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Author Topic: who is messing with bitcoin and to what purpose?  (Read 3443 times)
Biodom (OP)
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November 11, 2015, 03:24:01 AM
 #1

From $250 to $500, back to $300 in a span of a few weeks or even days?
This does not look like market trading at all.
Bitcoin is a $4bil entity. Although relatively small, it is big enough NOT to have such volatility.

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November 11, 2015, 03:26:15 AM
 #2

Yea, the fact that BTC-E is now the market leader with a $15 markup shows severe manipulation.  They don't consider BTC-E a big enough fish to try and manipulate there, mostly just Bitstamp, Bitfenix, and Huobi.

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Morecoin Freeman
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November 11, 2015, 03:27:03 AM
 #3

MMM ponzi company fuckers got involved.
And a lot of people are trading on margin.

Ask the stranger he knows who you really are.
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November 11, 2015, 03:27:38 AM
 #4

Too many bitcoins in the hands of too few.

" If you have to spam and shout to justify your existence then you are a shit coin."  TaunSew
r0ach
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November 11, 2015, 03:29:17 AM
 #5

MMM ponzi company fuckers.

Not even plausible.  The bullshit thing has been open since 2012 accepting Bitcoin.  There is no reason whatsoever it would just suddenly start having a huge effect to raise the price in the last 2 weeks.

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maku
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November 11, 2015, 03:30:54 AM
 #6

This is so messed up. Volatility is one thing but recent price changes were even beyond that. It looked like massive organized action of pumping and selling.
Who is doing that? Probably some whales, big companies or bitcoin criminals, who else?
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November 11, 2015, 03:40:37 AM
 #7

This is so messed up. Volatility is one thing but recent price changes were even beyond that. It looked like massive organized action of pumping and selling.
Who is doing that? Probably some whales, big companies or bitcoin criminals, who else?

Indeed. It seems that someone is making big money doing that and since Bitcoin exchanges are not regulated, no one will give a shit.
But it's definitely coming from China.

I was selling a bit too high after the peak and the rebound was 10$ too short to fulfill my sell order. Fuck  Grin

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November 11, 2015, 03:44:28 AM
 #8

From $250 to $500, back to $300 in a span of a few weeks or even days?
This does not look like market trading at all.
Bitcoin is a $4bil entity. Although relatively small, it is big enough NOT to have such volatility.



Greedy people does this. They could've atleast make things slower rather than the fast dumping and pumping of the price. I don't know what is in their mind but a lot of people are affected by their greed.
Tmdz
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November 11, 2015, 03:57:03 AM
 #9

These people are the devil and they don't give 2 shits about the whole revolution of bitcoin only making their accounts richer.  The problem is it is soo temping to get involved when prices go crazy like this but so many people get their wealth stolen by these greedy bastards.
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November 11, 2015, 03:58:56 AM
 #10

From $250 to $500, back to $300 in a span of a few weeks or even days?
This does not look like market trading at all.
Bitcoin is a $4bil entity. Although relatively small, it is big enough NOT to have such volatility.



no one is messing with BTC.  Its just supply and demand!
Chronikka
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November 11, 2015, 04:01:03 AM
 #11

When you stop short term price speculating these minor fluctuations will mean nothing to you.

"The true sign of intelligence is not knowledge but imagination"  -Albert Einstein
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November 11, 2015, 04:24:52 AM
 #12

Floor established at 300. This is now a major and proven psychological barrier. Sub-300 is unlikely to happen again to any meaningful degree.

These things suck for people who lose money on it, but it is important to test the new limits. Next rally, whenever it happens, will go higher.

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
r0ach
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November 11, 2015, 04:33:52 AM
 #13

Yea, the fact that BTC-E is now the market leader with a $15 markup shows severe manipulation.  They don't consider BTC-E a big enough fish to try and manipulate there, mostly just Bitstamp, Bitfenix, and Huobi.

Manipulation, you say? In MY unregulated bitcoin market?

Except the markets you trade gold on are regulated and manipulated even more.

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Ibian
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November 11, 2015, 04:36:40 AM
 #14

Floor established at 300. This is now a major and proven psychological barrier. Sub-300 is unlikely to happen again to any meaningful degree.

These things suck for people who lose money on it, but it is important to test the new limits. Next rally, whenever it happens, will go higher.

are you kidding? how is it proven? one bounce does not mean much yet.
It held and volume is at rally levels. A sharp dip after a recovery like that is unlikely for a while. If we had dropped to pre-rally levels then it would mean the market is still in bear mode, but we didn't. Bull mode is still on.

