the enjoy the games . Bitvest is awesome because of admins like zodiac , light and also because of people like you Smiley

Happy Valentines Day
The RAINSTORM is spectacular!
What are you waiting for, come celebrate valentines with the bitvest family.
Thank You Zodiac,Lightlord & Promo. + The rest of the BitvestFamily.


Smiley
Wow many winners:) Congrats to all and Happy valentines day to you too.

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February 14, 2017, 10:14:35 PM
 #1976

Yeah I do enjoy the new rainstorm feature!
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February 15, 2017, 05:28:06 AM
 #1977

What is this rainstorm about? New feature? Because i never know that you guy implemented this kind of feature or it is only for this Valentine event? Last time i got here it does not have this thing


Max profit in dice is Global Bankroll / 1200

So how about other games? Does it have max payout as 1.6 btc if you said global bankroll/1200. How about plinko or may be slot games? Because mostly i play plinko rather than any other games

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February 15, 2017, 06:29:38 AM
 #1978

qwaser109

thank you

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February 15, 2017, 04:22:39 PM
 #1979

rainstorm is cool as fk. LLTRS Cheesy
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February 16, 2017, 12:14:26 PM
 #1980

that was Valentine's day belated rainstorm Grin
it showered the chat with love and free tokens,lasted for around half an hour or so
about GBR and divesting-it is very common to divest when you feel that the gambling session of a particular highroller
may not go in casino's favour,also it is very simple to divest and reinvest back at Bitvest-takes a couple of clicks only

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