Halving already 100% priced in! Would you buy or sell now?

[afbitcoins]

remember that the current price is already good for the halving, but this is for now

there are still 7 months before the halving, which mean that plenty of thing will change, but if everything will remain the same by the time that the halving come, diff included

then yes there is no reason for the price to grow to accomodate the halving

Maybe its priced in for the smart money who already knows about the halving but not for the speculators who hear about it late and jump in when price is already moving up? It then creates a snowball rolling getting bigger where more people jump on at the end just because they see huge gains, this is the bubble forming.

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Maybe its priced in for the smart money who already knows about the halving but not for the speculators who hear about it late and jump in when price is already moving up? It then creates a snowball rolling getting bigger where more people jump on at the end just because they see huge gains, this is the bubble forming.

Now you've ruined it by letting everyone know!

[HarryKPeters]

Looking at the charts  there is still some action going on.
Although we can't see it with a big price raise, a new resistance is still being tested out.

[afbitcoins]

Maybe its priced in for the smart money who already knows about the halving but not for the speculators who hear about it late and jump in when price is already moving up? It then creates a snowball rolling getting bigger where more people jump on at the end just because they see huge gains, this is the bubble forming.

Now you've ruined it by letting everyone know!

Oops 

[Coinshot]

I think the halving is priced in, but that is not to stay it would not move up for other reasons. It held well over the Holidays which is a good sign. I expected it to dip as people spent.

[Nimbulan]

the price will surely have to rise a lot more, people will still invest a lot of money into bitcoin like a month ago as they will wait for a huge price increase because of price halving, these investments will surely bump the price upwards the only question is how much it will affect the price

[afbitcoins]

Similar to my earlier post, might as well look at the recent litecoin halving too

Litecoin had its first halving on 25 August 2015
https://www.coingecko.com/buzz/litecoin-first-block-reward-halving

Marked here with this orange vertical line on a chart of litecoin versus US$



This is quite different to the first bitcoin halving but in both cases there has been what looks like a large speculative bubble followed by higher price afterwards.

In Litecoin's halving the bubble peaked before the actual halving date and was not enough to approach all time highs in litecoin. Although litecoin normally has its own all time highs roughly in sync with bitcoins movements, this halving occuring at a time when litecoin was already at a very depressed price and bitcoin is still well below its own all time high.

But the essence of my idea remains that the halving may induce a bubble as part of the price discovery mechanism.

[winspiral]

i will do nothing special about the halving...

[asrilani]

I think the halving is priced in, but that is not to stay it would not move up for other reasons. It held well over the Holidays which is a good sign. I expected it to dip as people spent.

The smart money has cost, it will not enter bitcoin 6 months in advance. It will enter may be in March or April.

[Feri22]

Halving is not priced in yet...My crystal ball told me this yesterday

[Junko]

Yeah, not 100% priced in. Partially priced in perhaps, but not totally. The decreased supply after the halving will have it's full affect in a couple of months after halving day like it did last time. Maybe even sooner due to increased awareness and use of bitcoin compared to last halving. When this is realized and felt, then the pricing in will become closer to the 100% of what the halving should cause.

[asrilani]

Halving is not priced in yet...My crystal ball told me this yesterday

The price has dropped a lot from the recent peak. So the price will rise even if the halving is already priced in.

[n2004al]

Read in several threads that mining would still be profitable for most miners if price wouldn't change at all when halving kicks in.

Until today I was absolutely sure the price would go up long before summer but apart from the psychological factor and the entire community awaiting an increase there is no reason this would happen. Were we all wrong? Ever since the first halving new coins hitting the market play only a minor role (no role at all anymore for BTC pricing). So why would the price go up?

I don't know about you but perhaps this isn't the time for coin accumulation after all. 430 is too low to sell and too high to buy imo.

As for me there cannot be never told about mining that is profitable. If the price of bitcoin will move high normally without doing big jumps and stay there for sure that cannot be told that is profitable. The difficulty cannot be never predicted and it was enough to have two-three big jumps that mining become forever unprofitable for those who have invested in mining (whatever kind of investment may be) before these jumps. To not tell if the price stay unchanged and the difficulty increased. Or even worst the price go down. All these options probable to happen.

As for sell or buy for me is always buy. Even if the price increased buy. This price is to low compared to that in which is hoped that bitcoin arrive. Who believe on that, risk. Who don't, wait. Someone will cry and some another will laugh. Who will be one and who the other one will be known only in the future.