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
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November 11, 2015, 04:40:49 AM
 #15

From $250 to $500, back to $300 in a span of a few weeks or even days?
This does not look like market trading at all.
Bitcoin is a $4bil entity. Although relatively small, it is big enough NOT to have such volatility.



Greedy people does this. They could've atleast make things slower rather than the fast dumping and pumping of the price. I don't know what is in their mind but a lot of people are affected by their greed.
This is all happening due to greed. I doubt that.. It is a strategic move initialed by whales and the China holders to stop increase cold in it's tracks. It is due to fear.

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Ibian
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November 11, 2015, 04:52:57 AM
 #16

Floor established at 300. This is now a major and proven psychological barrier. Sub-300 is unlikely to happen again to any meaningful degree.

These things suck for people who lose money on it, but it is important to test the new limits. Next rally, whenever it happens, will go higher.

are you kidding? how is it proven? one bounce does not mean much yet.
It held and volume is at rally levels. A sharp dip after a recovery like that is unlikely for a while. If we had dropped to pre-rally levels then it would mean the market is still in bear mode, but we didn't. Bull mode is still on.

remember all the happy talk about slaying of the bearwhale (who sold at 300) on a large volume, then a sharp drop to $170 that nobody expected.
What about it?

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
Ibian
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November 11, 2015, 04:55:47 AM
 #17

From $250 to $500, back to $300 in a span of a few weeks or even days?
This does not look like market trading at all.
Bitcoin is a $4bil entity. Although relatively small, it is big enough NOT to have such volatility.



Greedy people does this. They could've atleast make things slower rather than the fast dumping and pumping of the price. I don't know what is in their mind but a lot of people are affected by their greed.
This is all happening due to greed. I doubt that.. It is a strategic move initialed by whales and the China holders to stop increase cold in it's tracks. It is due to fear.
This is rich people getting richer. They started the rally, then let it move up on its own. When they decided the price was high enough they sold. This makes them money. Then they help push the price down, let it fall as far as they are willing to let it go, then they buy. This makes them bitcoin. Then they wait a bit, see what the market is doing, and in this case they decided it could go lower so they sold. At the bottom they buy again. Easy money if you have enough to get things rolling and time it right.

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
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November 11, 2015, 05:02:40 AM
 #18

markets are simply not liquid, far too much capability for a player to have his way.....

Need vastly more volume to mitigate the players out of the equation.

Those who hold and those who are without property have ever formed distinct interests in society
Ibian
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November 11, 2015, 05:03:27 AM
 #19

markets are simply not liquid, far too much capability for a player to have his way.....

Need vastly more volume to mitigate the players out of the equation.
Not happening. It's the percentage of bitcoin owned that matters, and they keep getting more.

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
Ibian
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November 11, 2015, 05:05:40 AM
 #20

Floor established at 300. This is now a major and proven psychological barrier. Sub-300 is unlikely to happen again to any meaningful degree.

These things suck for people who lose money on it, but it is important to test the new limits. Next rally, whenever it happens, will go higher.

are you kidding? how is it proven? one bounce does not mean much yet.
It held and volume is at rally levels. A sharp dip after a recovery like that is unlikely for a while. If we had dropped to pre-rally levels then it would mean the market is still in bear mode, but we didn't. Bull mode is still on.

remember all the happy talk about slaying of the bearwhale (who sold at 300) on a large volume, then a sharp drop to $170 that nobody expected.
What about it?

just an example that it held then as well at high volume only to collapse some time (not long) later.
In my opinion, bitcoin price is fully unpredictable to the outside observer.
Exactly where are you going with this? I said unlikely, not impossible.

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
solid12345
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November 11, 2015, 05:13:53 AM
 #21

I'll just go ahead and say it, it is shit like this that keeps ordinary people out of Bitcoin. For everyone who is hodling for years its easy to say ignore it, but if you are a retailer or merchant, you can't afford to take a few thousand dollars in Bitcoin and before you can even make payroll or switch out to fiat it drops 20-30% in a matter of days. It makes no sense to use from a business standpoint unless you are cashing out every transaction to fiat immediately when receiving it.
Ibian
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November 11, 2015, 05:19:53 AM
 #22

I'll just go ahead and say it, it is shit like this that keeps ordinary people out of Bitcoin. For everyone who is hodling for years its easy to say ignore it, but if you are a retailer or merchant, you can't afford to take a few thousand dollars in Bitcoin and before you can even make payroll or switch out to fiat it drops 20-30% in a matter of days. It makes no sense to use from a business standpoint unless you are cashing out every transaction to fiat immediately when receiving it.
There are payment processors for that. You know, the ones you use every time you buy something with bitcoin in most online stores that accept it? Those ones?

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
Ibian
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November 11, 2015, 05:20:50 AM
 #23

Floor established at 300. This is now a major and proven psychological barrier. Sub-300 is unlikely to happen again to any meaningful degree.

These things suck for people who lose money on it, but it is important to test the new limits. Next rally, whenever it happens, will go higher.

are you kidding? how is it proven? one bounce does not mean much yet.
It held and volume is at rally levels. A sharp dip after a recovery like that is unlikely for a while. If we had dropped to pre-rally levels then it would mean the market is still in bear mode, but we didn't. Bull mode is still on.

remember all the happy talk about slaying of the bearwhale (who sold at 300) on a large volume, then a sharp drop to $170 that nobody expected.
What about it?

just an example that it held then as well at high volume only to collapse some time (not long) later.
In my opinion, bitcoin price is fully unpredictable to the outside observer.
Exactly where are you going with this? I said unlikely, not impossible.

Ok, man, I was just commenting, did not mean to upset anyone.
Who's upset? I just don't see why you felt the need to keep going on that tangent for so long.

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
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November 11, 2015, 05:21:20 AM
 #24

I'll just go ahead and say it, it is shit like this that keeps ordinary people out of Bitcoin. For everyone who is hodling for years its easy to say ignore it, but if you are a retailer or merchant, you can't afford to take a few thousand dollars in Bitcoin and before you can even make payroll or switch out to fiat it drops 20-30% in a matter of days. It makes no sense to use from a business standpoint unless you are cashing out every transaction to fiat immediately when receiving it.
There are payment processors for that. You know, the ones you use every time you buy something with bitcoin in most online stores that accept it? Those ones?

Of course there is but it sort of defeats the purpose of Bitcoin as a currency if the only thing its good for is moving USD around.
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November 11, 2015, 05:22:43 AM
 #25

I'll just go ahead and say it, it is shit like this that keeps ordinary people out of Bitcoin. For everyone who is hodling for years its easy to say ignore it, but if you are a retailer or merchant, you can't afford to take a few thousand dollars in Bitcoin and before you can even make payroll or switch out to fiat it drops 20-30% in a matter of days. It makes no sense to use from a business standpoint unless you are cashing out every transaction to fiat immediately when receiving it.

exactly-I paid for a miner and vendor received $1392, 20 min later it would have been $1231 (and probably was for someone else's order).
I am pissed that I overpaid, ostensibly. Vendor is pissed that it got $1231 (after a plunge within minutes).
Everyone is upset-was this the goal of this UP $280, down $210 campaign?
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November 11, 2015, 05:31:14 AM
 #26

Floor established at 300. This is now a major and proven psychological barrier. Sub-300 is unlikely to happen again to any meaningful degree.

These things suck for people who lose money on it, but it is important to test the new limits. Next rally, whenever it happens, will go higher.

are you kidding? how is it proven? one bounce does not mean much yet.
It held and volume is at rally levels. A sharp dip after a recovery like that is unlikely for a while. If we had dropped to pre-rally levels then it would mean the market is still in bear mode, but we didn't. Bull mode is still on.

remember all the happy talk about slaying of the bearwhale (who sold at 300) on a large volume, then a sharp drop to $170 that nobody expected.
What about it?

just an example that it held then as well at high volume only to collapse some time (not long) later.
In my opinion, bitcoin price is fully unpredictable to the outside observer.
Exactly where are you going with this? I said unlikely, not impossible.

Ok, man, I was just commenting, did not mean to upset anyone.
Who's upset? I just don't see why you felt the need to keep going on that tangent for so long.

why?
1. because you are wrong
2. you are on my thread
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November 11, 2015, 05:36:12 AM
 #27

who is messing with bitcoin

Whales.

Quote
and to what purpose?

Profit...  In both directions.

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November 11, 2015, 05:36:49 AM
 #28

I'll just go ahead and say it, it is shit like this that keeps ordinary people out of Bitcoin. For everyone who is hodling for years its easy to say ignore it, but if you are a retailer or merchant, you can't afford to take a few thousand dollars in Bitcoin and before you can even make payroll or switch out to fiat it drops 20-30% in a matter of days. It makes no sense to use from a business standpoint unless you are cashing out every transaction to fiat immediately when receiving it.
There are payment processors for that. You know, the ones you use every time you buy something with bitcoin in most online stores that accept it? Those ones?

Of course there is but it sort of defeats the purpose of Bitcoin as a currency if the only thing its good for is moving USD around.
Baby steps. First speculators make out like bandits, then we get worldwide adoption for the muggles. Take advantage while you still can.

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
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November 11, 2015, 05:38:21 AM
 #29

Floor established at 300. This is now a major and proven psychological barrier. Sub-300 is unlikely to happen again to any meaningful degree.

These things suck for people who lose money on it, but it is important to test the new limits. Next rally, whenever it happens, will go higher.

are you kidding? how is it proven? one bounce does not mean much yet.
It held and volume is at rally levels. A sharp dip after a recovery like that is unlikely for a while. If we had dropped to pre-rally levels then it would mean the market is still in bear mode, but we didn't. Bull mode is still on.

remember all the happy talk about slaying of the bearwhale (who sold at 300) on a large volume, then a sharp drop to $170 that nobody expected.
What about it?

just an example that it held then as well at high volume only to collapse some time (not long) later.
In my opinion, bitcoin price is fully unpredictable to the outside observer.
Exactly where are you going with this? I said unlikely, not impossible.

Ok, man, I was just commenting, did not mean to upset anyone.
Who's upset? I just don't see why you felt the need to keep going on that tangent for so long.

why?
1. because you are wrong
2. you are on my thread

Exactly how am I wrong?

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
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November 11, 2015, 06:23:19 AM
 #30

I'll just go ahead and say it, it is shit like this that keeps ordinary people out of Bitcoin. For everyone who is hodling for years its easy to say ignore it, but if you are a retailer or merchant, you can't afford to take a few thousand dollars in Bitcoin and before you can even make payroll or switch out to fiat it drops 20-30% in a matter of days. It makes no sense to use from a business standpoint unless you are cashing out every transaction to fiat immediately when receiving it.

Don't stress about it too much, the volatility is needed. We haven't gone mainstream yet - but we've moved on from purely tech / libertarians and onto the era of VC, speculators and traders. Soon, the corporate world will move in publicly (they're already at 'blockchain') and the halving provides further scarcity.
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November 11, 2015, 08:35:31 AM
 #31

Too many bitcoins in the hands of too few.

and they like to make even more, many think that when big whales sell something of their great stash, they are increasing adoption

this is utterly wrong, because they are selling to cause a panic dump every single time,, and buy back more than before, so this will lead to a greater centralization of the total coins
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November 11, 2015, 08:57:33 AM
 #32

imagine how proud you would be if you were the one that orchestrated the pump
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November 11, 2015, 09:14:19 AM
 #33

Too many bitcoins in the hands of too few.

and they like to make even more, many think that when big whales sell something of their great stash, they are increasing adoption

this is utterly wrong, because they are selling to cause a panic dump every single time,, and buy back more than before, so this will lead to a greater centralization of the total coins
The weird part is how upset people get over that. What does it hurt me if someone has more money than me? It doesn't. The more centralization the more scarcity the higher value, and these wild swings are great for increasing my own holdings. It's nothing but benefit. Can't think of a downside aside from envy, which is a problem I don't have.

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
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November 11, 2015, 09:18:13 AM
 #34

the comming of christmas its goin to make fiat more important than btc soo it will devalues even more the bubble only occur like march to july of the halving and we need to expect 200 and then 500 prob more the fact taht people will need bitcoin to buy and sell good into net comes to a rise of btc pruchase and will higher the price into march not before
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November 11, 2015, 02:03:04 PM
 #35

I agree that this is a serious manipulation at its best works. I woke up to see a price of $300 and I was very disappointed. $350 was a nice new floor if this thing wasn't manipulated but $300 tells us all in my opinion.

I mean what are we, only $50 above where we started this run from. I guess Bitcoin has much more growing up to do.
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November 11, 2015, 03:19:24 PM
 #36

I agree that this is a serious manipulation at its best works. I woke up to see a price of $300 and I was very disappointed. $350 was a nice new floor if this thing wasn't manipulated but $300 tells us all in my opinion.

I mean what are we, only $50 above where we started this run from. I guess Bitcoin has much more growing up to do.

I believe this kind of manipulation will continue until we go mainstream or get much closer to it. We need more users and a bigger market cap. As this happens less and less manipulation will be possible.
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November 11, 2015, 03:25:14 PM
 #37

Don't stress about it too much, the volatility is needed. We haven't gone mainstream yet - but we've moved on from purely tech / libertarians and onto the era of VC, speculators and traders. Soon, the corporate world will move in publicly (they're already at 'blockchain') and the halving provides further scarcity.
From a rational perspective, I agree. But meanwhile, the ridiculous dumping and panic selling continues unconditionally.

In theory, there's no difference between theory and practice. In practice, there is.
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November 11, 2015, 05:16:19 PM
 #38

I agree that this is a serious manipulation at its best works. I woke up to see a price of $300 and I was very disappointed. $350 was a nice new floor if this thing wasn't manipulated but $300 tells us all in my opinion.

I mean what are we, only $50 above where we started this run from. I guess Bitcoin has much more growing up to do.

I believe this kind of manipulation will continue until we go mainstream or get much closer to it. We need more users and a bigger market cap. As this happens less and less manipulation will be possible.

Yes the kind of money losing for only possible with small market cap commodity. That is the reason main trading houses  are not interested in investing into bitcoin. Once bitcoin hit into mainstream and having very big market We can not see this kind of bumping and dumping.
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November 11, 2015, 05:27:22 PM
 #39

I don't think bitcoin is being messed with. This is just what a free and unregulated market looks like. The stock market of the 1800's was wild like this also. If you want a steady and predictable market just introduce controls. But is that what we really want?

Remember that bitcoin is not your friend and was not created to make you rich. It is what it is, and users will act in their own self interest. Not for the common good and certainly not to help out with your aspirations. 

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November 11, 2015, 06:15:09 PM
 #40

When you stop short term price speculating these minor fluctuations will mean nothing to you.

Exactly this. I haven't moved any of my coins or money during this crazy run. Because I don't plan to sell any coin, because I'm in for long, and I knew that a rise with that kind pace which we saw means a dump will happen.And I expected we will see a solid bottom around 350 and then I planned to accumulate a bit more. But then suddenly the chart continued to go down and I thought it is better to wait. And here we are.Close to 300 and still unsure if we can hold it. I will wait another 24 hours to see how things will develop.
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November 11, 2015, 06:25:10 PM
 #41

I agree that this is a serious manipulation at its best works. I woke up to see a price of $300 and I was very disappointed. $350 was a nice new floor if this thing wasn't manipulated but $300 tells us all in my opinion.

I mean what are we, only $50 above where we started this run from. I guess Bitcoin has much more growing up to do.

I believe this kind of manipulation will continue until we go mainstream or get much closer to it. We need more users and a bigger market cap. As this happens less and less manipulation will be possible.

But these kind of crazy swings we saw the last days will keep new people out. Just a few hours ago I showed a buddy of mine what happend the last few weeks and especially the days and he was just shaking his head.Although he knows really well how great Bitcoin could be, he told me these swings in that short period of time do really scare him. This is wild west he said.
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November 11, 2015, 06:27:55 PM
 #42

When the price was breaking out,  no one including miners would sell until the top was in.  Once it was in, everyone sold.   Op, stop pretending you know what markets are "supposed" to do.

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November 11, 2015, 09:27:21 PM
 #43

I agree that this is a serious manipulation at its best works. I woke up to see a price of $300 and I was very disappointed. $350 was a nice new floor if this thing wasn't manipulated but $300 tells us all in my opinion.

I mean what are we, only $50 above where we started this run from. I guess Bitcoin has much more growing up to do.

I believe this kind of manipulation will continue until we go mainstream or get much closer to it. We need more users and a bigger market cap. As this happens less and less manipulation will be possible.

But these kind of crazy swings we saw the last days will keep new people out. Just a few hours ago I showed a buddy of mine what happend the last few weeks and especially the days and he was just shaking his head.Although he knows really well how great Bitcoin could be, he told me these swings in that short period of time do really scare him. This is wild west he said.

And you have to understand him 100%. I mean he is right. That's why this will be a slow and painful process to move up, grow and increase our user base. Confidence is everything and people still need to gain much confidence in Bitcoin.

I don't care. My average entry price is much lower than current price so even when swings like this happen, I don't care. But if someone has gotten in at $400, he would be shaking his head at the moment and that's what people are afraid of!
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November 12, 2015, 01:42:29 PM
 #44


But these kind of crazy swings we saw the last days will keep new people out. Just a few hours ago I showed a buddy of mine what happend the last few weeks and especially the days and he was just shaking his head.Although he knows really well how great Bitcoin could be, he told me these swings in that short period of time do really scare him. This is wild west he said.

The volatility is needed.....Speculators keep this thing buzzing and anyone speculating (hopefully) is only putting in play money, not their retirement income. So, they can ride out the ups and downs.
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November 12, 2015, 02:12:57 PM
 #45

Sorry, biodom, it was me who was doing all the messing with bitcoins. I promise I won't stop messing with it. LOL

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November 12, 2015, 02:16:57 PM
 #46

Not enough real money on exchanges. Real money meaning money from people who want to exchange bitcoin for other reasons than speculation.
This means that most of what is being traded is the same cash over and over being bought and sold with no long term impact on the price.

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November 12, 2015, 05:56:23 PM
 #47

Yea, the fact that BTC-E is now the market leader with a $15 markup shows severe manipulation.  They don't consider BTC-E a big enough fish to try and manipulate there, mostly just Bitstamp, Bitfenix, and Huobi.

Manipulation, you say? In MY unregulated bitcoin market?

Except the markets you trade gold on are regulated and manipulated even more.

Don't touch gold myself, so wouldn't know. Gold's a shitty investment, Old People like it, but it's worse than stuffing money in mattress (the another thing Old People groove on).
Gold's just a slightly creepy, depressing anachronism. Like a 50s Modern ranch house with those yellowing clear plastic covers over all the furniture & a faint cat piss smell. Oh, and like Bitcoin, of course.
Though gold's been around longer, so takes longer to die.

So you don't like Bitcoin or Gold and constantly make hundreds of spam accounts on the Bitcoin forum every day claiming the price is going to 0.  Gee, I wonder if you're some type of fiat banking shill.

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November 12, 2015, 08:15:06 PM
 #48

A 24/7 global unregulated market filled with minnows desperate to grab on to the first sign of the huge rise they're waiting for. A more pertinent question is why aren't more people messing with Bitcoin? Any hardened trader would cream their knickers at such an opportunity.
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November 13, 2015, 08:21:43 AM
 #49

From $250 to $500, back to $300 in a span of a few weeks or even days?
This does not look like market trading at all.
Bitcoin is a $4bil entity. Although relatively small, it is big enough NOT to have such volatility.


I think that can be happen what is happen even with more big value market. And can happen even much more that happened. I am giving only and simple example. China (to leave all the other countries) has 1 billion and half people. Even if 10% of those would want to have only 1 bitcoin (which have no sense to ask such amount) would be an demand for 150 million bitcoins. 150 million people x 250 us dollar 1 bitcoin = 37 500 000 000 us dollar. If will not be 10% and be 1% the people who will want 1 bitcoin the amount figure will have only one zero less. So no comparison (in both of cases) with your figure about the actual bitcoin market. That percentages of people can increase even 10 000% the price of bitcoin and then after bought their 1 bitcoin, the demand will decrease with the same speed as it was increased. And the price can go again where it was.
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November 13, 2015, 08:56:42 AM
 #50

MMM ponzi company fuckers.

Not even plausible.  The bullshit thing has been open since 2012 accepting Bitcoin.  There is no reason whatsoever it would just suddenly start having a huge effect to raise the price in the last 2 weeks.

I think it was Bobby Lee who first raised the spectre of MMM over the Chinese exchanges, right after he promised the PRC government that BTC was a speculative instrument and would not in any way - no sirree - be used to move money out of China, in the wake of China unbanning Bitcoin (again).

(I tried to dig out a link to Bobby Lee's comments, but everything I've found is from November, and mostly the last two or three days. This recent New York Times article, for example. I'm pretty certain Lee first mentioned this back in October, however).

My working theory (applying Occam's Razor) throughout the recent rise has been that people on China have been hedging against continuing CNY devaluation.

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November 13, 2015, 10:28:25 AM
 #51

There doesn't have to be any conspiracy behind the recent moves in the bitcoin prices.
It is still a relatively shallow market (say comparing to the shares of Apple or Alphabet / Google) so it is prone to over-reactions from time to time.

There are many speculators in the market and the greed and fear play their part.
We do not yet have many institutional investors in the bitcoin market, who usually play a stabilising role in the equity markets.

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November 13, 2015, 01:15:40 PM
 #52

MMM ponzi company fuckers.

Not even plausible.  The bullshit thing has been open since 2012 accepting Bitcoin.  There is no reason whatsoever it would just suddenly start having a huge effect to raise the price in the last 2 weeks.

I think it was Bobby Lee who first raised the spectre of MMM over the Chinese exchanges, right after he promised the PRC government that BTC was a speculative instrument and would not in any way - no sirree - be used to move money out of China, in the wake of China unbanning Bitcoin (again).

(I tried to dig out a link to Bobby Lee's comments, but everything I've found is from November, and mostly the last two or three days. This recent New York Times article, for example. I'm pretty certain Lee first mentioned this back in October, however).

My working theory (applying Occam's Razor) throughout the recent rise has been that people on China have been hedging against continuing CNY devaluation.

and then they stopped hedging one week later at $500 and dumped it all the way to $295?
possible, but does not seem likely
i could buy the panicky small speculators thesis
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November 13, 2015, 01:35:46 PM
 #53

I think it was Bobby Lee who first raised the spectre of MMM over the Chinese exchanges, right after he promised the PRC government that BTC was a speculative instrument and would not in any way - no sirree - be used to move money out of China, in the wake of China unbanning Bitcoin (again).

(I tried to dig out a link to Bobby Lee's comments, but everything I've found is from November, and mostly the last two or three days. This recent New York Times article, for example. I'm pretty certain Lee first mentioned this back in October, however).

My working theory (applying Occam's Razor) throughout the recent rise has been that people on China have been hedging against continuing CNY devaluation.

and then they stopped hedging one week later at $500 and dumped it all the way to $295?
possible, but does not seem likely

No it doesn't. A couple of assumptions there, however:

1. "One week later". There was a premium for BTC on Chinese exchanges for a lot longer than a week. I mentioned I first saw Bobby Lee's article in October, and of course BTC price has been rising for a lot longer than a week.

2. "They [Chinese traders, presumably] stopped hedging ... and dumped it". Or the dump was caused by non-Chinese traders taking profits, which, given the premium on Chinese exchanges at the time, seems more likely!

I'm assuming Chinese traders are still concerned about CNY devaluation, but now they're also faced with BTC heading sharply South. I suspect they're continuing to use BTC as a vehicle to get out of CNY, the only change being that they're more likely going to prefer USD (or similar) to BTC.

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November 13, 2015, 02:24:40 PM
 #54

^^
So much for Occam's Razor Sad

How so? You believe there's a simpler explanation for the recent rise?

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November 13, 2015, 03:40:54 PM
 #55

How so? You believe there's a simpler explanation for the recent rise?

Sure, a few, the begging one being pump & dump. Because P&D happen in crypto.

Maybe. It'd have required a lot of P over several weeks, however. I'm not convinced P&D's the simplest explanation. Maybe I'm just conservative when it comes to the power of whales and manipulators in the current market.

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November 13, 2015, 04:39:42 PM
 #56

How so? You believe there's a simpler explanation for the recent rise?

Sure, a few, the begging one being pump & dump. Because P&D happen in crypto.

Maybe. It'd have required a lot of P over several weeks, however. I'm not convinced P&D's the simplest explanation. Maybe I'm just conservative when it comes to the power of whales and manipulators in the current market.

It's really not a big deal, once you consider the market cap & no regulations to get in the way.

Well, no regulations is maybe stretching it - given the premium on Chinese exchanges, I assume you're arguing that the pumping took place mostly on Chinese exchanges (i.e. CNY->BTC)?

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November 13, 2015, 04:59:25 PM
 #57

Well, no regulations is maybe stretching it - given the premium on Chinese exchanges, I assume you're arguing that the pumping took place mostly on Chinese exchanges (i.e. CNY->BTC)?
Sure wasn't Gemini leading, but what regulations do you feel would stand in the way of forming some sort of a consortium?
BTW, do you think the LTC P&D (different timing) is also Chinese hedging?

Not sure I follow you - Gemini is a US exchange (and pretty small).

I was cheekily alluding to the lifting of the "ban" on BTC in China, an arrangement that strikes me as potentially temporary (and liable to be replaced with a more regulated regime at any time). I don't think any regs would prevent forming consortia, except maybe compulsory solitary confinement for everyone!

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November 14, 2015, 09:08:03 AM
 #58

Well, no regulations is maybe stretching it - given the premium on Chinese exchanges, I assume you're arguing that the pumping took place mostly on Chinese exchanges (i.e. CNY->BTC)?
Sure wasn't Gemini leading, but what regulations do you feel would stand in the way of forming some sort of a consortium?
BTW, do you think the LTC P&D (different timing) is also Chinese hedging?

Not sure I follow you - Gemini is a US exchange (and pretty small).
That's the point. Not only did it not lead, it didn't even factor in the P&D. The magic all happened in Chian - no regulations to speak of, FAIK.
Quote
I was cheekily alluding to the lifting of the "ban" on BTC in China, an arrangement that strikes me as potentially temporary (and liable to be replaced with a more regulated regime at any time). I don't think any regs would prevent forming consortia, except maybe compulsory solitary confinement for everyone!
Oh sure. Regulations don't preclude bad things from happening, just [ideally] make them more difficult/dangerous, skewing the risk/reward ratio far enough to make them 'unprofitable,' in some cases.

Hmmm. Part of the reason I don't tend to buy P&Ds-ruin-our-lives arguments is because they usually seem to come back to regulate-all-the-things arguments. Not saying they don't occur, just that evidence tends to play second fiddle to solutions (of a regulatory nature). Anyway, if the latest rise was indeed a P&D it was an exceptional one, and kudos to the players behind it.

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November 14, 2015, 09:27:22 AM
 #59

I don't see what sort of regulation would change this. There are Ackman's and Icahn's P-ing and D-ing all over Wall Street even now. Hell, somebody dumped $100 million in APPL back in June. I can only imagine what Chinese fat-cats have been up to.

Forgive my petulance and oft-times, I fear, ill-founded criticisms, and forgive me that I have, by this time, made your eyes and head ache with my long letter. But I cannot forgo hastily the pleasure and pride of thus conversing with you.
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November 14, 2015, 11:50:16 AM
 #60

^^
So much for Occam's Razor Sad

How so? You believe there's a simpler explanation for the recent rise?
Rich people getting richer.

Whales sense the market is ready for a pump, so they pump. Everyone else follow and pump the price even higher. Then they sell at the top. This make them money. The price goes down, people panic and push it further down. When it is low enough they buy. This makes them bitcoin.

Same old shit.

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
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November 14, 2015, 12:55:15 PM
 #61

From $250 to $500, back to $300 in a span of a few weeks or even days?
This does not look like market trading at all.
Bitcoin is a $4bil entity. Although relatively small, it is big enough NOT to have such volatility.



Its nothing in the history of bitcoin look at the bigger bubble spikes in % terms.  The biggest ever one was from 0.0000001 cent to $1.  We've had tons of big ups and downs since. Overall the trend is up.
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November 14, 2015, 03:14:26 PM
 #62

...
Hmmm. Part of the reason I don't tend to buy P&Ds-ruin-our-lives arguments is because they usually seem to come back to regulate-all-the-things arguments. Not saying they don't occur, just that evidence tends to play second fiddle to solutions (of a regulatory nature). Anyway, if the latest rise was indeed a P&D it was an exceptional one, and kudos to the players behind it.

Hmmm. Part of the reason I don't tend to buy P&Ds-ruin-our-lives arguments is because they make me question my 'deregulate-all-things' dogma.
The market has nothing to do with financing business projects, it's just another way to gamble/lose money (see the ponzi and rape sections of this forum), so there's nothing wrong with P&D. Serves those idiots who chose to trade on unregulated markets right -- Nature's way of eliminating the weak and the feeble-minded.
It's all good.

You should give up on the dogma. Hard evidence is the solution, not blindly following dogma. Even if you're simply mindlessly channeling a troll.

Edit: no, you're right. I should devote time and energy to persuading the government and regulatory authorities of the PRC that they should regulate against speculation in a nationally tiny market in order to protect some anonymous guy on the internet who's told me via the medium of sarcasm that they're really keen on regulating this nationally tiny market. I just bet the PRC will jump right to it.

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November 17, 2015, 03:01:42 PM
 #63

never know who they are because bitcoin is anonymous and the person behind these messing also anonymous too

i think they only have 1 purpose did this and that is money
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